What if the Baltic states had not been annexed by the Soviet Union?

Depends about POD. But on 1940 or later annexation is inevitable if then western powers don't intervene and this is pretty implausible.
 

LordKalvert

Banned
I don't know how this is going to happen The Russians border the Baltics and have an army larger than the population of any of them. The Russians will have driven all the way to Berlin and there's no one going to rescue them

Even if they are never occupied or communist, the best they can hope for is some fig leaf of independence- less than Finland but more than Poland
 
I guessed they could nowadays be like this, by the best chances. I might be wrong though:

Estonia: Would make up part of the Nordic countries, although maybe with some German hints. Its character, relatively low levels of corruption, drive for progress and sense of orderliness gets them the closest to the values deemed to define Nordic societies.

Latvia: Could be part of the Nordics as well, dependent upon discovering what causes their high levels of corruption and other deviations that distance it from Nordic societies. Otherwise, could be similar to Slovenia or the Czech Republic, had they not been Communist as well.

Lithuania: Could be similar to Poland, had it not been Communist.
 
Let's suppose they'd have taken the same path as Finland.

That's almost entirely impossible, in my opinion.

The USSR tried to conquer Finland, and only failed because it's giant and frozen.

The Baltics are much smaller - in population, but more importantly in geography.

At best, we might get independent countries during the interbellum that become Communist, allied governments a la Poland or Czechoslovakia after WWII.

Which would still give them a major leg up after the USSR falls (assuming butterflies don't change that...)
 
That's almost entirely impossible, in my opinion.

The USSR tried to conquer Finland, and only failed because it's giant and frozen.

The Baltics are much smaller - in population, but more importantly in geography.

1926 AD:

Finland: population millions 3,237 area 388000 km2

Estonia 1,114 47549
Latvia 1,910 65791
Lithuania 2,203 56257

Sum of the Baltics: 5,227 170000

Taken together, they had 161 % population, but only 44 % territory.

The Baltic terrain might be easier to attack on, but if they acted together, they could at least have put up a fight.
 
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