Hey if FDR already set a precedent, why ground future presidencies to two. What if the 22nd amendment passes but says presidents can serve a maximum of four terms?
He was in the early stages of dementia in his last few months in office so he is a non starterReagan was pretty popular, could he have attempted to run in '92?
Clinton and Obama were both young and decently popular enough to attempt a third term, the latter especially on the youth point.
Another consideration is how the tempo of presidential administrations would go. Now that the second term isn't where their legacy is set in stone, now that the lame duck period is far away, it might go differently for some of these guys.
Reagan was pretty popular, could he have attempted to run in '92?
His Alzheimer's was pretty bad by then. As Pangur mentions, his health rules him out from a third term.
As is, FDR really was an exception. I could MAYBE see Clinton or Obama running for a third term, but I doubt any future President would have the right conditions to repeat FDR's success.
Except his Alzheimer's was pretty bad by then.Oh right, that's what I meant. '92 was when Bush was running for reelection. Yeah, Reagan was popular enough to get to three terms. He was kinda like the GOP FDR for the 20th century.
So was the polio or w/e it was that got to FDR in the end
Granted and equally a situation where LBJ was reelectable in 1968 may not be that hard to construct. In my first post I opted for what was as it where rather than what could have been re odds of our termsA Nixon without Watergate is another option here.
The other thing about a four term limit is that Presidents defeated after one term (Ford, Carter, Bush Senior) become realistic possibilities for a future come-back, a la Grover Cleveland.
When there was no limit nobody got elected for three terms. Did even anybody run for three? The 22nd was a knee-jerk reaction, albeit can be perceived as nipping a possible problem in the bud.
So, no 22nd does not mean that anybody runs, let alone gets elected three times. Four times seems to be ASB ... FDR was a fluke.
Hey if FDR already set a precedent, why ground future presidencies to two. What if the 22nd amendment passes but says presidents can serve a maximum of four terms?
As is, FDR really was an exception. I could MAYBE see Clinton
This would be pointless. The amendment was very definitely meant as a posthumous slap at FDR, not just a way of preventing the extremely unlikely contingency of someone actually seeking even more terms than he did.
What if Truman did a really good job in his second term and seriously considers to seek reelection
Except if another crisis like the Great Depression hits the US.