What If Sparta Won Leuctra?

After Sparta defeated Athens in the Peloponnesian War, and became the most powerful city-state in Greece.

But at the Battle of Leuctra in 371 B.C. they were defeated by Thebes, and their hegemony declined swiftly. Greece was once again divided between the warring city-states, which allowed Philip the Great of Macedon to successfully conquer and unify the region.

What if Sparta had won at Leuctra? Would Spartan hegemony expanded? Would Spartans continue to be a threat to Persia? Would the Macedonians have been as successful facing off against a less divided Hellas?

What does this likely mean in the long run?
 
I'm not very informed on the era, but I don't see Sparta hanging on to hegemony too much longer. There just weren't enough Spartans left to hold down all the rest of Greece, or to deal with Macedonia.
 
The more interesting question is how Sparta counters Epaminondas' reforms in the battle.

If Sparta does win... it buys them some time, but not much. While it (might) discredit Epaminondas enough to rob the Thebans of an excellent commander, someone's bound to defeat the Spartans sooner or later. The Greeks were moving past the old hoplite tactics. To add to that, Sparta's population had been on a steady decline, and I can't see them being able to field enough men to maintain their hegemony for too much longer.
 
Hellas was always a dynamic environment; hegemonies over areas bigger than specific regions rarely lasted long because the mechanisms simply weren't there for even paltry centralisation of the poleis there by Hellenes themselves. The closest a 'native' state ever got to creating some kind of pan-polis semi central state were the Athenians under the Delian League that became the Athenian Empire. The Athenians had Athens as the capital for high crimes, tribute, military and foreign policy decisions; they also standardised measures and weights in those cities they controlled. And even then, they were stymied fairly effectively.

A Spartan victory at Leuctra would not change the trends already set in motion; the decreasing size of the Spartan citizen body, the fact that other poleis in Hellas were dynamic and active, the changing nature of 'Greek' warfare with an increasing use of lighter armoured, more mobile soldiers and the fact that Sparta had a confusing history of both xenophobia and easily corrupted commanders.
 
I imagine that Sparta would gain breathing room for a little while, but given the rigidity of Spartan Society would see it fail regardless. There just isn't the capacity for Spartan and by Spartan, I mean Homoioi society to change in the manner necessary for it to survive as a dominant power in Greece.
 
Pride?

Would or could the Spartans give up some of their stiff-necked pride and start adopting men as new Spartans?
 
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