It depends on your interpretation of Osama, for example if you believe he killed his mentor then their is a decent chance Abdullah Yusuf Azzam inherits his mad cash and unites the peshaware parties against the communists. The father of the Global Jihad may be see his vison spread through all corners of the world.
Azzam urged the creation of a "pioneering vanguard", as the core of a new Islamic society. "This vanguard constitutes the solid base [qaeda in Arabic] for the hoped-for society. ... We shall continue the jihad no matter how long the way, until the last breath and the last beat of the pulse – or until we see the Islamic state established." From its victory in Afghanistan jihad would liberate Muslim land (or land where Muslims form a minority in the case of the Philippines or formerly Muslim land in the case of Spain) ruled by unbelievers: the southern Soviet Republics of Central Asia, Bosnia, the Philippines, Kashmir, Somalia, Eritrea, and Spain.
He also founded Lashkar-e-Taiba, a group that Osama also helped created and is arguably stronger than AQ has ever been.
Then you got the guys who like Mustafa Setmariam Nasar AQ top strategists who Daesh copied and believed Osama attention grabbing attacks hurt the movement.
Overall I would expect without Osama there be more focus on the target's of Asia, Africa, Europe than America and near enemy countries like Syria, SA, Jordan ect.
I would expect the CIA would work far more with ''freedom fighters'' and longer given the US would much less of a primary target and exporting dissidents to fight Russians, Philippines, Burma would common in the Arab world.
Azzam urged the creation of a "pioneering vanguard", as the core of a new Islamic society. "This vanguard constitutes the solid base [qaeda in Arabic] for the hoped-for society. ... We shall continue the jihad no matter how long the way, until the last breath and the last beat of the pulse – or until we see the Islamic state established." From its victory in Afghanistan jihad would liberate Muslim land (or land where Muslims form a minority in the case of the Philippines or formerly Muslim land in the case of Spain) ruled by unbelievers: the southern Soviet Republics of Central Asia, Bosnia, the Philippines, Kashmir, Somalia, Eritrea, and Spain.
He also founded Lashkar-e-Taiba, a group that Osama also helped created and is arguably stronger than AQ has ever been.
Then you got the guys who like Mustafa Setmariam Nasar AQ top strategists who Daesh copied and believed Osama attention grabbing attacks hurt the movement.
Overall I would expect without Osama there be more focus on the target's of Asia, Africa, Europe than America and near enemy countries like Syria, SA, Jordan ect.
I would expect the CIA would work far more with ''freedom fighters'' and longer given the US would much less of a primary target and exporting dissidents to fight Russians, Philippines, Burma would common in the Arab world.