What If: No One-Child Policy

Is the One-Child Policy the most disasterous policy in modern times?

  • yes

    Votes: 14 41.2%
  • no (Which then?)

    Votes: 20 58.8%

  • Total voters
    34
What would China's population be without the one-child policy?

How would this pod affect migration patterns? There have been some talk about the yellow peril in Russia aswell as some Western countries, the yellow peril in this case refers to Chinese migration to Russia. OTL there have been some Chinese migration to Russia, but most of Russia's migrants come from the former USSR this is the case for the Russian Far East too. There is not yellow peril OTL in Russia. But perhaps in an ATL there might be significant Chinese migration north? Chinese migration would also take other directions.

How would this pod affect the Chinese economy. Population is one of the factors that drices economic growth after all.
 
What would China's population be without the one-child policy?

How would this pod affect migration patterns? There have been some talk about the yellow peril in Russia aswell as some Western countries, the yellow peril in this case refers to Chinese migration to Russia. OTL there have been some Chinese migration to Russia, but most of Russia's migrants come from the former USSR this is the case for the Russian Far East too. There is not yellow peril OTL in Russia. But perhaps in an ATL there might be significant Chinese migration north? Chinese migration would also take other directions.

How would this pod affect the Chinese economy. Population is one of the factors that drices economic growth after all.

The One Child policy are likely what have allowed China to develop, by limiting population growth they allowed to use the GDP growth to increase wealth per capita rather than seeing it being eaten up by a growing population. The ncrease wealth and the low number of youth have also served to stabilise the Chinese Regime.
 
The One Child policy are likely what have allowed China to develop, by limiting population growth they allowed to use the GDP growth to increase wealth per capita rather than seeing it being eaten up by a growing population. The increase wealth and the low number of youth have also served to stabilise the Chinese Regime.
Intresting take.
 
If it’s not a one-child policy, they probably stick with two, which is not unheard of outside China (if I am not mistaken, Vietnam has a similar policy.) So population growth levels off, but maybe not as fast.
 

Wallet

Banned
While I think it’s wrong to tell people how many kids to have, the One Child Policy has benefited China. It allowed it to develop faster as a nation and more prosperity for the average person/family. China is unique though because it was quickly approaching a billion people while still lagging economically.

BUT....it went on too long. It should have ended sooner. Now there’s a male-female imbalance and it’s going to put a lot of strain on the country when more people retire or are too old to work
 
While I think it’s wrong to tell people how many kids to have, the One Child Policy has benefited China. It allowed it to develop faster as a nation and more prosperity for the average person/family. China is unique though because it was quickly approaching a billion people while still lagging economically.

BUT....it went on too long. It should have ended sooner. Now there’s a male-female imbalance and it’s going to put a lot of strain on the country when more people retire or are too old to work
Bolded is somewhat related to China's One-Child policy. It can be made a case for the One-Child policy making couples more choosy concerning their babys gender. Still the core reason is entrenched culture that devalue women. India has a similar problem as China and they do not legally controll their populations reproduction. Armenia also seem to be in the same trouble as China.
 

Wallet

Banned
Bolded is somewhat related to China's One-Child policy. It can be made a case for the One-Child policy making couples more choosy concerning their babys gender. Still the core reason is entrenched culture that devalue women. India has a similar problem as China and they do not legally controll their populations reproduction. Armenia also seem to be in the same trouble as China.
While several cultures value males over females (all do, or did) China’s the worst considering that for a long time abortions were super high because families wanted their one child to be a male
 
The One Child policy are likely what have allowed China to develop, by limiting population growth they allowed to use the GDP growth to increase wealth per capita rather than seeing it being eaten up by a growing population. The ncrease wealth and the low number of youth have also served to stabilise the Chinese Regime.
Maybe the one-child policy was benefical for economic growth in the short term, but it may not be so in the long term.
 
The biggest problem with the one-child policy was it lasted far longer than it could possibly be justified. Now, yes, a lot of Chinese were exempted from the one-child policy, but the one-child policy until a few years ago, and its effects on Chinese demographics have been pretty noticeable, with an extreme gender imbalance and the "4-2-1 problem", where one adult is left to support their two parents (who are also only children) and their four grandparents. It all results in a huge problem for the Chinese healthcare system.

It would have been most sensible for China to adopt a two-child policy, like in Vietnam and elsewhere. A one-child policy is demographically disastrous, and should have been abandoned decades before it was IOTL.
 
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