What if...Karl Marx never wrote the Manifesto?

More specifically, the point of divergence would be that he was never born. As I myself have read the manifesto (yeah, I'm a socialist...), and know of its influence on culture in the past and present (as well as the future), there are many possibilities for alternate timelines. What would Engels do? Would any kind of socialist party ever come to power? Without the manifesto, would there ever be communist revolutions in Russia? China? Cuba? What do you guys think?
 
There could be a similar development. After all, there were people around who had Socialist/Communist ideas. Hard to tell how important that one book an old man wrote in a museum really is.
 
The Communist League adopts Engels' Principles of Communism as their programme. You'd probably still get "Condition of the Working Class in England", "Anti-Duhring" and "The Dialectics of Nature" in some form or another, but not "Wage Labor and Capital", "A Contribution to a Critique of Political Economy", or, of course, "Capital". So the "Marxist" canon would still exist, but it would be poorer, and probably a little more libertarian and more focused on the question of wages than on the working day. As a political movement, alt-Marxism would hardly exist. Engels never thought much of the First International, and wouldn't have devoted the time and effort to it that Marx did. You probably never see the Anarchists split off from the First International, and eventually they probably get control of it before it implodes. Expect syndicalism to develop earlier.
 
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