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I will NOT thalk about how they won,but rather the consequences

What if the Italians/Romanians could hold their ground against the Soviet counter attack(with heavy losses) and the Fallschirmjäger captured the Baku oil fields(with severe damage though)

Meanwhile,the Japanese attack goes well,thanks to the changing of the naval codes(and Yamamoto does't die ITTL) and they lost only 1 carrier(compared to 4 in OTL)while US lost all three carriers

Could this be a game changer(if not for how many months these alterations will prolong the war?)
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