alternatehistory.com

Edited with A,B,C and so on to explain it better.

Changed events:

1) Iraq were to buy weapons from Russia in 2001 after the 2000 election in fear that the newly elected bush would come back to finish what he father started.

1A) To explain: This would be done though the KGB and with the idea they have been trying to work a deal for at lest a year.

1B) Putin changes his mind deciding he want's improve international trade and weapon sale's. He chooses to keep this private. But the CIA knows that he is doing it but not how or with solid proof.

1C) Submarines are used to ship bombs and small arms.

2) Russia then started helping the government of Iraq put down CIA backed rebels in 2002 due to the fact Iraq had looked to them for support and arms.

3) Bush fails to get congress to vote on a war against Iraq in spite of the claims of weapons of mass destruction in 2003. Logically none of the other nations that did agree to help invade choose to do so this year. Mostly because Iraq was clearly now aligned with Russia and they vetoed any UN embargo or peacekeeping effort that would impact Iraq.

3A) The UN no fly zone is lifted by the help of Russia and because of Russian intervention a limited number of the sanctions against Iraq are also lifted.

3B) Iraq publicly states they have disbanded there nuclear program, but only the Russian's were allowed in to investigate to confirm this statement.

3C) Israel claims they do have an active nuclear program. They later order a air strike but lose two planes to Iraqi anti-air craft SAM emplacement's provided by Russia. Iraq had baited them into sitting a false flag site and shammed them showing a video of them bombing a poor village.

3D) The Russian's now fly in supplies to Iraq after the UN no fly zone is lifted though they don't publicly talk about there arm deal with Iraq.

3E) The CIA Chooses to focus on Iran mainly because they have solid Intel they are close to a bomb and work with Israel to end it off the world stage.

3F) In spite of 9/11 as is in OTL no one buy's that it's Iraq's fault. People think Iraq is a personal issue for Bush instead of having anything to do with 9/11 or a threat of a WMD.

4) In November of 2006 A publicly noticed failed WMD test is done in Iraq. Iraq refuses to comment on this test or future plans only stating they will continue researching nuclear power.

4A) The CIA in the months following this test managed to infiltrate and disrupt the test. Bush was given the report and was told by his secretary of state to take this to the UN. Russia off the record told Bush that they didn't believe Iraq could ever build a WMD and that they didn't currently pose a threat.

4B) Most of the nations of the UN choose to embargo Iraq without passing a vote though the UN due to Russia wanting to trade with them.

4C) Russia sells Iraq two Foxtrot class submarine's.

4D) China agrees to import oil from Iraq.

5) In March of 2007 a Terrorist attack out at sea with a torpedo sinks a cruise ship and kills over 500. Bush blames Iraq for this attack but is unable to convince congress to go to war. A newly formed Terrorist origination operating out of bases built in rural Iraq with some camps in Iran claims they did it.

5A) In the few days leading to the attack Iraqi rebels had Captured Umm Qasr Port but were betrayed by 1/3 of there forces who were turned out to be Terrorist that shot them down by surprise once they had secured the port and the submarine docked there.

5B) The CIA had gained solid Intel over the previous two months that Saudi Arabia had funded the Terrorist cell that committed this attack. Bush after reading the report already made his mind up that the CIA must have made a mistake just like he felt all those people telling him about a hurricane in the golf that was going to hit new Orleans. The CIA then held a briefing with congress and they largely ignored the report. No one in the Public was informed of this finding by the CIA.

5C) The NSA Strongly felt the leader of the group was based out of Pakistan but Bush was too afraid to do more than contact there Government who denied any Terrorist in that cell were in there nation to there knowledge.

5D) Some internet Rumors were that this Terrorist cell had a camp in the mountains of India and Bribed the local Government to keep there mouths shut.

5E) The FBI managed to stop an attack in January of 2007 with a plot to derail a train with a team of trained Terrorist. All but two of those in the plot were taken alive. They gave false Intel that a 2nd team planned on attacking the Empire state building in May. But the FBI for a month believed that it could be true and heavily worked on verifying this given information.

6) In June of 2007 a 2nd Terrorist attack in Washington DC with 20 heavily armed combatants storms the Supreme court and kills every judge but one who manged to hide until the swat team arrived to then gun all the Terrorist down.

6A) The KGB in may of 2007 had told Russia there Intel of a plot to attack an unknown target in DC funded by a state actor. Putin told bush the little Intel that he knew. Bush took the case to the people and said we must declare war on Iraq now for being a breeding ground for Terrorist. The media slammed Bush calling him a warmonger printing excuses out of thin air. The approval rating polls dropped by more than %5 and his trust worthy ratings dropped as well.

6B) Congress called out Bush and said they wanted a copy of the KGB reports for the CIA to review. Russia refused to provide copy's of there Intel.

6C) After the attack in June Congress came around to the idea of cracking down on Iraq, but many worried about reelection next year if they were wrong about going to war with Iraq.

7) In July of 2007 Congress calls to openly support a rebel faction and gets many of the NATO nations to agree with officially support and supply the rebel faction in Iraq. Bush again calls for war but fails due to Russia stressing that Iraq is now under it's protection and that the Terrorist threat isn't there fault.

7A) Many in Congress did sit down and start the process to declare formal war against Iraq, but back tracked when Russia made a public statement claiming they fully back the government of Iraq.

7B) The CIA believes that the Terrorist cell is most likely to steal a nuclear bomb from Pakistan or India due to possible breaches in there military bases.

7C) The NSA has Intel that Iraq may have already built a 10 kiloton bomb, but the source is questionable.

7D) MI6 reports to the CIA that they found and stopped a cell who planned on using a RPG to blow up a plane.

8) Russia in the following day's responds by setting up a no fly zone over Iraq and carpet bombing the rebel forces.

8A) The US sends in a B2 stealth bomber at night by the order of Bush after reading the NSA report. The target was taken out and radar did not pick up the plane.

8B) Iraq speeds up it's production of the nuclear device at the alternative site underground.

9) In May of 2008 some Terrorist manages to Drive trucks though NYC and kill over 250 by running them over and shooting.

9A) A plot on the same day to fly a plane into fort Knox fails.

9B) A plot to bomb the UN building that same month fail's.

9C) Shortly after the now international Terrorist cell in Iraq claims right away they were behind it.

10) In June of 2008 Congress already under very intense pressure quickly passes a huge gun control bill that is signed into law by bush that only allows the sale of shotguns and bolt action hunting rifles after August 2008. Also forces all guns and who owns them to be logged in a government data base by November.

10A) The media had been heavily blasting gun's for over a year. They repeatedly lambasted the idea of people needing assault weapons for anything legal. They also said handguns compounded the issue and threw in all the normal shooting's and people who killed themselves with the acts of Terror to make there case.

10B) The polls showed %53 disproved of the 2nd amendment and over %80 disproved of guns classified as assault weapons.

11) On December 25th 2008 a Cargo ship enters Charleston SC and Terrorist from Iraq set off a fission bomb with a 40 kiloton yield. So Bush the following day Declares martial law and chooses to invade Iraq without legal approval from Congress while Russians are still conducting air strikes against rebel forces still fighting the Iraqi Government.

11A) On December 26th 2008 riots break out in SC as the power fails. Rumor's across the net spread that more attacks are coming. Some people momentarily think the third world war has started leading to massive amounts of theft and crime nation wide.

11B) A hacker going by the name Terror of the light backed by the Terrorist cell claims more is coming soon via a video uploaded to the internet.

Would Obama still be sworn into the office of the presidency on January 20th of 2009 after such an event? Could the Untied States avoid a war with Russia if this had happened? Would Bush let go of his power after he had declared martial law? Is there a way that things could stabilize after such a horrible attack has happened while the global financial system was failing?
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