What if Holocaust never happened

CalBear

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Hitler would have to be an entirely different person to avoid the lunacy of the Reich. That person would never reach power.

This being said, without the Holocaust (I am assuming it simply doesn't happen, including to the Roma, Slavs, homosexuals, other religious minorities, etc.) the population of Jews in Europe would increase at the same pace as all other groups in Europe and the U.S. There would be no Israel as there would be no reason for the British to give up the Mandate or withdraw in the face of relatively minor terrorism by Zionist groups like the Sten Gang.
 
Hitler only gets elected on a platform of the Volk was stabbed in the back. So antisemitism is crucial to his political strategy. he can't do without it. Genocide beomes the plan in 1940 after the Wansee confrence. So that is the likely POD. So the Jews are rounded up in labor camps not extermination camps. The war ends with the Russians in Berlin . The Jews get the same warm response when returning to jebedawe, Poland or Odessa or Vilnius. The impetus to leave Eastern Europe after the war still exists. The US, UK, Canada, Australia and Sourth America are not opening the gates to mass immigration as in OTL . So we will probably see a larger number of jewish refugees try to get to the Holy land. If even one third of the 16-18 million Jews head for the yishuv, Israel's starting population goes up from 600 000 to 4-6 million to which is added another 800 000 Sephardi Jews chased out of Dar al islam. Birthrates may drop form 5 to 3 children per couple over the next 70 years but we ccould see an Israel with 20 million people by 2018.
 
I think a major aspect of this is if the Germans doesn't see them in the same manner as in OTL, there's really only one way to see the and that's as Volkdeutsche. This means if the War end up as OTL, the Jews of East Europe will end up as the Volkdeutsche.
I wonder how much the Germans could gain if they tried leveraging any residual resentment amongst those who fled the Russian Pogroms and their descendants.
 
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