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What if Hitler and OKW decided that the Navy was too weak after Norway and the Air Force also needed rest after France and decided In July 1940 that Britain wouldn't be invaded until May 1941. The air force wouldn't bomb Britain at all until then concentrating on building up strength, training and fuel reserves. No barges would be gathered in the channel ports. No British counter bombing of Germany would occur. S boats wouldn't be used for picking up pilots in the channel and could attack commerce immediatly.
Lets also assume that Hilter decides to invade Russia anyway in January 41 as in OTL and so the invasion of England get called off as in OTL then.
Would the extra air force not consumed in B of B be decisive in Russia? Would the British start bombing Germany at some point anyway?