Ukraine is divided into basically 4 parts around this time. West absolutely HATES russians, east considers itself russia, south doesn't care closer ot east but much more rich and in general not active. Centre and Kyiv in middle but shifting Westwards overtime. So Ukraine can shift one or the other way. OTL Ukraine balanced in the middle till Putin decided to start his irregular invasion.
Baltics native population despises Russians, loathes them completely. Each is unique but after the OMON affair, killing at the TV tower etc. The only way they stay aligned with Russia is local Russians wage a civil war and win. But their number are few and they are not that organized. Without Russian troops they lose.
Poland hates Russians, Polish communists even hate Russia. Without ASB there no way Poland stays aligned with Russia. Perhaps Stalin back in the day exterminates Poles en mass, he would have to outdo himself though.
Current situation in the region is fascinating. I was born in Kyiv and lived there till my teens. Born in interesting times indeed and more interesting times are coming. Putin wants to break NATO, will he succeed we will see! The place of decision will be in the Baltics I think, his irregular war is coming.