What does Japan do in an "Allied Victory in 1940" scenario

Bearcat

Banned
Why? There was no oil embargo until after the invasion of Indochina. In this scenario Japan can settle in for a long, bloody war against the Chinese. Eventually, they should win it.

How?

The Japanese have no idea how to win in China. They simply don't have the manpower to hold down an area that size against any opposition.

Remember public opinion was gradually rising against Japan in the US for a long time, thanks to Luce and others. Even without Indochina, sooner or later the embargo is likely. Particularly as more accounts of atrocities and Unit 731 tales leak out.
 
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