If the premise of the OP is taken as our departure, I see 3 different options
1. Modify the attack plan, attack at first light and prepare to fight their way in (high risk, see "Battle at Dawn" for possible results of this. Likely result: probable heavy damage to the fleet (battleships) but at an excessive cost (potentially 1/3 to 1/2 of the attack force)
2. The Imperial Navy tells Yamamoto 'no' as the risks are too high. The carriers instead support the Southern Operation and the Navy goes with its original pre war plan which consists of using attrition tactics with aircraft and submarines to weaken the USN before defeating it in Decisive Battle. As the USN was willing to wait until 1943 to even start the main part of the drive based on Plan Orange (needs time for the support ships and combat ships being built under the 2 Ocean Navy plan) this likely ends poorly for Japan anyway, but potentially could be pretty costly for the USN too.
3. Variation of 2, but after seizing Rabual and the Solomons drive into the South Pacific (Fiji/New Caledonia/Samoa) earlier, say February/ March 1942) instead of May - August 1942 (the OTL plan) while the US is still trying to secure that line of communications. This requires some pretty substantial planning and strains tanker/oiler resources and definitely more troops from the Army earlier. Has the advantage of putting heavy pressure on the Americans and possibly drawing the USN into battle far from its major base at Pearl Harbor (instead of say Midway).
While I think a variation on Option 2, Nimitz using his CVs to raid the edges of Japan's "barrier" defense while his (English's) subs (all of the Asiatic & Pacific Fleet boats, based out of Pearl) choke Japan's SLOCs. Politically, I think it's unviable, given MacArthur (not to mention Oz, which could be handed over to the Brits to deal with--if you're prepared to have MacArthur in Hawai'i.

{I'd sooner have the plague in Hawai'i.

})
So, what we get is SWPA with all the marbles, more/less. Now, this might leave Nimitz free to use English's subs on SLOCs, without risk of fratricide from SWPA...except, one of the best patrol areas (Luzon Strait, between Luzon & Formosa) would likely be off-limits for that reason... Still, if it puts the OTL Oz boats in Hawai'i & more boats off Japan & Korea, Japan loses faster--even while MacArthur takes his sweet time to go from New Guinea to Celebes to Tawi Tawi to...oh, wait, the Sovs have declared war: the war is over...

("I shall run for President"...)
Oh, FYI: IMO, the war would end sooner than OTL in this scenario--but not a lot.
Edit: I should add, it probably precludes Allied landings at Anzio, at the very least, & maybe Anvil, too--unless the Allies don't reduce the priority on building LC (which was done OTL after the decision to push Neptune back to '44 was taken); given SWPA demand for LC, it's likely the priority is as high as OTL, or higher--& fewer CVEs/CVLs are built, instead (which will not be a bad thing in the long run).