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Every so often another thread discussing a Soviet victory in the Cold War comes up, and it quickly gets bogged down in arguments about whether it's ASB and practically every poster having a different idea of what it means, so I think it would be useful to have a discussion on what is a plausible victory scenario for the Soviets.

Personally, I think that the most plausible victory for the USSR would be a Finlandized Western/Central Europe (thus an end to NATO), conjoined with some sort of long-term economic collapse in the USA rendering it unable to oppose the Soviets outside of the Western Hemisphere/where ever it had bases that it hasn't been kicked out of, allowing the Soviet model to propagate freely.
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