What does a 1915 - '16 CP victory look like?

With the Western Front static, and the Eastern Front not quite the mobile roll up of Russian forces it turns out to be, what does a non-ASB CP victory look like between 1915 - 1916?
Is this even possible?
 
Independent neutral poland between russia/germany, germany gets the belgian congo/a few minor french african colonies but largely status quo otherwise
 
Independent neutral poland between russia/germany, germany gets the belgian congo/a few minor french african colonies but largely status quo otherwise

I meant more like, how can the CP get there militarily/diplomatically. Like what changes to strategy would need to be taken
 
The best bet is that the Germans play 1915-1916 better so that Falkenhayn stays in power, avoiding the Hindenburg Economic program and unrestricted submarine warfare, avoiding American entry and leaving Germany in better economic shape which can out last the Allies without American money (probably mid 1917 before that all can complete).

How can we keep Falkenhayn in power:
a) East front strategy in 1916? (Avoiding the Brusilov offensive and keep Romania out)
b) OR Include west of the Meuse in the Verdun strategy, or just rush the place and shorten the line, or get better weather.

Getting the Allies to agree to peace before 1917 seems hard though. Can't really beat the Allies in the west. No reason for the Czar to make peace in 1916.
 
One often discussed point would be Italien neutrality. That would have tremendous reprecussions on the Russians as the Austrians can concentrate on them and the Serbians. Added to that, other minor powers will take note and the changing situation will compound.
What could the CP do for that? Maybe be a bit better in the Fall and Winter of 14 for the Austrians. Not impossible and even little, Imo, helps here.

Another diplomatic thing the CP could try, is a stronger pointing out of Entente actions, like cutting the cables and the blockade that was against the comon practice of the time and even against prior British custom.
That could rack up the pressure of the Entente and worsen their financial situation Imo. Also a strong point could be made of their culpability in helping on of the worst absolute monarchies of the time... namely Russia. So all the telling of fighting for Democracy and such will be so much harder.
 
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