What did Hitler hope to achieve with the DoW on USA ?

Agree Hitler, like many Germans and probably many others outside the USA, had no idea just how big America was and how little chance they had of any meaningful attack against the country.

I don't buy this at all. It's not hard to look at a map or figures for steel production.
 
I don't buy this at all. It's not hard to look at a map or figures for steel production.

It seems unrealistic and crazy that they didn't realize... but then they did declare war on the USA, and they did plan to fight the three greatest powers of the time (every individually bigger than Germany), so...
 
I don't buy this at all. It's not hard to look at a map or figures for steel production.

Yes, it would probably be more accurate to say that Hitler failed to appreciate the military significance of economic power.

Both Hitler and the japanese leaders lived in a world of their own making; simply "looking at a map" meant nothing. Remember that Hitler thought he could grab the USSR and Japan wanted China; not exactly small dots in a map. It's how they translated this into reality that matter; Hitler was convinced of Arian Racial and Tecnical superiority, Japan saw itself as "divine invencible warriors". And both scoffed at american martial capabilites: not the weapons, etc, but the people themselves. Yes, they read the maps and maybe even the figures, but they saw what they wanted to see.
 
If I remember correctly, the US had declared a "neutral zone" where it protected ships; techincally (a very thin technicallity, but still...) it was just defending those ships...

Well, the "neutrality zone" was half of the Atlantic.

Hitler also didn't realize that what he considered our "greatest weakness" was actually our greatest strength. Namely, our diversity as a people. He credited our successes to the "Germanic" blood in our nation and our failures to the "mongrel" blood we had by mixing immigrants of various nationalities.

In this time period, any "diversity" celebrated was a diversity of white people.
 
The problem is, for invading Soviet Union he had to go through Poland. Meaning war with UK and France. Meaning likely war (or undeclared conflict at sea) with the USA.

His choices were :
Expand west
Expand east (war with the Anglo-US)
Expand into Balkans (war with the Anglo-US)

Nazi plans were almost unworkable, unless they somehow managed to force Britain to negociate peace BEFORE any conflict with the US. Or brought Poland on their side and invaded the SU with Polish support.


HITLER/NAZI choice was the original strategic plan which HITLER rejected in 1936 and hastily cobbled together his catastrophic FOUR YEAR PLAN.
 

gaijin

Banned
There was a short window of opportunity for semi-plausible German victory, in 1941. Avoid coup that takes Yugoslavia out of German sphere and subsequent balkan war that delayed Barbarossa. If Germans succeed in taking Leningrad-Moscow-Stalingrad quickly enough, then British might give up and go for negotiated peace. But even if British decide to keep going and US gets attacked by Japan, Red Army will disintegrate and USSR will collapse. Nazi racial nonsense would result in occupied USSR being net drain on and manpower, while some sort of Vichy-like arrangement could cut on costs of occupation (nazis also kept collective farms, dissolving them would improve food production in occupied territories). Freed manpower could be enough to prevent any successful invasion on European mainland, and if air superiority over Germany would be maintained, it'd mean US couldn't drop the bomb.
That's a lot conditional ifs, but no outright impossibles.

That is not correct. The German army relief on speed of manoeuvre as its main weapon. For that it needed to be able to move ad quickly as possible. Russia had two "mud seasons" or to use the Russian word rasputitsa, one in fall one in spring. Barbarossa was launched as soon as the land had dried enough after the spring Rasputitsa to allow fast movement of armoured columns.

Butterfly away the campaign in Yugoslavia and you start Barbarossa at the same time as ITL.
 

gaijin

Banned
GERMANY never planned any war with either USSR or USA. Hitler on the other hand had such racial hatred for the Slaves & Jews that once he embraced AMERICA as the leader of international Jewary [After Munich] he was driven to attack America & Russia.. No wonder there were 20 attempts on his life...many were from Wehrmacht.

Uhm no. The wehrmacht in general and the officer corps in particular were fully on board in regards to attacking the Soviet Union. Notice the total lack of institutional resistance to the plan. The overwhelming majority of the officer corps agreed with Hitler that the Soviet Union was a threat and this was the time to deal with it.

This ties in with the larger picture that many German officers may have found the Nazi's tacky but they Agreed with the majority of the program. There was overwhelming support for rearmament. Likewise there was no objection among the officer class to aggressive wars of conquest. They pretty much all agreed that Germany had a right to control Central and eastern Europe.

When it comes to the genocidal actions undertaken. Pretty much the same thing. Most officers may have found them "in bad taste", but on the other hand most did not find them bad enough to do as much as protest or resign their positions. Most German officers of the age would take offence if you called them nazis, but that was mainly because they considered the Nazis tacky and upstarts, not because they disagreed with the nazis on the majority of their program.

Postwar of course everyone was blaming only the nazis but we should never forget that the nazis could never have done what they did were it not for the active support of significant sections of the German population. The cooperation of thearmy and officer class especially was am essential ingredient in this.
 
Russia had two "mud seasons" or to use the Russian word rasputitsa, one in fall one in spring.
Spring rasputitsa is march-april thing. Annoyingly, almost all internet encyclopedia refuse to mention any details as if afraid they'd hunt them down and kill their families. Took some digging to find out that rasputitsa of 1941 was particularly long.
Main advantage of no Balkan war is more supplies left for Barbarossa (for example in 1939, Germans spend large fraction of their supplies in Poland, and had to rebuild them over winter), but extra few weeks would be nice.
 
Yes, it would probably be more accurate to say that Hitler failed to appreciate the military significance of economic power.

No, that's exactly the same thing written down differently. And it's nonsense. It's not hard to understand that x million tonnes of steel can lead to y thousands of tanks, or that access to international markets and global resources is better than coal and starvation. And the economic and industrial effects of blockade were hardly a mystery in Germany. Hell, didn't Hitler order the focus on the southern USSR in 1942 for explicitly economic reasons?

These kind of statements are really a failure of people to see things from Germany's strategic point of view. There's a great review on Amazon of Tooze's book... ah here it is:

The most satisfying outcome of the book is that Nazi Germany - the decisions, the reasoning, the policies - finally... well, finally make sense, and in an overarching way. In achieving this, Tooze makes significant use of Hitler's second book, which was neglected compared with 'Mein Kampf' as events jumped forward. Thanks in part to the spotlighting of the second book, for all his famous incompetence, delusion, and hubris, Hitler is partially refreshed as someone who, despite it all, also had a good grasp of events. Take a standard view, like Hobsbawm's (p.41 of his 'Age of Extremes'):

"The mystery is why Hitler, already fully stretched in Russia, gratuitously declared war on the USA ... There is no adequate explanation of Hitler's folly, though we know him to have persistently, and dramatically, underestimated the capacity for action, not to mention the economic and technological potential, of the USA because he thought democracies incapable of action."

As Tooze shows conclusively, Hitler most certainly did not underestimate the economic prowess of the US. Relatedly, if one keeps in mind, as Tooze does, Nazi goals and if one puts all the moral issues of aggressive and total war to one side, Hitler's sound understanding of parts of the world scene make the Nazi invasions and their timing "sane". Evil and, as Tooze shows, doomed to failure, but explicable, at long last, in a coherent way.

Once you understand the economic and industrial aspects, and combine them with the international relations of the time, then it's clear just how screwed Germany was in summer 1940, after Britain decided to stay in the fight and America decided that Britain was worth supporting. Germany's subsequent actions all flow naturally and logically from the economic and industrial implications.
 
Yes, it would probably be more accurate to say that Hitler failed to appreciate the military significance of economic power.

This is really hard to pin down as after 'My Struggle' was written Hitler commented very little to writing. A few memos, "Fuher Orders", and minutes from some meet ins or speeach transcripts.

Nothing like the policy papers, or numerous coherent series of papers left by Roosevelt & Churchill. But, it does look like Hitler did understand the industrial capacity of the US, and he understood in 1941 that capacity was being mobilized for war. He did read the reports from the German Embassies in the US and Mexico, he did have reports from spies & the AT-3 transcripts. What he failed to accept was the will of the US population in prosecuting a war. The idea the US could put a army capable of offensive action not Europe was denied by him. There were not enough of good Aryan stock in the US to do this. In his view the mongrelized race mix of the 'white' people in the US lacked the ability and will. Certainly in the nazi/Hitlerian view the Negros, Hispanics, 'Indians', Slavs, and Asian races living in the US were worthless as military material.
 
"The Happy Times" Hitler intended to slaughter American merchant shipping. Disrupting American aid to the Allies.
The Germans were able to sink a few hundred thousand tons of shipping before Admiral King figured out what was going on.
 
There is a joke Germans told -- carefully, trying to make sure there were no Gestapo agents, Blockleiter, or Pimpfen wishing to make a hit with their HJ leader, in the vicinity:

A man goes to the doctor and sees a map on the wall. “What is that enormous brown country?” he asks.

The doctor says, “That’s the Judeobolshevik Soviet Union.”

“And that great big green country?”

“That’s the judified and negrified United States.”

“And these red places all over?”

“That’s the effete and degenerate British Empire.”

“And this blue country, the not so big one in the middle?”

“Oh, that is Our Greater German Reich.”

The man had thought for a moment. Then, timidly, he had said, “Has the Führer seen this map?”
 
"Butterfly away the campaign in Yugoslavia and you start Barbarossa at the same time as ITL."

Sort of OT, but Army Group South took awhile to get its various component parts all assembled. Some, basically a panzer army and an infantry army, had been used in the Balkans and needed to refit, and showed up at the party late.

The effect of the Balkan campaign is poorly misunderstood. I think its correct that the date of the attack would not have been affected, as they attacked that year as soon as the weather was favorable and the Spring mud lasted late. But without the Balkan campaign, Army Group South would have made more progress earlier.
 
Uhm no. The wehrmacht in general and the officer corps in particular were fully on board in regards to attacking the Soviet Union. Notice the total lack of institutional resistance to the plan. The overwhelming majority of the officer corps agreed with Hitler that the Soviet Union was a threat and this was the time to deal with it.

This ties in with the larger picture that many German officers may have found the Nazi's tacky but they Agreed with the majority of the program. There was overwhelming support for rearmament. Likewise there was no objection among the officer class to aggressive wars of conquest. They pretty much all agreed that Germany had a right to control Central and eastern Europe.

When it comes to the genocidal actions undertaken. Pretty much the same thing. Most officers may have found them "in bad taste", but on the other hand most did not find them bad enough to do as much as protest or resign their positions. Most German officers of the age would take offence if you called them nazis, but that was mainly because they considered the Nazis tacky and upstarts, not because they disagreed with the nazis on the majority of their program.

Postwar of course everyone was blaming only the nazis but we should never forget that the nazis could never have done what they did were it not for the active support of significant sections of the German population. The cooperation of thearmy and officer class especially was am essential ingredient in this.


There was NO PLAN TO ATTACK RUSSIA OR AMERICA UNTIL HITLER TOOK OVER. The entire war plan from the late 1920s early 1930s envisaged at most a pre-emptive strike/invasion of Poland and France. But Groner [1928] stressed this could only occur under certain conditions- like the Wehrmacht was fully mobilized for total war and European/American support for such action in view of Franco-Polish aggression. Follow on to this was a German lead pan European anti Stalinist alliance to defend Europe against Russian attack. This was to be hammered out through a pan European economic alliance to rebuild Europe in the wake of the great depression. Schacht & government pushed for such a 15 year plan but when Nazi took over Hitler was unwilling to wait until the early 1940s for such a plan to congeal. When Hitler found out that some eastern European countries resisted such negotiations and the plan may not be reached until 1950, he baulked at these efforts and imposed his bullshit plans of conquest/coercion and politics instead in the second half of the 1930s.

Don't give a toss about what some officers wanted , they were not the power until they were backed by Hitler.
 
Craig wrote:
I'll never forget when I had a (West) German roommate while a student at the University of Colorado-Boulder in the early 1980s. One Friday he announced that he would ride his motorcycle to Yellowstone National Park for the weekend. The distance (by car) works out to be about 600 miles (or 964.00 kilometers). When he got back, he wistfully exclaimed that he "never expected it (Wyoming) to be so BIG!"

I suspect that Hitler had no real idea of the sheer size of the United States. Or that it (unlike the USSR) was not the intractable wilderness that was Siberia, but fully populated. That the US was a nation the size of a continent, with the population of a continent was simply not part of his mental map.

Ya this is STILL not uncommon an issue. A cousin of my wife, (who note is a middle school teacher in Germany) tossed off a question to my wife if she and family could 'drop by' while they were visiting Washington... (DC not state) When my wife enquired further she made sure to post driving and distance maps as she noted that DC was a 'bit' further than a 'day-trip' from Utah...

Being stationed over there was also educating. Describing how I'd had to drive 3 days to get from one US duty station to another when if any of them did that they'd have gone through several NATIONS in doing so

As noted the declaration, by the time it happened, was seen by most in Germany as simply acknowledging the already simmering conflict. I did read an article where it was expanded upon that both Ribbentrop and Hitler specifically "delayed" the decision and announcement even though the Japanese ambassador in Berlin had expressly and immediately demanded a German declaration of support on the 8th of December. The idea was that it would seem that Hitler was hoping for the exact thing that Churchill feared in that the US, having been attacked by Japan directly, would therefore turn their attention on Japan and leave England and Russia to 'hold' in Europe. Supposedly the 9th and 10th was to allow the US to make just such an announcement but lack of such and continued support of Britain and Russia, (and promises of more) made it unlikely by the hour.

The hope that a German declaration would reciprocated with a Japanese declaration of war, (and some support from) against Russia was the main factor that drove the decision but I'm less certain of that argument than the author was as it does not seem anyone in Germany pushed for or was given any assurance of such a move. (And frankly unlikely given the Japanese disposition and goals but I'm not sure the Germans could have understood that even if they'd know the planning)

Randy
 
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