Are we talking most likely states that don't exist IOTL, or including those that exist IOTL? If the former, I have to agree with the CSA and Quebec. If the latter, well, most of them. There tends to be something roughly France-like in almost every DBWI. Aside from Quebec and sometimes Newfoundland and/or the Maritimes, Canada is usually roughly the same. China, Japan, Australia and New Zealand (except in surviving British Empire scenarios), some sort of Mexico, generally a Brazil...