Wettin Prussia

Frederick Wettin, Grand Master of Teutonic Order, who died aged 37 in 1510, like his successor, Albert Hohenzollern, had family connections with Jagiellons, overlords of Prussia since 1466 peace of Thorn-Frederick's brother, George the Bearded, was married to Barbara, daughter of King Casimir IV. Also, just like Albert Hohenzollern, Frederick wanted opposed Polish suzerainty over Prussia. So what if Frederick in ATL fills role of Albert? Say, he lives longer (his brothers lived to their late 60s, so not unlikely), returns to Prussia after he left in 1507, fights war against Sigismund the Old, and then, defeated, decides to convert to Lutheranism, pays homage to Polish King and is granted title of hereditary Duke of Prussia circa 1525. In OTL not only Albert, but also his brothers and nephews were given rights to inherit Prussia, ITTL likely descendants of George the Bearded would be included in line of succession. Still, Frederick, who will be 52 yo in 1525, could estabilish his own line, perhaps he could marry Sigismund's niece, Barbara Hohenzollern:
https://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Barbara_of_Brandenburg-Ansbach-Kulmbach

To strenghten his ties with Jagiellons. So what would be consequences? Unlike Brandenburg, Saxony has no land connection not only with Prussia, but even with Poland, so there is little prospect of the two territories being united. Without Hohenzollern Duke of Prussia, relations between Poland and Brandenburg during rest of16th century would be colder (IOTL Brandenburgians wanted to get rights to inherit Ducal Prussia, so they were friendly towards Poland), although Joachim II could still be interested in marriage with Hedwig-she was heiress of Zápolya family before her cousin, John Sigismund was born in 1540.
 
Would he need to marry Sigmund's niece though? It's not like Albrecht did.

Would be fun if Wilhelm of Ansbach - Albrecht's less well-known brother who was Archbishop of Riga (and grand master of the Livonian Order IIRC) manages to create a Livonian equivalent to Prussia TL
 
Albrecht was already Sigismund's nephew, and he wanted to marry Anna, Sigismund's daughter. ITTL son of Frederick and Barbara, having Jagiellon blood, could claim throne of PLC in 1572 if we assume there is butterfly net, fullfilling dream of Augustus the Strong 130 years earlier-Wettins are elective Kings of Poland, but also have hereditary duchy on Baltic coast.
 
Albrecht was already Sigismund's nephew, and he wanted to marry Anna, Sigismund's daughter. ITTL son of Frederick and Barbara, having Jagiellon blood, could claim throne of PLC in 1572 if we assume there is butterfly net, fullfilling dream of Augustus the Strong 130 years earlier-Wettins are elective Kings of Poland, but also have hereditary duchy on Baltic coast.

Quick question, would it be absolutely necessary for Friedrich of Saxony to convert in order to secularize the order's lands? If he makes a deal with the king of Poland, and stays nominally Catholic - sure, he can be excommunicated, but there were princes of the church who were fonder of their "prince" role than cleric (Albrecht of Hohenzollern, Giovanni de Medici, Ippolito de Medici I'm looking at you). But it's such a distant province is the pope going to be able to do anything before it goes too far - while converting the order's domains into his own private kingdom. IIRC the Polish kings had problems with the Teutonic Order, so it's hardly as though Sigismund would be averse to this deal - I (Friedrich) get the order's lands, and you (Sigismund) get to be nominal overlord.

The emperor might protest, but he's a bit busy in the League of Cambrai in 1510, and his grandson/heir is trying to figure out how the Hell to run a world empire. Also, if the Wettin dukes remain Catholic, Karl V might see them as a good alternative if/when he deprives their cousin of his electorate (on grounds of treason, skips over Moritz/August because they're Lutheran scum, oh goody, here's a Catholic Wettin cousin). Elector of Saxony, duke of Prussia, and perhaps heir to the kingdom of Poland, sounds half like a Wettin wank and sounds half like where the Hohenzollerns were OTL (elector of Brandenburg (Johann Georg), duke of Prussia (Albrecht Friedrich) and perhaps heir to the kingdom of Poland (Johann Georg's half-brother, Sigmund, prince-archbishop of Magdeburg)
 
Lutheranism was gaining ground in Prussia anyway, rule of Catholic Knightly Order backlashed and made Protestantism attractive alternative to warrior monks. There is option, that Grand Master Frederick do not break his vows, but made his nephews (who are also nephews of Sigismund) heirs of Ducal Prussia. IOTL brothers of Albrecht Hohenzollern were also included in succession line.
 
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