We Require no Protection - A Romania TL

Why isn't Take Ionescu, a high member of the Conservative establishment, a member of Maiorescu's cabinet?

Story reasons. The cabinet is not necessarily that good of a springboard for higher politics anyway.

Also, why did he switched fraction, from the New Conservatives, the most progressive fraction of the Conservatives, to Eminescu's Nationalists, the most conservative one?

Politics?

Also, I can imagine why Marxists were eliminated from the current Parliament, but why the Feminist Caucus? Has Sofia Nădejde withdrawed from politics or has she rejoined the mainline Socialist fraction?
And would the Moldavian Belt extend towards the harbour of Cetatea Albă?

The Socialist Party is in such a disarray that factional lines do not matter as much right now. There are still Marxists and Feminists in Parliament, I just chose to not delineate them for this particular time. Sofia Nădejde has not withdrawn, she's still active in both politics and political philosophy literature.

Cetatea Albă is in Eastern Moldavia.
 
I was thinking that as a harbour it would have a large working class population, which would be trending Republican after the discrediting of the Socialist Party.

It's much too close to the border for any administration to be interested in developing it. War with Russia is still a very real thing that remains on the minds of Romanian leaders, and Cetatea Albă is one of the settlements that is most likely to fall in Russian hands in case of a quick offensive.
 
Hey, @Richthofen, when would you release a new update?
Also, why isn't the mining region of Hunedoara in the Socialist column?

Next week, maybe.

Nationalism and the Conservative Party's role through President Catargiu in Transylvania's unification with Romania. That and the Socialist Party is kind of seen as "siding" with the the Magyars in most of Transylvania.
 
Chapter L
CHAPTER L
The elections of 1900 and the configuration of power that they produced left the most Romanian parties in awkward positions. The Conservatives and Titu Maiorescu had won the presidential election but failed to cement their previous relative majority, falling down a few notches after the Socialist Party’s own drop. This meant that even though they controlled the executive, much of the legislative agenda of the 1900-1904 term would be dictated by a Liberal-Republican majority. On the other hand, the last major battle inside the party, the face-off between Lascăr Catargiu and Titu Maiorescu, had left the party bereft of any high-profile politicians, a situation that was not particularly great for a party that now had to claw its way back up to the up if it wanted to survive as a national party in the midst of the left side of the spectrum being dominated by a single strong coalition. Backbencher Nicolae Alexandri emerged as the Assembly leader of the conservatives, although his position remained unstable, as scheming in the 2nd echelon of the party, as well as by the administration continued.

On the other side of the spectrum, the socialists found themselves in a spiral of destruction and powerlessness – the bitter defeat and the constant in-fighting by old and new leaders made it impossible for the party to re-coalesce. While the anarchist elements had been expelled from the party prior to the Red Uprising, the organization remained the only scapegoat, a situation that was greatly exarcebated by the Conservatives and Liberals who went out of their way to push the idea that the Socialist Party itself was looking to destroy the very democratic fabric of the Romanian society. Vasile Morțun, the party’s leader resigned in the wake of the 1900 election, choosing to take responsibility for the party’s defeat. His exit re-activated the power-struggles that had permeated the party after the end of President Rosetti’s tenure. The more radical-minded faction under the leadership of the Nădejde couple fought with the Social-democrats, a faction that was led by a trio of former Vice President George Panu, philosopher Adrian Coronescu and physician Gheorghe Grigorovici. Panu, now 52, was looking to revive his political career after a long time away from political affairs, a time he had spent writing both as a journalist and a political theorist. Both Panu and Coronescu were supporters of former President Brătianu, having praised the president for his policies of enfranchisement of women and for the incremental progressive policies that he had enacted. Coronescu named the Brătianu presidency as the natural continuation of the Rosetti presidency in terms of policies and lambasted the more radical wing of the Socialist Party both for its policy of “They Cannot Be Trusted” as well as for failing to contain the elements that went on to provoke the Red Uprising. More moderate than even Panu, Coronescu considered himself to be neither a “Red Liberal” nor a “Yellow Socialist” but more like an “orange kind of merger”.

Politically and economically, Coronescu supported a liberal stance – he was a supporter of the organic interpretation of the Constitution, one in which parties could form, live and die on their own terms, not one in which the politicians would be forced to live inside a large-tent party simply in order give stability to the political system – thus in direct opposition to the dualist interpretation adopted by both large parties, the PNL and the PC. In this sense, he believed more parties would enhance the democratic life of the republic and would force politicians to debate and develop more, thus avoiding duopolies and other forms of accumulation of power. Because of this stance he considered himself to be more liberal politically than most PNL members – in his book „Liberalismul Deturnat – Cronica Partidului Național Liberal” (“How Liberalism was hijacked – a chronicle of the National Liberal Party”), Coronescu argued that political calculus had made liberals abandon their mission and side with the Conservatives time and time again on issues that are “comprehensively not liberal”. In the economy, unlike most other socialists, Coronescu did not fully reject the laissez-faire system that the PNL supported. He believed the free market was essential in the development of a welfare system and he rejected the form of aggressive regulation that most other socialists believed to be necessary. In this sense, his economical and social ideas fused together to form what he coined “The Idealist Liberalism” in which capitalists would be allowed to engage in their activity with little to no interference from government, meaning no direct regulation, confiscation or discriminatory taxes, but instead taxation would be set at a certain point that would be deemed ideal for the development of the social state, as envisioned by a social-democratic ideology with a humanist interpretation – decent living wages, full equality and access to a range of state-provided social goods such as healthcare and education.

Gheorghe Grigorovici, the last of the moderate leaders, was the most traditionally social-democratic politician of the three. Originally from the northern town of Storojineț, Grigorovici entered local politics in order to stop the liberal-conservative duopoly that had been formed in the local council of the town. In time, he clashed with the fellow young conservative politician, Ioan Flondor, a member of an old noble family in the former Principality of Moldavia. Nevertheless, they left their hometown sometime in 1899 to represent their respective parties in Bucharest but their rivalry continued. While Flondor became a member of the Junimea and went on to serve as a secretary of state in the Ministry of Internal Affairs, Grigorovici turned to trying to restore his party to national prominence.

Finally, the PNL’s situation was somewhere in between. Together with their republican peers they had managed to dominate the legislative election, and while they failed to win a third presidential term, the liberal establishment had already resigned itself with the fact that for this election cycle the presidency was to be out of their grasp, since even if they won, a republican would hold the office. At the same time, the Brătianu family had managed to thoroughly impose itself as the leadership of the party, something that was not of particular joy to many local politicians, but most of them understood that there was no point in challenging the Brătianu authority in the party at this point. Meanwhile, the younger Brătianu was heavily pushed by the party establishment to prepare himself for the election of 1904, when it was necessary that he represent the party in the presidential election.

Ending the Abyssinian Civil War with a show of strength from the Romanian side gave President Maiorescu enough momentum to start his own project in Romanian East Africa. Together with Minister Averescu of the Colonies, also a former Colonel in the Romanian Army and with Governor Barozzi, the president prepared a draft of a fundamental act for the colonial structure, something that would function as a pseudo-constitution. The act gave almost unlimited power to the three men – the President of Romania, the Minister of the Colonies and the Governor of REA in all areas of political, social and economic life of the colony. This, however could only happen in the territories directly under Romanian control, now limited to Eritrea and Ogaden, but steps were taken to ensure the full domination, in time, of the entire region. By this act, the different polities that came under the Romanian umbrella would officially become “realms”, with any mention of “sultanate”, “emperor”, “sultan” or any such designation that implied a local form of government being removed. Menelik II was forbidden from using the title of “emperor” and likewise, the other sultans also had to use the more neutral title of “monarch”.

A more controversial article of the act mentioned that any polity of the REA was to be guaranteed a republican and democratic form of government. This meant two things for Menelik and the other sultans: (1) that they could be more easily disposed of if they became unnecessary for the Romanians, since now they could simply cite this article to make a potential takeover legal and (2) it gave more firepower to the local opposition, most of whom were eagerly waiting for a chance to turn the tides once more. This rang even truer for the sultans of Majerteen and Warsangali, since they had more trouble controlling their opposition than Menelik. In this sense, now the monarchs of the REA were now forced to turn to Romanian help whenever an internal issue popped up, otherwise a takeover would be imminent. The move was devised to make the polities of the REA even more dependent on the Romanian administration. While they had already willingly allowed Romanian workforce and capital to penetrate their countries, which meant a source of economic domination by the metropole, the Romanian Colonial Armies were already dominating them militarily and none of the polities were in any position to challenge them, the political domination was now also enhanced, and there was no particular way for the monarchs to fight back.

Since the Overseas Territories were not subject to the Constitution of Romania, as per the administrative reform adopted by the 12th Parliament and by President Manu, President Maiorescu had little trouble pushing the act without the consent of the Senate or of Parliament as a whole. Nevertheless, the region thrived economically under the administration of Maiorescu and Barozzi – in the region directly administered by the governorship a new administrative subunit was created as the Colony of Eritreea and a full Romanian town was founded on the coast, Imina. The town’s name was given by colonists after their own hometown that was left deserted in the aftermath of their leaving for Eritrea. Among the new town’s 1800 inhabitants the running joke was that Imina did not die, it simply left for the warmer places (rom.: „Imina nu a dispărut, a plecat spre țările calde”).

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Map of Romanian East Africa (1902)
In Yellow - Territories under direct colonial administration
In Dark Blue - Realm of Abyssinia
In Light Blue - Realm of Warsangali
In Purple - Realm of Majerteen​

Imina soon became the capital of REA after Governor Barozzi went on to build the gubernatorial palace in the town. It became the hub through which Romanian colonists poured into the region and through which most of the economic development was planned. Barozzi’s REA functioned as a rather inclusive unit, Romanians were, of course, favoured when it came to commercial transactions and business, but the colonized people were also encouraged to participate in the economic and social life of the colony. Governor Barozzi’s liberal policies were meant to create a form of rapport between the Romanians and the local peoples, as part of the larger plan of taking more and more power away from the monarchs.

Governor Barozzi and President Maiorescu hoped to entice the people of the realms of REA to become accustomed to the political and economic opportunities and advantages that the metropole offered and side with Romania if and when a conflict arose between the colonizers and the local governments. A great deal of support came from those on the lower side of the traditional African societies. The Fundamental Act of Romanian East Africa forbade slavery and any kind of social stratification based on clan or tribal membership. While this initially upset the great clans and tribes, the economic advantages that came from more inclusive institutions eroded their power enough that it soon did not matter as much.

Although the Constitution of Romania proclaimed full neutrality of the state in terms of the religious beliefs of its citizens or the organized cults, this could not be applied to the colonies, which meant the Romanian Orthodox Church could be given a free hand, especially in the majority-Orthodox Abyssinia. The Church had been completely cut off from funding and from its influence in the Romanian Government ever since the proclamation of the republic in 1844, but it remained bitter and unwilling to give up its pretense to shaping the political scene. Completely ignored and even fought against during liberal administrations, the Church was treated with either mild disinterest or attempts to use the shaky influence it still had over the peasantry by conservative ones. President Maiorescu was never a great supporter of the Church, in fact, Junimea’s stance on the issue was one of moderate secularism but he saw an opportunity to subsume even more of the authority of the REA realms into the colonial structure itself. Steps were taken to put the Ethiopian Orthodox Church in a position of subordination to the Romanian Orthodox Church in order to take even more power away from the Monarch of Abyssinia. Little did the Church higher-ups realize at the time, that this gift which they ravenously accepted would spell even more loss of face with their Romanian faithful and would accomplish little to nothing in their hopes of dominating the political landscape of the African colonies.

While the administration of REA turned out to be quite a success in terms of local development, in Romania proper, President Maiorescu found himself in an uphill battle to get things done. Since colonial development did not initially yield any gains for Romania, rather it felt like a rather big drain on the budget and on the public finances, it gave enough ammunition to the president’s adversaries, especially those on the left to criticize what they believed to be an endeavor that was pointless and contrary to the country’s founding principles. It soon became rather clear that President Maiorescu’s term, one dominated legislatively by the liberals and the republicans, would see no major conservative policy or legislation enacted. For this reason, the president decided to fully dedicate himself to colonial expansion and hope that by the end of his term the country would finally see a strong boon to the country’s coffers so that he could ride that wave to re-election and hopefully also put the Conservative Party on the road to secure a plurality in Parliament.

Hence, together with other Conservative leaders, Maiorescu drafted a general plan that was set to be submitted to Parliament whenever the conservatives had enough legislative clout to see it passed. Titled “Normative Acts for the Functioning of the Empire” (rom.: „Acte normative pentru funcționarea Imperiului”), the legislative package was to encompass all acts pertaining to the colonies and the colonial administration including previous legislation enacted during the presidencies of Gheorghe Manu and Ion Brătianu. What the president hoped with the new legislation was to create a legal cadre that would not be so easily displaced should, at some point, a potential socialist president or a socialist majority in Parliament try to dismantle the Colonial Empire that successive conservative and liberal administrations worked to build.

As the movement of Romanians to the Islands of the Aegean and to Romanian East Africa was beginning to take off, President Maiorescu was interested in evening the expanded growth of the population of Romania by making opportunities for the people that would otherwise leave for the Americas so that they would populate the colonies instead. In order to better coordinate migration policies, a census was scheduled to be conducted at the start of 1902 and was completed almost a year later, in December 1902.

The census revealed that the country’s population had grown by 3.3 million since the last census in 1870 to reach a total of 31.2 million people. Romanians made up close to 79% of this number, 11% were ethnic Magyars while Germans, the most sizeable minority after them, Serbs, Ukrainians, Jews and Roma formed the rest. While the colonization of the Western Plain that was placed in an on and off stance by several administrations did not yield the best of results, the population of ethnic Romanians still grew and changed at the expense of the minorities’. In the Western Plain, Romanians rose to 30% percent, both through internal migration and through the migration of the local population. Dobruja’s diminishing Bulgarian and Turkish population dropped even lower than in 1870 due to even more population exchanges at local level by the Bulgarian and Romanian authorities. The population of Aromanians also expanded, as more and more Aromanians from Greece decided to settle both in the Inalienable Territory and also in the Islands of the Aegean, although the colonies were not included in the census. The fastest growing population remained that of the original principalities although compared to the Habsburg Era, Transylvania’s population growth became stronger as well.

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Ethnic map of Romania (1902), ethnic majority by electoral circumscription

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Ethnic map of Romania (1902), second most populous ethnicity by electoral circumscription​
 
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It seems Europeans, or at least Romania, will have a much larger settler presence in the colonies TTL. Will Italy complete the Italianization of Lybia as well? Are the French active in Algeria?
 
It seems Europeans, or at least Romania, will have a much larger settler presence in the colonies TTL. Will Italy complete the Italianization of Lybia as well? Are the French active in Algeria?

Romania's colonies will have a larger settler presence mostly due to continued demographic growth in the metropole. France does have Algeria. Settlement by other colonial powers will not differ that much from OTL for now.
 
Chapter LI - THE CRIMSON DECADE
CHAPTER LI
THE CRIMSON DECADE

Presidential control of party politics had been an issue tackled differently by the administrations pertaining to each presidential party. Traditionally, liberal presidents were generally more in control of their party, the only notable exception being President Crețulescu’s and President Rosetti’s tenures. There were very few times when the party establishment dared defy an incumbent, especially a popular one, and Presidents Cuza, Kogălniceanu and Brătianu were generally regarded as the strongest voices in their parties at their respective time. Conservative presidents, on the other hand, had much more trouble securing the support of their party, especially in crucial times. President Manu’s troubled and scandal-ridden administration was the best example, but Presidents Carp’s and Catargiu’s tenures were definitely filled with examples of defiance from the very competitive scene inside the Conservative Party.

While President Maiorescu had a different road to the presidency of Romania, his party’s old habits did not subside that much. Nicolae Alexandri, the minority leader in the Assembly, was not particularly loved inside the party. Considered a Maiorescu loyalist and a backbencher, Alexandri was in a position of inferiority both within his party and in the Assembly. In the first, he was seen as a puppet of the president who preferred him over more important but more dangerous leaders such as nationalists Take Ionescu or Aurel Popovici, both of whom were emerging as the new generation of conservative politicians. In the second, Alexandri’s position was one of limited power, since the legislative was dominated by liberals and republicans.

The Nationalist Faction, now in its strongest position it had ever been, almost rivaling the number of seats held by Maiorescu’s Junimea was starting to push on the idea that Alexandri be replaced with one of their own and that the Cabinet be reshuffled to include more like-minded individuals – they wanted to keep the Ministries of the Colonies and Education that they already held, but wanted Eminescu to be moved to the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Popovici to hold the Interior Ministry. President Maiorescu knew that giving in to these requests was tantamount to relinquishing most of his influence inside the party. The PNL together with their republican allies also immediately reacted negatively to the proposed reshuffling, announcing that they will block any confirmation in the Senate for the reshuffling of the Cabinet. Since it was expected that the Socialists would also join the PNL-PR coalition in this endeavour, President Maiorescu used it as a pretext to quell the dissent in the party. Nevertheless, Nicolae Alexandri in the leadership position remained completely unacceptable for the Nationalists and while together with the Old and New Conservatives (both of whom remained loyal to the president) Junimea had enough support to keep him around, the president decided to appease his rivals and gave the signal for change and Aurel Popovici became the new Minority Leader in September 1902.

Popovici was a Transylvanian Conservative that more clearly belonged to the Nationalist Faction. A good friend of Eminescu, the new Conservative leader shared many of his anti-Semitic ideas, as well as the belief in Romanian exceptionalism and the country’s destiny to become an Eastern European hegemon by completely removing Russia’s power from the equation. Loathed by Socialists and uneasily tolerated by Liberals and Republicans, Popovici became the interface through which Maiorescu’s presidency could be more easily attacked, since New and Old Conservatives, while significantly less important in the electoral arithmetic, were still essential to any conservative nominee’s hope of being elected and both of these groups were now more reluctant to support an administration that openly supported men like Popovici and Eminescu.

At home, President Maiorescu, fairly limited in the use of legislative acts for his governance, had settled on enacting small and targeted policies – this turned into what would be later known as the “Small Steps Policy” (rom.: Politica pașilor mărunți): in the economy, the Maiorescu Administration went on to enact policies that favoured Romanian businesses, much unlike the more laissez-faire policies of former President Brătianu. Worker’s rights slowly deteriorated during this time and strikes organized by unions and by the Socialist Party were prevalent for much of the second half of Maiorescu’s presidency. At the same time, the still dominant landowner-class in Eastern Moldavia was empowered further through policies that favoured uniform holdings over more fragmented peasant holdings. This meant that the peasants of Eastern Moldavia, the most agrarian region in the country had fewer incentives to keep their lands, a significant number of them deciding to either loan them to the local large landowner (most of whom were former boyars) or outright sell them.

This led to the gradual death of small market-towns and the dominance of large food-production companies in the region. While not necessarily bad, since farmers could now receive a larger share of money due to the more effective nature of farming than before, and also due to having more employment opportunities for those who lacked land, the new policies set an environment of potential corruption and one that would just continuously reinforce the conservative dominance of the area. Landowners had little incentives to vote anything other than the Conservative Party, since all other parties supported policies that endangered their profits, while farmers and peasants could lose their jobs and or dividends if the economy became more competitive.

Nevertheless, Eastern Moldavia became an even safer region for the conservatives during Maiorescu’s presidency and against all odds, it became more prosperous than before. In other regions, things were made harsher for the minorities, especially for the Magyars in the Western Plain who were subjected to Romanianization policies enacted more strongly by Eminescu’s Ministry of Education. Local Hungarian schools were forced to take on a heavy-Romanian curricula and teachers who were not fluent in Romanian were forced to step down from their posts. They were soon replaced with teachers and professors from other parts of the country who were given an express mission to ensure that most of the local population would become bilingual in a timeframe of 20 years. This was initially contested at the Constitutional Court by Magyar socialists and other minority caucuses, while the Ministry made the case that its policies were under the “equality of education” provision of the Constitution.

The Court found no fault with the reasoning or the policies, as there was no provision that prescribed the autonomy of schools other than universities. In the former principalities, the Crețulescu Chain received more funding in a move that Eminescu, also a Crețulescu Chain alumnus, hoped to bolster both what he believed to be excellence in education and conservative support in an area that generally leaned liberal.

Anti-colonial protests were more pervasive during Maiorescu’s presidency, moreso than ever before, as several colonial industries were beginning to take off. Coffee in Abyssinia had a controversial history – it was regarded a Muslim drink by the Christian clergy and had been banned previously due to Church influence. For this reason, up until the end of the Abyssinian Civil War and the start of Menelik’s reign coffee was only produced in small quantities and for personal use. Menelik, a coffee drinker himself, promoted the softening of the attitudes towards the drink and also due to invested interest by the Romanian authorities, coffee soon became a widely accepted beverage through REA. Coffee plantations, subsidized directly by the Romanian Government were soon set up all throughout the adequate regions of Abyssinia. Like the Romanian Oil Company, the Romanian Coffee Company was initially set up as a state-monopoly with a plan of gradual privatization in the following years. Coffee production and demand boomed during 1902-04 due to how inexpensive coffee had now become and the beverage became the most popular around all of the country. Coffee shops and fairs opened all throughout Romania and the country soon entered what was later called the “Coffee-Mania”. President Maiorescu soon received a new nickname – “The President of Coffee” (rom. Președintele cafelei) and became the subject of a series of quotes and caricatures.

„Magheru ne-a adus independența, Catargiu ne-a adus Transilvania, Rosetti ne-a adus sindicatele, iar Maiorescu ne-a adus cafeaua”1
Front page title of the Republican Gazette
13th November 1902​

Even though it was the birthplace of coffee, prior to its colonization, Abyssinia was not even close to being an important coffee producer on the world stage. The largest producer, Brazil, together with other South American countries and the Dutch East Indies formed the bulk of coffee production. What President Maiorescu hoped was to induct REA into the top 5 producers and if possible, compete head-to-head with Brazilian coffee. While fertile land was not as widespread in the Romanian colonies as it was in Brazil, this objective was not one that was impossible since the proximity to Europe made it that transportation was particularly cheap. The costs of running REA were not yet offset by the profits, but the coffee boom turned out to be quite healthy for the Romanian economy.

Governor Barozzi, especially interested in making sure the budding coffee industry in Romanian Abyssinia took off, was reported to personally inspect plantations and took care to handpick and appoint most of the managers of the RCC himself. Mihai Hila, famous coffee shop owner in Bucharest and one of the first to open a coffee shop in the city (sometime around 1885) was invited by the governor to manage the largest plantation in Abyssinia. His own coffee brand, „Hilcafe” would later become the most famous brand in Romania, and Hila himself became part of a large corruption scandal later in the decade. The social effervescence and profits that came with Abyssinian coffee turned social life in the big cities of Romania on its head. Coffee shops, places were urban intellectuals traditionally met to discuss their ideas, had become a common sight all throughout the country – they started popping up even in slums and other ill-famed areas and many of them became meeting areas for the country’s more extremist-minded individuals.

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"Titus Livius, Conquistador!" - Caricature of President Maiorescu (1903)​

Anti-colonial protests were organized daily around the Hill and the Parliament building, as well as other government buildings. Anarchists, who had previously started laying low after the failure of the Red Uprising had once again become more vocal during Maiorescu’s presidency. The Socialist Party on the other hand felt the need to abstain from more heavy criticism of the administration in fear of getting lumped together once more with the Anarchists and other like-minded individuals.

The election of Adrian Coronescu to the party leadership in 1902 meant the party’s rhetoric became more constructively critical instead of downright dismissive as it had been before, and the more radical faction of the Nădejde couple was pushed more to the fringes of both the party and the political scene, many socialists fearing they would remain outside the loop of power if the moderate forces remained on the party’s backlines. Under Coronescu’s leadership, the Socialist Party went on to rekindle its relationship with both the republicans, whom he considered to be the party’s natural ideological allies and also with the liberals, with whom the relationship was still somewhat strained.


„Cred cu tărie că rolul nostru e încontinuare ‘cela de a menține viu dialogul cu celelalte partide. Sigur, sunt puține lucruri pe care le mai putem discuta cu conservatorii, dar republicanii, dincolo de obsesia lor imperialistică, sunt aliații noștri naturali! Chiar și liberalii care de dragul puterii s-au grăbit să consume cu voluptate monstruoasa lor alianță parlamentară cu conservatorii sunt demni parteneri de vorbă politică acolo unde această vorbă poate duce la lucruri bune pentru soțietatea în care trăim.”2

Adrian Coronescu, speech at the Socialist National Convention, 1902​

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Adrian Coronescu, pictured as a first-term deputy (1896)​

The Socialist Party, however, faced an uphill battle once more in the coming election, not only due to the legacy of the Red Uprising, but due to what would also happen during the course of the next few years. A series of assassinations and assassination attempts shook Europe to the core at the dawn of the new century and together with the Red Uprising, seen as their beginning, the whole period was named the Crimson Decade – in March 1903, Napoleon IV was shot at during a carriage ride in Paris a moment that greatly made its mark on the French emperor.

Missing both of his shots, the assailant, Auguste Vaillant, an Anarchist of the Illegalist branch, was captured by the Parisian police three days later and was sentenced to death for the attempted assassination of the emperor. While many believed Vaillant was part of a larger Anarchist organization, the police dispelled the rumours with most reports showing that Vaillant was a lone wolf. Copycats later emerged both in France and in other parts of Europe – a plan to murder King Philip of Belgium by detonating an artisanal bomb at a theater was stopped dead in its tracks by the Belgian police, while a bomb planted at the German Reichstag failed to detonate and the perpetrators were soon identified. In Italy however, Anarchists scored their first successful operation: On a tour of his kingdom, King Umberto and his only son, the Crown Prince, had arrived in Milan in June 1903.

At a public event held in honour of the king, the Crown Prince was mortally stabbed by an initially unknown assailant. As the royal guard and the king rushed to the prince’s side, and the angry mob lynched the murderer, several shots were heard in proximity. The monarch was immediately rushed to his carriage together with the prince that was now bleeding profusely and had fallen unconscious. Victor Emanuel was later pronounced dead by the king’s personal medic – his heart was pierced directly by the blade. Tragedy was not yet over and what would later be called the Milan Regicide was completed by Luigi Galleani. While in the carriage, King Umberto was shot at multiple times, two of the shots hitting his neck and temple, the last instantly killing him. In one evening, Italy’s throne was left completely vacant. King Amadeo of Spain was notified of his kin’s death in Italy and that he was the immediate successor to the Italian Throne.
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1 Magheru brought us independence, Catargiu brought us Transylvania, Rosetti brought us the Unions and Maiorescu brought us coffee

2 I strongly believe that our role is of keeping dialogue with other parties alive. Sure, there may be few things that we can still constructively discuss with the conservatives, but the republicans, disregarding their imperialist obsessions, are our natural allies! Even the liberals who, in pursuit of power have ravenously consumed their alliance with the conservatives, they are still partners with which we can negotiate, especially when that discussion can lead to good things for the society in which we live.
 
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Since IOTL Budapest had an electrical subway since 1896, I wanted to ask you if as of now Bucharest has any rapid transit or if there is any plan for one in Bucharest or any other Romanian city? Since Romania is an important British ally and a growing power, I would expect that Britain would have interest in investing in Romanian Undergrounds.
Also, since Romania has great oil reserves, has any Romanian car manufacturer arose?
And would you still make an economical map of the country, like you mentioned during the Rosetti Administration updates?
 
Since IOTL Budapest had an electrical subway since 1896, I wanted to ask you if as of now Bucharest has any rapid transit or if there is any plan for one in Bucharest or any other Romanian city? Since Romania is an important British ally and a growing power, I would expect that Britain would have interest in investing in Romanian Undergrounds.

I honestly never thought about it. From my limited expertise, subways started getting built in large cities IOTL around the current time of the TL. Back when the OTL Bucharest subway was built I remember there being a discussion on whether the soil was adequate in the city for the undertaking of such a project. I'll do some research on whether it was possible to build subway infrastructure in Bucharest with the 1900s technology.
Also, since Romania has great oil reserves, has any Romanian car manufacturer arose?

Yes, but more on that later.

would you still make an economical map of the country, like you mentioned during the Rosetti Administration updates?

Possibly, but there are many other things on the "to do list", so it'll take a while.
 
Chapter LII
CHAPTER LII
King Amadeo of Spain had never been groomed for the life of a monarch. The second born son of King Victor Emmanuel II of Italy, the former Duke of Aosta was meant to live the life of a prince and perhaps die for his country in a future war. But now, the formerly unimpressive Amadeo, who had ruled Spain for 32 years was about to also become the ruler of his home country. June 1903 was not a particularly pleasant month in neither Madrid nor Rome. An overwhelming majority of the Spanish Cortes was unequivocally against Amadeo wearing the Italian Crown. Liberals, Moderates and Conservatives alike advised the king to refuse Italy’s throne without pause so as to not stir up carlists and republicans once more. Spanish Republicans, on the other hand, saw the events transpiring in Italy as a way to rid themselves of the Aostas and proclaim a Spanish Republic.

Not even in Italy did Amadeo have an overwhelming support. Many in Italy’s Parliament wanted to skip the Aostas entirely and offer the crown to the junior branch of Genoa, led by Prince Tommaso. Others favoured Amadeo choosing one of his sons to succeed the deceased Umberto with the consent of Italy’s executive and legislative branches. Prime Minister Antonio Starabba di Rudini was one of the few supporters of the personal union but even he wanted King Amadeo to rule from Rome and Italy to be the senior partner of the union. Amadeo, himself, on the other hand, wanted to become the King of Italy, but he wanted to rule from Spain, one out of respect of his adoptive people and the other out of a sense of duty for his home country. All of these clashing ambitions in both Spain and Italy were doubled by an almost universal interest of the other Great Powers to prevent such a union.

Britain, Germany and Romania almost immediately announced through their diplomatic channels that they will actively oppose the union. Even France, the closest ally of both countries was not particularly thrilled by the idea. Napoleon IV and his government announced King Amadeo through his embassy in Madrid that he should carefully ponder whether trying to claim the throne of Italy was worth the trouble. A solution had to be reached, nonetheless, and it was the Italian Prime Minister that went on to make the choice, even though, traditionally, it had to be the parliament that asked a nobleman to take the throne – Starabba di Rudini formally invited King Amadeo to Rome to become the new monarch.

This turned extremely problematic for all sides involved – the Cortes immediately voted to forbid the king to accede to the Italian throne, while another bill was prepared in order to block any other potential personal union in the future; Prime Minister of Spain Antonio Maura strongly advised the king to reject the invitation of the Italian Government, claiming such a rash decision would endanger everything that Amadeo and his own predecessors have fought for in Spain and that political instability would become rampant once more if the symbol of political peace and constitutionalism, Amadeo himself, would leave the country pursuing another crown; Prime Minister Starabba di Rudini, who had come to power after Italy’s failure in the Abyssinian Civil War, was criticized by his own majority in the Italian legislative, most of his peers giving him the assurance that a potential failure of his invitation of the Spanish King to rule Italy would be his and his alone; international response was almost universally negative – the governments of Britain and Germany made it clear that a personal union was unacceptable and hinted to a potential war, President Maiorescu soon followed on the same line as Romania’s allies and announced that his government will not support actions that threaten stability, peace and the balance of power in Europe.

The most interesting response, however, came from Napoleon IV, who announced that he did not support a personal union either and that Italy should find a different way to solve the problem it found itself in. It had become painfully clear for the supporters of the personal union that such a project found few friends both within the two countries and also outside. Later known in Italy as the 1903 Constitutional-Dynastic Crisis and internationally as the Savoy-Aosta Affair, the affair was finally ended when King Amadeo resolved to refuse the invitation from the Italian Government. In an official letter, the king declined the invitation to Rome and together his first son, formally renounced any claim or succession right to the Italian throne, opting instead to pass them on to his second-born son, Prince Victor Emmanuel. The prince had been the first choice of many in the Italian political elite – Victor Emmanuel was famous in Europe for having defended Italy’s honour in a duel with French aristocrat Henri d’Orleans after the latter claimed Italians were cowards for not fighting the Romanians in the Abyssinian Civil War and was almost universally popular in Italy itself. His return to Italy as king had been the main course to solve the constitutional crisis just before the prime minister had decided to act on his own and invite the King of Spain. Victor Emmanuel was soon invited, this time by the Italian Parliament, to Rome and in a solemn ceremony he was crowned King Victor Emmanuel IV. His choice of numeral was not without significance – in honour of his late cousin who had died minutes after his father, King Umberto, the prince was posthumously declared King Victor Emmanuel III.

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Victor Emmanuel IV, King of Italy​

The Savoy-Aosta Affair was the closest point the Great Powers had been at waging war one against the other. The tensioned weeks leading to Victor Emmanuel IV arriving in Italy were nothing but nerve-wrecking for most of the militaries of the world. Even as far as the United States, gears were beginning to get oiled, President Theodore Roosevelt already preparing for a swift invasion of Cuba in case things broke down in Europe. War turned out to be the only option in the Far East, however – Russia had been almost completely isolated both in Europe and Asia: its diplomatic relations with Romania remained sour after the Crimean War with a brief inttermitence during President Florescu’s administration, who had hoped to normalize Romania’s relation with the eastern neighbour.

Nevertheless, warming relations with Russia was not a priority for any later administration, and it always seemed as if the two countries shared an enmity – Russia was angry at Romania for having built a sphere of influence in the Balkans, a place the Russians believed to be their playground, while Romania feared the growth of Russian power that could threaten both its standing on the international scene, as well as its literal survival – Russia was still actively claiming the region of Eastern Moldavia for its own imperial ambition of controlling the Danube and hoped to dismantle the country in order to remove the thorn in its side – a functional democratic republic at its very borders. As such, the two countries’ foreign policies had always been at odds with each other, with the Russian Tsar, whoever he had been, looking to dominate Asia Minor and the Balkans by breaking Romania and the Ottoman Empire, annexing Eastern Moldavia and taking hold of Constantinople, and the Romanian President, whatever his name or political affiliation, looking to cement Romanian economical and ideological hold of the area;

Germany, another new addition to the Great Power Club, was also another competitor for Russia, while in Central Asia, Britain worked hard to close off the Russians from furthering any interests they might acquire in regards to India. Finally, Russia now had one more antagonist to her interests: Japan. The Japanese were already in the camp of Britain after the two countries signed a mutual beneficial naval treaty and Britain supported Japanese interests in both China and Korea, something the Russia did not particularly take to heart.

September 1903 saw Russo-Japanese relations tense further when Japan refused the Russian offer of splitting Korea. The offer also came with relinquishing all influence that Japan had in Manchuria – the Japanese saw this as unacceptable and lionized by the British position and Russia’s lack of viable friends, Japan formally declared war. Not much attention was paid to the hostilities that had erupted between Japan and Russia. While its evolution and growth had been outstanding, Japan was still a very new entry to the Great Power Club and it was still an Asian country that was in a full process of westernization. For this reason, it was believed that Russia will swiftly defeat the Japanese both on the continent and on the sea, Japan will be put in its place and then eyes would be free to turn back to the powder keg in Europe. The Russo-Japanese War turned out to be quite a surprise when Japan proved to not only be able to hold her own, but also inflict serious damage to Russia’s military and in turn to its prestige. The war continued well into 1904 with Japan dominating Russia both navally and on land and with Tsar Nicholas losing even more of his standing at home.

Back in Romania, President Maiorescu was bracing himself and his party for another election season. In late 1903, the president decided to put in motion his next project, one that he hoped would bridge his first term with his second: the lease on the Islands of the Aegean was to expire in March 1905, as the accord between Romania and Greece signed during former President Manu’s tenure was only signed for 15 years; President Maiorescu, naturally, had few reasons to give up the territory. The Islands had become crucial to the management of the Colonial Empire and to the flow of goods in and out of Romania. Minister Scurtu of Foreign Affairs contacted his Greek counterpart in order to secure an extension of the lease and the continued good will of the Greek authorities in regard to those territories. When the Greek Prime Minister seemed less interested in continuing with the lease, Vice President Marghiloman himself was sent to discuss the issue with the leader of the Greek executive. The Greeks did not relent and sent the vice president back home with the message that they will not negotiate anything until after the 1904 election, when the administration could make a real and serious proposition. Slighted by the Greek response, the president decided to bide his time and return the punch later when his position would become stronger.

The election of 1904 seemed a hard battle for President Maiorescu, even though he faced no major controversy during his term, but his presidency had been, up until then, a very standard conservative presidency, the only exception being the aggressive Romanianization policies adopted by Minister Eminescu. This meant that the president had empowered his own electorate, with conservatives more than willing to come cast ballots for four more years of the same but it also meant that unlike in 1900, liberals, republicans and especially the socialists were also just as empowered to come and vote the president out. Liberals and republicans resumed their electoral alliance once more with the latter accepting to once more fill the vice-presidential spot in the election.

President Maiorescu met with the individual parliamentary leaders of his party in November 1903 to discuss strategy for the 1904 elections, both the presidential and the legislative ones. Junimea, Old and New Conservatives alike gave their full support for the administration once more and also gave the president assurances that unlike in 1900, the Conservative Party had a high chance of winning the Assembly. The only wild card remained the Nationalist Faction, which President Maiorescu decided to appease once more. The president met with Minority Leader Aurel Popovici, Take Ionescu and Ministers Eminescu and Averescu and went on to give them assurances of more important positions in his second cabinet, as well as the Speaker position in the 16th Parliament. The president’s small steps policy had been in effect in his dealings with the Nationalists as well, only gradually giving in to their demands and appointing them to offices, but by this point in the history of the Conservative Party the nationalists had become dominant in Transylvania and were making up close to half of the party itself.

No longer could the president simply give them small gifts and hope to contain them later. As a force to be reckoned, the nationalists were looking to get at least one important ministry in the new cabinet. As for the liberal nominee, Speaker Ionel Brătianu was the prime candidate and with such an expectation, other liberal contenders refrained from challenging the party’s leader. Gheorghe Pallade, Brătianu opponent, and contender for the nomination in 1900 as well, was the first to announce his candidacy. Ionel Brătianu finally stepped out and announced that he would run for the nomination of the PNL for the 1904 election in the final days of 1903. His candidacy was stopped short, however, in January 1904 when the Speaker became the victim of an attempted assassination, part of the string of the Crimson Decade. Shot at by a railway worker, Speaker Brătianu was hit in the shoulder and was immediately rushed to his personal doctor after the assailant was captured. While the shot was non-fatal, the wound was in high risk of becoming infected and the doctors believed Brătianu was lucky that the shot missed any major arteries or vital organs. The attempted assassination left the speaker unable to continue his duties and he was formally replaced by Brătianu loyalist, Mihail Orleanu. It also upended his presidential ambitions as he could not hope to recover fast enough in order to start campaigning or even fast enough to be fully functional in time for his potential taking office in May 1904.

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Ion I. C. Brătianu, pictured as Speaker of the Assembly (1896-1904)​
 
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Why would a railway worker want to assasinate Speaker Brătianu, which was considered a friend of the worker's movement, and not, say, President Maiorescu, which enacted anti-worker legislation?
Also, would any corruption scandal strike the Romanian political establishment in the future?
 
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Since it has been a while since I updated this and since I might have some more time on my hands to work on the TL because of the holidays I thought of getting some feedback from you guys.

I'm not exactly sure how much has the readership changed over the course of the individual chapters but it kind of looks to me that general interest in the TL may have declined. This is just an assumption that could very well be wrong, but nonetheless I'm looking to get some actual feedback from everyone that has an interest in this TL and wants to read more of it.

Do you believe this is on the right track? Has it gotten worse over time?
Would you prefer I gave more attention to some aspects rather than others?
Anything you think needs to be said about this is important to me because I want to decide on the future of the TL and I also want it to keep being an enjoyable read for you guys. I'd have made a poll but I am more interested in having a genuine discussion and in reading your opinions.

Thanks!
 

Zagan

Donor
Keep it on! It's interesting.

I would like to read more about other aspects than politics, though, if possible, of course.
 
Keep up the great work, @Richthofen, I really enjoy reading your TL, but, as Zagan asked, we would like to read some other adpects of TTL Romania. I would like to see more details on the industrial development on a regional level, the development of the big cities, how exactly have cities like Cluj, Timișoara or Dobrițân developed, maybe a list of the biggest cities in Romania, also some details on the cultural trends of Romania of the 19th century, has the fast industrial development of Romania influenced them? Are there any alternate writers, poets and philosophers?
I hope you would not lose the drive to continue TTL because I love reading it and I continue to support you in your endeavour.:happyblush
 
@Richthofen, what are the intermarriage rates in Transylvania like? The Magyars will largely keep their culture as their Calvinist faith in western Transylvania and Catholic faith in eastern Transylvania/szekeyland/Harghita and surround counties will preserve their differences.



Also, how big is he literacy rate gap between all the provinces now? Has Moldova largely caught up?


Furthermore, how intense is corruption in Romania ITTL?
 
Keep it on! It's interesting.

I would like to read more about other aspects than politics, though, if possible, of course.

Thanks! I will try including more in the future.

Keep up the great work, @Richthofen, I really enjoy reading your TL, but, as Zagan asked, we would like to read some other adpects of TTL Romania. I would like to see more details on the industrial development on a regional level, the development of the big cities, how exactly have cities like Cluj, Timișoara or Dobrițân developed, maybe a list of the biggest cities in Romania, also some details on the cultural trends of Romania of the 19th century, has the fast industrial development of Romania influenced them? Are there any alternate writers, poets and philosophers?
I hope you would not lose the drive to continue TTL because I love reading it and I continue to support you in your endeavour.:happyblush

Thank you for your support! I will try expanding on the areas you have mentioned in future chapters, perhaps even have some dedicated ones. As I said before, there are several things that I wanted to expand on but never got the chance to.

@Richthofen, what are the intermarriage rates in Transylvania like? The Magyars will largely keep their culture as their Calvinist faith in western Transylvania and Catholic faith in eastern Transylvania/szekeyland/Harghita and surround counties will preserve their differences.

Intermarriage rates have not been particularly high since Transylvania's annexation to Romania, but they have slowly improved over the time that passed since the assassination of President Catargiu. At this point Magyars are a much too compact minority to be displaced or assimilated in large numbers. Their numbers might dwindle in regions where Romanian pressure is strong enough, but their particularities will be, overall maintained. In the Western Plain, they will, most likely, remain a majority, but there will be a sizeable Romanian population living there as well.

Also, how big is he literacy rate gap between all the provinces now? Has Moldova largely caught up?

Moldova was not really behind in any era ITTL (and OTL Old Kingdom Moldova was not either, OTL Bessarabia is a very different case if you're basing this assumption on the 1930 literacy map). In fact, ITTL historical Moldova (including both its western and eastern halves) has, along with Wallachia, the highest literacy rates out of the provinces. Dobrogea and the Serbian Banat had been doing the worst up until Dobrogea's comprehensive colonization efforts. As it stands now, the worst numbers overall are in Transylvania, although there is not a large gap between it and the other two large provinces and it is also considerably less populous. It is important to note that demographically, the country is immensely different from its OTL version, so OTL statistical maps are completely irrelevant to the situation at this point. Overall, the country's literacy is comparable to the one in the developed western societies.

Furthermore, how intense is corruption in Romania ITTL?

Not very different from its level in any given western developed society at the start of the 20th century. Having strong, durable and lasting institutions does wonders to the level of corruption, so expect it to not be such a pervasive issue if you fast-forward to our times.
 
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@Richthofen, how does the Magyar community of Transylvania compare economically with the Magyars of the nation of Hungary ITTL? It would be fascinating if the richest per capita Magyars are the Magyars of Romania and not Hungary.

If Magyars are now bilingual to a large part, doesn't that mean that their economic productivity in the country has increased since the early days of the annexation?


What is the status of Jews as of now ITTL in Romania? Have they already been emancipated? Sorry if you mentioned this earlier, but your TL is filled with detail and so I don't remember all the details.


How will Romania manage competition with other oil producing nations? How strong are the oil workers unions?


Is Romania in the turn of the century a net importer or net exporter?


I'm assuming that Romania is a debtor nation and not a creditor nation.


How influenced are the Romanian elite by French culture? Do the elite still speak French, or is Italian, German or English the preferred second tongue.


Which regions have the least income inequality? Which ones the most?
 
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