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I just finished listening to the audio book of Washington's Crossing by David Hackett Fisher, having read the book itself when it was first published a few years back. An outstanding account of an amazing military campaign, the impact of which was out of all proportion to the numbers of men involved. (If you haven't read it, I strongly recommend picking up a copy.)

This got me to thinking. . . what if the American winter campaign into New Jersey in late 1776 had been a disaster? The Christmas Night crossing of the Delaware, the surprise attack on the Hessians at Trenton, the confused marching and fighting of the days following, and finally the dramatic battle at Princeton in early January all provide any number of potential PODs that could have easily resulted in the destruction of the Continental Army.

What if Washington's army had been destroyed in late December 1776 or early January of 1777? Is the American Revolution finished?
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