https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Jameson_RaidWhat British-sponsored coup are you talking about here?
The 1905 'revolution' also arose during wartime conditions and in the following years resistance groups (especially in Russian Poland) were thoroughly infiltrated by Okhrana agents.Actually, Nicholas already had some setbacks with the Russian people--most notable the Revolution of 1905 and this:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Khodynka_Tragedy
The Russians had the largest army in the world with the greatest number of cavalry, so I doubt Nicholas would require German boots or hooves on the ground. The Germans could merely run diplomatic interference, control the borders and pressure A-H to do the same and the Russian monarchy is more than capable of dealing with the revolting rabble itself.Technically speaking, though, Britain and France can relieve some pressure on Russia by attacking Germany from the West. Indeed, I doubt that a German attempt to restore the Russian monarchy would have went over very well either in Russia or among the international community.
Providing the Russian army are not distracted by a significant hostile third party, it should not be much of a challenge for the Russian Army to take care of business.Given Nicholas II's incompetence, I myself am not sure that you are correct in regards to this.
Oh, I certainly agree with you that it is possible that a Hungarian attempt to secede would trigger a revolution inside of Hungary. Indeed, this could very well work to Franz Ferdinand's advantage.
http://www.pbs.org/newshour/updates/8-things-didnt-know-franz-ferdinand/
"Franz Ferdinand wrote in his notes that once he became emperor he would introduce universal suffrage, a.k.a. one-man, one-vote. But not for the reasons you may assume; Franz Ferdinand was no friend to democracy, said Cohen.
He was interested in weakening Hungarian power, said Cohen, which he hated and believed was the barrier to change. Greater rights for south Slavs, Czechs and other subjugated ethnicities on the Hungarian side of the empire would undermine their political sway, and consolidate power in the crown."
Thus, it looks like Franz Ferdinand was both a proponent of universal suffrage and a semi-absolutist.
Completely agreed; indeed, without outside support, such a secessionist movement would certainly fail.
Also, there is no way in Hell that Germany would support a secessionist movement on the territory of its ally Austria-Hungary!
Yet in every case except the last they found a peaceful solution to avoid war.As you can see, the European political situation was simply extraordinarily unstable during the pre-WWI era.
Against France unless the French are willing to violate Swiss or Belgian and Luxembourgian territory Germany will have a short front along good defensive terrain with secure flanks. Before the Schlieffen plan became all the rage Germany had expected to follow an eastern front first policy.I don't know about that; France and Russia vs. Germany would force the latter to fight a two-front war, which was basically the nightmare scenario for German military planners.