Honestly, the idea that the main reason for Nicky's downfall was his "despotism" / "lack of liberalization" is an model manifestation of a complete lack of understanding of how non-Western regimes function, proven time and time again by the complete and utter failures of the likes of Kerensky, Gorbachev or Yeltsin.
Late Tsarist/Soviet elites were idealistic & naive relative to their more realistic predecessors. THAT is a reason why they folded so easily, instead of spilling oceans of blood as the latter would have done.
Ah yes of course, how could I forget the famously weak-willed Yeltsin who shelled Russian parliament when real political opposition reared its head. Or the naïve and starry eyed Kerensky who used the army to crush political opposition during the July Days. Or even the heights of pacifism, the August coup faction who tried to used military force to maintain the Soviet Union and spectacularly failed. Clearly those natural submissive easterns should have grunted with approval at the approach of Soviet tanks on the Red Square in 1991.
These theories always rely on a near racialized model of political behavior that it’s astounding that people still peddle them. The great political divide between “Western and non-Western” peoples and their governments is a fiction. In reality, a complex system of economics, politics, and social movements condition any and all of the periods of Russian history you quickly name dropped. Reducing them all to “Tyrant Good, Idealist Bad” is stunningly bad analysis.
The biggest hole blasted in these theories is that they used to be applied to Germany.
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Those barbarous Huns can’t help but electing autocrats and storming Europe. The evidence is overwhelming: they’ve done it twice in a row now! Clearly it’s something unique to their civilization. If we don’t break up their nation into pieces, they’ll do it again and you soft-heartened humanists will have blood on your hands!”
Reality was much less dramatic. Instead, we found out that a stable economy, tamed political class, and integration into a semi-coherent order rather than a chaotic bloc of competitors empires makes for a decidedly less bloody series of governments. Material factors are decisive in what sorts of governments are brought and maintained in power, not some notion of intergenerational barbarity.
To take the most egregious example, I will talk about Gorbachev. Gorbachev took the helm as the Soviet Union was facing a number of structural problems. The economy was stagnant and began to collapse. Nationalist consciousness was arising in many of the constituent republics. A stifling nomenklatura dominated all aspects of political life. An insurgency in Afghanistan was draining state coffers and planes full of body bags containing dead young men was creating massive unpopularity. To complicate matters, the oil economy was in fits and the Americans were ramping up the pressure on the Soviet military-industrial complex with programs like SDI. Chernobyl happened which furthered chaos and loss of faith in the state. Sure, Gorbachev was not necessarily a decisive man but what in God’s good name does his “willingness to annex territory” have to do with any of this. Repression was tried and it failed. But in your theory, the cavemen of the Soviet Union didn’t see enough spectacle of violence to keep them in line. It was not stagnation of wages and opportunity, ruinous foreign wars and the cultural exoticism and appeal of the West, or any other number of real material explanations for collapse. It was down to the stomach of one man and his cabinet for bloodshed.
I could expose Kerensky, Yeltsin, or anyone else to this treatment if you like because it’s so easy to poke holes into. It’s the classic racialized fearmongering that has traditionally dominated discussion of Russia. It has a rich history from fear of the steppe nomads in the ‘great East’ to the 19th century British press system to Nazi propaganda to pseudo-sexual American comic series. Sadly, it still continues and will continue to lead to bad analyses of current politics and a complete inability to consider material factorsc conditions, and their effect on political systems and responses to stimuli.