So, I am working on a TL with a PoD in 1780. Said PoD doesn't effect France very much (the biggest impact might be from the lack of a revolution in Belgium in 1789). But still, this is only a decade before the French Revolution.
So, was some sort of French Revolution likely to happen? Or was the revolution something of a black swan event? And how likely would a French Revolution be to happen around a similar time? For example, could the revolution happen in 1783? 1787? 1795? (Dates picked at random for the sake of discussion.)
Just trying to figure out how to handle the storm brewing in France in a realistic way. All insights would be very welcome.
fasquardon