Was is possible for the Second East Turkestan Republic to survive?

See the title, are there any PODs that would allow it to exist as a long term viable independent states.
 
The problem lies with making sure that in the event of a weakened/non Soviet friendly China, that the Second ETR doesn't get the Tannu Tuva treatment from Moscow.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
The most obvious POD would be a KMT-CCP stalemate. The KMT would be in no position to take back Xinjiang and The CCP would be too dependent on the USSR to demand its return.
 
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