Thanks for your response and your interest.
What I am saying is that having examined the situation I believe that the strategic balance favoured Russia far more than we allowed in the timeline.
With a Russian industrial production index of 220 and a German one of 250 before Gridenko siezes the Ukraine the two contenders would have been just about equal by the time the main conflict began.
That is where Russia's manpower advantage comes in. By 1940 Gridenko has achieved the frontiers of the OTL USSR and there have, mark you, been no Stalinist purges or Collectivisation to lop tens of millions off the population, so we are looking at a population of nearly 200 million. Germany would be lucky to get about 80 million with all those brave German souls who settled in the Ukraine now on the wrong side of the line.
Austria, depite the political blood transfusion given by the competent and energetic Emperor Karl, is in a bad way, infiltrated and subverted by Nafobor spies, terrorists and agents. Once war breaks out we can expect a guerillia insurection, carefully planned and orchestrated from Moscow, to break out in the Balkans, the Carpathians and anywhere else where Slavs are thick on the ground and the terrain suitable.
Nor will Austrian Slavic conscripts be willing to lay down their lives for their German overlords. Their formations will be curdled with desertion, fight without enthusiasm, surrender en mass at the drop of a helmet. Austria will be punching well below its weight.
Given this situation the Fire Eagle is like the Southern Confederacy fighting the Snow Bear Yankee north; no matter how brave the troops or how brilliant their commanders they cannot prevail against their enemy's gritty determination and almost inexhaustable capacity to replace their losses.
Also the Russian Army in OTL will be much more technically competent than Stalin's and will not have its leadership decimated by purges or catastrophic initial defeats.
With the French in on the act and Germany involved in a two front war, possibly a three front war if the Italians can be lured into this slaughter.
It can only end one way, unless someone invents nuclear weapons or practically the whole industrialised world comes in against Russia, both of which are extremely unlikely.
This is how it seems to me anyhow.
Cheers,
Mac.
