Views on Niall Ferguson's analysis of WW1

Yet Ludendorff never amounted to anything in postwar Germany.

Nor was this merely because he lost the war. So did Hindenburg, but that didn't stop him becoming President as soon as the German right had got its breath back. Ludendorff also ran in the same election, but his vote was zilch compared to Hindenburg's.

Ludendorff's "rise" was an historical accident due to Hindenburg's (perhaps mistaken) reliance on his military skill, rather than to any particular appeal or following of his own.

All the same, it's still an occasion where in the Second Reich somebody who had an exaggerated view of his military genius assumed absolute power over Germany.
 
On the other hand it's impossible to imagine a senario in which there was no humiliating schanddiktat of versailles and the nazis still take power.

It's equally impossible to imagine a scenario in which there is no Protestant Reformation and the Nazis still take power.

Martin Luther, what have you done? :(

Has such a claim been made?

The line of argument started with Faeelin noting that "we know what German victory in eastern Europe would mean". As far as I'm concerned, we do indeed, and it's been shown in discussions where such claims have been raised. Certainly I've confronted them before.

My own guess, FWIW, is that they would invoke self-determination when it worked in their favour, and ignore it (conveniently discovering that strategic or other factors took priority) when it didn't. However, I wouldn't say that this would be hugely different from the attitude of the Allied peacemeakers.

Similar in respect of "guns for you if you fight the Bolshes", but for Estonia and Latvia, say, the difference would be pretty damn important.
 

Faeelin

Banned
Not really comparable. Ludendorff, as Mikestone said, rose through the millitary in a time of total war. Hitler rose by using the political situation in a post-Versailles Germany.

True, but I would argue that the military's actions during the war and after in OTL do not evidence a lot of respect for democracy and rule of law.
 
Not really comparable. Ludendorff, as Mikestone said, rose through the millitary in a time of total war. Hitler rose by using the political situation in a post-Versailles Germany.

Having been sent to infiltrate the German Worker's Party while a soldier in the post-war Wehrmacht. He started his career at the suggestion of the military and Ludendorff actually backed Hitler's attempted coup.
 
True, but I would argue that the military's actions during the war and after in OTL do not evidence a lot of respect for democracy and rule of law.

Not really the issue here.

Having been sent to infiltrate the German Worker's Party while a soldier in the post-war Wehrmacht. He started his career at the suggestion of the military and Ludendorff actually backed Hitler's attempted coup.

How exactly does this prove Hitler would gain absolute power without Versailles?
 
I suppose the example that I always think of is Japan. They had universal suffrage, a healthy democracy in the 1920s. Yet the military seized power in the 1930s and directed the nation into armageddon. What makes Germany's military any different, given their lack of respect for democracy that we saw in OTL?

There were some critical differences. Japan's constitution and laws explicitly said that the Army Minister must be filled by an active duty general. This gave the Army a de facto veto on the formation of any government because if it refused to provide a minister, there couldn't be a government. The Army Minister also reported directly to the Emperor, not the Prime Minister so the army was more or less autonomous. This was very different than the situation in Germany.

The second difference is that much of Japan's adventurism was a result of the junior officers in China deciding to cause problems (the various "incidents") to force the government (and top army brass) to follow its lead. It is hard to imagine any German officer in the field so unilaterally creating their own orders or acting in defiance of their own superior officers.

Both differences were instrumental in dismantling civilian rule in Japan, and really did not have counterparts in Germany.

In addition, after the Kapp Putsch the military generally had a good relationship with the Weimar Government. They might not have liked Weimar, but Weimar was generally friendly to the military's desires. The greater problem in Germany was the general right wing violence, often found outside the military, and that the judiciary and police who were dominated by conservatives and who rarely went after and punished right wing political criminals.
 
But I think a far right German militarist regime? Absolutely plausible.

Not as long as people in post-war Germany are allowed to vote. Then, the share of the right-wing guys will shrink to less than 10 % in terms of seats.
If popular vote is avoided, yes, they might get their way. Imposing law and order might placate even the moderate socialists.
 
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