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Here's the idea -- take a TL without US Vietnam War; how likely, in this scenario, is the US getting involved in a counter-insurgency quagmire somewhere else (what OTL calls "another Vietnam"), and where could it plausibly happen?

Examples of TLs without Vietnam:

*Ho Chih Mihn becomes a US ally (maybe via Pres. Wallace, or something)

*Chiang Kai Shek wins the civil wars in China, and intervenes directly in Ho Chih Mihn's country

*JFK isn't shot, pulls out advisors following his re-election
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