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That he was winning the war until killed?

Background on Mark Moyar and his book at links below:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Mark_Moyar

https://www.amazon.com/Triumph-Fors...TF8&qid=1484948213&sr=8-1&keywords=mark+moyar

https://www.amazon.com/Triumph-Revi...riumph+revisited+:+battle+for+the+Vietnam+War

---A follow-on what-if from this is, how long would Diem have lasted in power if the Americans had not turned on him? Is it plausible for him to have lasted into the 1970s, 1980s or 1990s in power in South Vietnam. For reference, he was born in 1901, and was killed at the age of 62, and his father lived to the age of 75 and one of his brothers lived till the age of 87.

In OTL Diem's dictatorship. While they are certainly not unheard of, nonmonarchical dictatorships lasting more than 20 years in the post-WWII world or not very common either. IE, far more dictatorships by an individual don't last 20 years compared with those that do.

If not ousted by the Americans, could Diem have stayed in power for many years even without US ground troops deployed to support him?
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