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I am here to create a timeline where the Luftwaffe wins the Battle of Britain and eliminates the RAF as a fighting force. In order for this to happen here are the divergences.
NOTE: I am not going to say that this would lead to the unspeakable mammal and a successful conquest of the Isles because that required far more than air superiority. It may be that, but that will depend on your feedback and further evaluation. So do not immediately call this ASB just because Sea Lion is mentioned as a possibility.
Here are the PoDs:
-British Intelligence never decodes ENIGMA
-German Intelligence is far more competent and identifies all of the radar stations and important facilities for RAF fighter command and seperates them from other branches of the RAF. They also find out that the RAF is still a very formidable force far from defeat
-The Luftwaffe prepared much better coordinated strategy for obtaining and maintaining air superiority.
Part 1: Preparation
As the Wehrmacht spectacularly overwhelmed the French army and drove the Allies out of Europe the British begin preparations for a German invasion. A crisis occurs in the War Cabinet. Chamberlain resigns and there is a harsh debate over whether to seek an armistice on Hitler's terms or to fight on. Lord Halifax supports peace and Winston Churchill urges to fight on. As in our timeline, Churchill wins over, assumes Prime Minister, and announces that the British shall never surrender. Hitler issues Fuhrer Directive 16 ordering preparations. Intelligence unlike in our timeline clearly identified the radar system of the RAF and its command and structure. Hitler, delighted by this orders Goring to "destroy the RAF as a fighting force at once" starting on the 1st of August.
Part 2: Their Finest Hour:
Operation Alderangriff was launched with 45 bombers and BF 110 taking off from Calais in the first large scale air raid. Goring hoped to use the British Radar system to their advantage, and to draw the RAF into hopeless battles to be annihilated. The squadron was detected and the RAF sent out 40 spitfires and Hurricanes to intercept. Winston Churchill asked Keith Parker if the Luftwaffe could be defeated. Keith Parker replied "Uncertain".
Engagements began with the Luftwaffe purposely drawing the RAF to destroy the bombers and then intercept and destroy, turning the Chain Home Radar systems against the British. This however backfires and on August 1st the RAF repulses the attack with both sides taking very heavy losses. The squadron is nearly destroyed. Hitler is enraged at Goring and orders him to destroy "everything of value to the RAF".
The raid is a major propaganda victory for the British and hope is restored that the RAF could fight off the Luftwaffe and keep Britain safe. Winston Churchill cautioned "This is only the beginning of a very hard and terrible battle. I have nothing to offer but blood, sweat, and tears". Fortification of the Isles continue with haste. Little do the British know that their initial victory would be short lived and that the Germans would soon be knocking on the doorstep of Britain. Goring regroups the Luftwaffe and prepares for an all out attack on August 13th, deemed "Aldertag". It is in this battle that the fate of Britain will be decided.
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