RousseauX
Donor
unlikely, unlike something like Donbass or Crimea wrt Russia not enough ethnic Hans in the country to make it happenCould a KMT China coerce Mongolia into joining, offering autonomy if it joins peacefully ?
unlikely, unlike something like Donbass or Crimea wrt Russia not enough ethnic Hans in the country to make it happenCould a KMT China coerce Mongolia into joining, offering autonomy if it joins peacefully ?
Internal repression, which depressingly under the Westphalian tradition often means it gets overlooked or not treated all that seriously.Just like all the crippling sanctions that followed Tiananmen Square...
In the grand scheme of things a minor border spat.... the Sino-Indian War...
Territorial waters are rather different from an entire country.... the Chinese annexation of the Paracel Islands...
Not an annexation but an intervention to try an change their actions in a third country, which failed in its goals.... the Sino-Vietnamese War?
A 'state' which is recognised by less than a fifth of the countries in the world - none of which I'd really class as important ones, is as far as I'm aware not a UN member, and not recognised by any permanent member of the Security Council. You also have a tricky background involving contested claims and the legacy of colonialism thanks to Spain.How about all the sanctions heaped on Morocco after it wiped Western Sahara off the map?
You're assuming that Nationalist China would still be a linchpin of international trade. Whilst they would potentially be a large market, with several decades head start they could price themselves out of the market for low-cost manufacturing before the boom begins in the 1980s and '90s. Alternatively it might still be possible in the less developed inland provinces, you could argue it either way.If OTL's China is too important to the global economy to seriously sanction, imagine how laughable the idea of putting putting serious sanctions on a China that's been a player since the 1950s would be.
A quick search suggests that Mongolia had already seen public protests begin in 1989 like other Soviet-aligned states, announced the transition to democracy in March of 1990 and held their first free, for a certain value of free, elections in July of that year. All of which was before the Soviet Union collapsed. Any China that tried annexing Mongolia might try and use that argument as a pretext but I can't see many people accepting it, instead seeing it as the crushing of a flowering democracy. There's also the fact that even when dealing with communist countries everyone, for the most part, still respected national borders whilst merrily overthrowing governments.There'd be some noise in the west, but soon enough it'll just be written off as another communist state passing its best before date.
I was thinking more, join or get invaded ultimatum and maybe with a rigged vote than ethnic unionsunlikely, unlike something like Donbass or Crimea wrt Russia not enough ethnic Hans in the country to make it happen
Can North Korea survive without China ?Unlikely to the former before the cold war ends,
Just cause it’s a democracy doesn’t mean it won’t want to annex MongoliaAn annexation of Mongolia assumes China stays autocratic it is possible it becomes a democracy in the 90s. Not a certainty but a possibility with 40 years of butterflies. If it does become a democracy I believe it would not wish to annex Mongolia but rather influence it diplomatically in the same way as they would with Korea and South Asia.
Yes I agree but I think it would rather dominate economically and diplomatically. Also what would it gain by annexing Mongolia national pride and access to resources it would through bringing it into its sphere anyway.Just cause it’s a democracy doesn’t mean it won’t want to annex Mongolia
Could Japan fall into a Chinese Sphere ?Well if the KMT wins they will be anti soviet and would try to get south Vietnam,laos,cambodia,Pakistan(but would probebly not help them get nukes) and south korea under its influnce
All this discussion of Mongolia and not a word about Tibet
No it was ruled by the Dalai LamaWasn't Tibet run by pro-KMT folks before being conquered by the PRC?
No the would not the kmt hated japan becauase of the rape of nanking and many more war crimesCould Japan fall into a Chinese Sphere ?
Isn't that more of a PRC thing to boost its popularity given Japan is at odds with China. wouldn't the KMT drop or deemphasize it if mean bringing Japan into its sphere of influenceNo the would not the kmt hated japan becauase of the rape of nanking and many more war crimes
I imagine Nationalist China would try and position itself as a champion of the colonized peoples of the world. Really not all that different from Maoist China claiming it was the leader of the Third World. How successful KMT China would be at this, I don't know. But I think it's possible they would have some African countries, particularly in East Africa, in their sphere of influence.
You need to remeber that they where nationalist and it would be stupid for the goverment to forget what japan did becauase the people of china hated japan and there are still many to this day that hate themIsn't that more of a PRC thing to boost its popularity given Japan is at odds with China. wouldn't the KMT drop or deemphasize it if mean bringing Japan into its sphere of influence
So what doesn't mean they can't be pragmatic about itYou need to remeber that they where nationalist
Wouldn't a friendlier relation with Japan and the threat of communism bring them closer together. Even if the people don't like Japan doesn't matter much if its a dictatorship.becauase the people of china hated japan and there are still many to this day that hate them
I think it's more of a matter of China re-asserting those claims than anything elseWould the KMT settle its territorial disputes in the South China Sea and with Japan
In other wrods, there is no sphere of influence for nationalist China?Unlikely to the former before the cold war ends, the latter even after the cold war ends