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Let's say that there is no World War One (or, for those who think that WW1 was inevitable, that it is postponed), and that the british general election of 1915, which IOTL was not held due to the war and was postponed to 1918, is held on schedule. What have been the results of the election? Would the liberal goverment have stayed in office or would the conservatives have won the election resulting in an earlier Bonar Law's goverment? If it is the latter, what would have been Bonar Law's cabinet?

I supose that the main issue in the election would have been the situation in Ireland and the Home Rule Crisis, and that the results of the election will depen on how the Home Rule Crisis develops. I also suppose that to that point would have degenerated into a civil war in Ireland, or at least into some form of armed conflict between the Ulster Volunteers and the Irish Volunteers, but I may be wrong.
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