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Is this possible- I assume it involves an early move by his parents to some part of the North and his taking a different ideological view?

As I understand it (and I know that there are much greater ACW experts in this forum) in OTL Lincoln started by letting the military run things and started to interfere when the military was a bit less aggressive.

Davis had the reputation in OTL of interfering too much in details and military issues.

Davis of course had much more military background.

Assuming Davis's ideological position was roughly Lincoln's in OTL (disliking slavery but cautious and not starting off wanting to force the end of it)

Would this have lost the North the War?

If not would it have changed events in the aftermath? (again I guess asuming a crazy murders him days after the victory.)
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