Union and Liberty: An American TL

Part Eighty-Four: A Decade of Change Begins
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Part Eighty-Four: A Decade of Change Begins

American Imperialism: The presidency of Grover Cleveland saw the beginning of true American imperialism overseas. While there had been previous expeditions such as those of William Walker, few of these were actually sanctioned by the United States government and the country as a whole had remained isolationist within a global context. During the 1890s, however, the United States increased its commercial and political interests in overseas colonies. In early 1893, Congress and President Cleveland approved a decision to have the United States attend the Congo Conference in Paris as advocates for American businesses with interests in the Congo River.

Cleveland's appointed representative at the conference was a former Confederate general and staunch Democrat, John Tyler Morgan[1]. Morgan was a senator from Alabama who had just been reelected to a third term in the Senate, and was a strong supporter of American expansion abroad. During the negotiations, Morgan attempted to gain the United states some land in the Congo. The Morgan Report sent to Washington after the conference stated that this was to secure land in which American businesses could operate and benefit from the trade on the Congo. Some modern historians, however, suggest that Morgan's motivation was to enable another movement of blacks to the African continent similar to the colonization of Liberia in the early 19th century.

Morgan was able to gain the United States a foothold on the African continent when it was decided that the mouth of the Congo River would be given to a country neutral to European interests. An area at the mouth of the Congo River was given to the United States, which created the Unincorporated Congo Territory to administer it. Frank Seiberling was appointed the first governor of the Congo Territory in 1894 and gave many concessions to businesses for extraction of rubber and other tropical resources. The biggest company to take advantage of the new Congo Territory was the Goodyear Tire and Rubber Company[2], which contributed to the automobile boom in the Old Northwest.


Census of 1890: During the 1880s, the population of the United States continued the pattern of monumental growth in the 19th century. Over the decade, the country's population increased from 63 million to over 78 million. Most of this increase came from natural growth of the United States population. Due to the Silver Depression, the decade saw a smaller than normal number of immigrants arriving in the United States. However, those that did immigrate included the first significant migration of people from East Asia, especially from China, the Philippines, and Korea.

Along with the growing national population, the populations of the states also changed dramatically during the 1880s. In 1880, only New York, Pennsylvania, and Ohio had over three million people. By 1890, there were eight states with over three million people, primarily in and around the Old Northwest[3]. This reflected the movement of people up from the South looking for work or better pay, as well as industrial booms that arrived with the combination of coal coming from the Appalachians, iron from Marquette, and the Indiana Gas Boom. Even so, New York remained the largest state in the Union at 7.8 million people, over ten percent of the country's population. Finally, Kootenay and Oregon had each reached over 60 thousand people and were admitted as states in 1891.


Election of 1892: The continuation of the Silver Depression through the end of the 1880s caused the economy to once again be at the forefront in the 1892 election. The Democratic nomination was not an easy one for Grover Cleveland. While the party was unified on its economic platform, there was a deep divide when it came to foreign policy. Cleveland and those supporting him opposed American expansion and intervention abroad, but many others in the Democratic Party wanted to embrace imperialism and expand American influence. These Eagle Democrats as they were known rallied around Ohio senator William McKinley in his attempt to gain the nomination instead of Cleveland. However, Cleveland won the nomination at the Democratic convention in Chicago after seven ballots with his appointment of Eagle Democrat John Tyler Morgan to the Congo Conference and retained Bayard as his Vice Presidential candidate.

For the Republicans, there were many politicians who were considered potential candidates. The main contenders going into 1892 were New Jersey governor Leon Abbett, former Indiana governor Benjamin Harrison, and former Attorney General Robert Todd Lincoln. In early 1892, Abbett officially bowed out of the race for the nomination, stating that he felt his efforts would be best focused at the state level. However, at the Republican national convention in Baltimore, Abbett officially endorsed Harrison, pushing Harrison to the nomination on the second ballot. The convention nominated Henry Dawes of Massachusetts as Harrison's running mate.

The campaign of 1892 largely focused on the economy and the cause of the Silver Depression. Harrison and the Republicans put the blame for the depression on the Democratic resistance to regulating businesses and allowing for unnecessary speculation, especially in Western lands and in the railroad companies. Cleveland and the Democrats blamed the coinage of silver and the falling silver prices for devaluing the United States dollar. In hindsight, both parties were correct in part and there were a number of causes to the Silver Depression. However, at the time, many Americans in the east and south sided with the Democrats on the reasons for the depression. Although blaming the silver movement alienated the Democrats in Oregon Country and in the West, the beginning of the recovery and the division of opposition voters between the Republican Party and the Populist Party gave the Democrats a slight advantage on election day. Cleveland barely won a second term with 198 electoral votes, one more than what was needed for a majority[4]. The 1892 election also gave the Populist Party its first electoral showing, with 14 electoral votes from winning Colorado, New Mexico, and Demoine.

Cleveland/Bayard: 198 EVs
Harrison/Dawes: 180 EVs
Weaver/Stevenson: 14 EVs


[1] As part of a compromise between Cleveland and the Eagle Democrats to avoid the party looking divided during an election year.
[2] Charles Goodyear invented vulcanized rubber ITTL too, so as in OTL, a rubber company is named for him.
[3] New York, Pennsylvania, Ohio, Illinois, Indiana, Missouri, Massachusetts, and Cuba.
[4] And the Democrats narrowly won Calhoun and Cuba thanks to the Progressives siphoning off some Republican votes.
 
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And the electoral map.

Alternate Presidents 1892 election.png
 
Interesting to see the USA getting a foothold in Africa. Also interesting that Southern migration to the North is starting about a generation earlier than OTL, if I'm not mistaken. What is the racial breakdown of the Southern migrants? Are they mostly white, or is a *Great Migration of African-Americans already beginning in the 1890s? That could have major effects down the road...earlier Harlem Renaissance, maybe?
 
Hmmm, I don't think there are any other American possessions that I've forgotten. And the Congo right now is more of a special administration like Cuba and Puerto Rico were in OTL after the Spanish-American War.
 
I've noticed that the Democratic Party has been very strong ITTL compared to OTL in the post-war era. Put another way, the Republicans have never really been able to gain dominance in the Old Northwest and Northeast, which has put them at a serious disadvantage. With they and the Populists fighting over the same demographics, this won't be fixed very soon it seems. :(
 
Interesting update, with lots and lots of information. ITTL's US is starting to look significantly different from OTL. As Cylon noted there is the issue of southern immigration starting earlier, the Republicans loosing their hold much much earlier (which might have some serious repercussion soon), and a much denser population almost everywhere (not sure if you have thought of it but a side effect of this might be an early dust bowl).

Anyway I hope the Republicans and the Progressives get their act together soon. And gain some ground.

Just a question on the map, will the Dakota territory ever have a significant population to become a state? It seems to be made up of the most isolated parts of OTL's North Dakota, which is kinda not saying much about what can be done with that territory. (What would be the total number of continental states by the end?) I also thought you mentioned Vancouver Island would be its own state. (Come to think about it Oregon and Kootenai look huge compared to the other states).
 
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I've noticed that the Democratic Party has been very strong ITTL compared to OTL in the post-war era. Put another way, the Republicans have never really been able to gain dominance in the Old Northwest and Northeast, which has put them at a serious disadvantage. With they and the Populists fighting over the same demographics, this won't be fixed very soon it seems. :(

The Democrats were actually very strong in OTL in the post-war period. Although they won the presidency less, they remained strong in congress, and its also important to look at the margins they lost the presidency by. if butterflies had gone differently, it wouldn't have been unforseeable to see a Democratic-dominated post-war period. The Republicans didn't actually become a majority party, in the real sense of the word, until the election of William McKinley.
 
The Democrats were actually very strong in OTL in the post-war period. Although they won the presidency less, they remained strong in congress, and its also important to look at the margins they lost the presidency by. if butterflies had gone differently, it wouldn't have been unforseeable to see a Democratic-dominated post-war period. The Republicans didn't actually become a majority party, in the real sense of the word, until the election of William McKinley.

But even the win TTL we've had two consecutive elections 84, & 90 basically dominated by the south, which is pretty different from OTL. Even after TTL had a more successful reconstruction under Fremont and Lee.
 
Wow, I completely forgot about Fremont. :eek: Thanks for catching that jycee and Ares. Here's the updated electoral map, since Fremont hasn't gotten enough population to become a state yet. Also, the Congo Territory isn't on the 1892 election map because the US only got it in 1893.

Alternate Presidents 1892 election.png
 
What will be the fate of the Unorganized territory? Will it be merged with Tejas? I actually think it would be awesome for there to be a piece of continental US that remains territorial status to the modern day. I can imagine Nuclear weapons being tested there if such a thing comes ITTL.
 
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