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im reworking my ATL and the map that goes with it. at the moment, ive gotten to russia, which ive already decided has the following divergences from OTL:
no WW1 means that discontent over Nick II's marriage to Alix of Hesse due to war with Germany is nonexistent
Alex III doesn't die when he does IOTL, so Nick has a bit more time to prepare before becoming tsar
more obvious transitions towards democracy and constitutionalism mean less discontent among the commoners
as a result of the above, the Bolsheviks don't have as much support and there are more soldiers in Petrograd to fight them off, so the Romanovs survive; the Soviet Union never comes to be
the transition to constitutional monarchy and parliamentary democracy is made as a result of the Great Depression
with these in mind (i may have forgotten one or two things, so please point out inconsistencies and i may remember), what do you all think are the possibilities that Ukraine, at least, proposes and possibly attains independence from the Russian Federation around the same time that it did from the Soviet Union IOTL?