U.S. Senator Fidel Castro

The United States aquired Cuba in The Spanish American War in 1898, and several years later gave Cuba her independence. But what if instead The United States had made Cuba a state?

In 1954 a young politically active Fidel Castro is elected as a U.S. Congressman from Cuba. He is re-elected to Congress in 1956. In 1958 Castro is elected to The U.S. Senate as the junior senator from Cuba.

Is Senator Castro a Democrat or a Republican? What kind of senator does he make? Does he serve only in The U.S. Senate, or does he go on to serve in other offices, perhaps a cabinet post, perhaps a run for The Presidency? What kind of U.S. President does Castro make?

Something you have to remember. Cuba that is a state in The USA is going to be a very different Cuba in many ways than the Cuba of OTL. Democratic, Capitalist, strong tourism and sugar cane industry. None of the kind of corruption that marked the pre-Castro Cuba of OTL.

All of that is going to mean in many ways a very different Fidel Castro than in OTL.

Any ideas on this one?
 
I have problems with this on many levels.

One, a PoD in 1907 or so is probably going to butterfly Fidel's existence. His father, Angel Castro y Argiz, married Fidel's mother in 1911 and made his fortune by first organizing local laborers for United Fruit, and then becoming a landowner himself. United Fruit is PROBABLY going to have serious problems playing with Cuba as a banana republic if it is instead a US Territory.

Two, assuming that Castro is even born (which is probably unworkable), his father's experiences, and his own, are going to be radically different. There will be no radicalization or massive political outrage in Cuba, and therefore when Castro attends college (and he may well NOT DO SO) never winds up going for political office.

Three, assuming that Castro does become interested in politics, a detailed look at his behavior indicates that his willingness to use violence is going to be an instant lockout. He participated in three assassination attempts in the 1940s. To put it bluntly, he would not have the dignity to assume public office and far better people would counterfactually be available.

Short answer: Cuba annexed by the United States is going to mean no Castro, and I have to claim that "replay bias" is just insurmountable in this one. This situation is really grounds to just create a new character to be a Cuban Senator to the United States. It is my opinion that PoDs will result in essentially a complete wipeout of all characters from OTL within two generations. Castro himself is probably gone or never getting in.
 
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