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AeroTheZealousOne

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Doesn't change the fact that the US provided the vast majority of Japanese reserves and that US oil dominated the international market share until the discovery of massive oil reserves in the middle east and Arabia

Definitely going to bite Japan in the ass at some time or another. The U.S. won't be as happy to sell them lots of oil after World War II, but they'll find another resource. And when that resource eventually nationalizes its own oil drills and refineries...

And the Curse of Tippecanoe continues in the USA.
Knox's death from a heart attack was similar to OTL, except in our world it happened in 1944. I pushed it up by a few months because of the stress of the Presidency getting to him.

As for whether or not this trend continues in the U.S, stay tuned! Next update shows the first conflicts begin before Soviet involvement in central Europe.
 

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
Just a quick announcement, not an actual update yet: As of this Wednesday (November 14th) for about a week and a half I'll be out of town and I won't be able to update regularly until I get back from my trip, roughly on the 26th I believe. Just gonna be a quick break and I should resume regular updates the week after Thanksgiving. However, I do plan to release one more chapter covering the lead-up to the Soviet invasion beforehand, as well as a quick "Where Are They Now?" side-segment. Send in suggestions and requests if you're willing for the latter one, I'll try and cover that ground where I can! So far, here is just a preview (and not a comprehensive list) of what, and who, in no particular order, will be briefly summarized as of 1950:


* Various nations, including the United States, the British Empire, France, Spain, Portugal, Germany, Italy, Romania, Japan, the Soviet Union, Sweden, the various states of Yugoslavia, Hungary, Poland, and whatever resistance is left in China.

* Various people who were around in 1950, even if they were famous at the time or would be famous later.


Thanks for understanding, all. In the time I'm not doing updates, I'll still be around to answer any lingering questions you may have!
 
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Possible implausibility, the next U.S. President, and the evils of various regimes revealed are all revealed in:


CHAPTER 5: Ambition, Appeasement, Atrocities


In spite of the 1940s being a brief cultural golden age in much of Europe and the West (and not to mention an interesting time to be alive), the rest of the world wasn’t so lucky. It was in this time period that just a few of the foundations for today’s world would be established. It was a time of great turmoil, where Japan, still considered nothing more than a regional power by nations such as Britain and the U.S, dramatically increased its own power and prestige with its conquests in China. Conflict with Western powers was avoided with carefully-crafted strategic activities, and their need for oil was filled by the United States not giving a darn about their exploits so long as their interests were not infringed upon.​

Romania began a dark era with many pogroms and killings, with sane onlookers that survived the fall of the regime recalling them as “inhuman”, “barbaric”, and even “genocidal”. The deportation processes, attacks, mass killings, and numerous other unspeakable acts[1] that were committed under, and even condoned by, Codreanu and his cronies (including his eventual successor Horia Sima[2]) were but only rumors in the early 1940s, and were proven true later in the following years by both Romanian Jewish refugees and Hungarian minorities that formerly lived in Transylvania. The fact that it went out did not bother Legionary Romania, but what bothered their neighbors were their open threats of war against the Italian alliance of Italy, Hungary, and Bulgaria, its new purposes now to counter Romanian aggression. Many feared the outbreak of war, but for the moment, aside from the insanity within the National Legionary State of Romania, the situation remained a tense and uneasy peace that would last towards the end of the decade.


Japan had remained below the radar of the most noted political analysts of the time, but their rising power was not to be dismissed, and most historians agree it shouldn’t have been, as it would eventually be proven in the years during and after World War II. Diplomatic maneuvering and mutually beneficial trade deals between the West and Japan kept war from breaking out between them, and while the United States had their interests in China, they were too focused on recovering from the First Depression to prioritize an Open Door Policy, thus allowing Japan to truly fill this void with their own actions at will. This wasn’t to say that there was opposition to this, as there were vested business interests in China, but a compromise between them was reached: Japan would not attempt to seize American possessions in the Pacific, and America would cede interest in China. While not mutually beneficial, it prevented a war that could have proven disastrous for both sides. Thus was much of East Asia ripe for the taking. Siam fell in line, and the Greater East Asia Co-Prosperity Sphere truly became a strong force in the Far East. And it would’ve been stronger in the 1940s had hundreds of thousands of Japanese troops not been bogged down in the conflict with the Chinese warlords and communists. In spite of these setbacks, a blood-stained Red Sun was rising, and Japan’s day in it appeared to be one that would never end.

The atrocities committed by Japanese soldiers and officials during this timeframe must not be overlooked. Since it was mainly the disunited Chinese at war with Japan, most other people turned a blind eye to what went on in cities like Nanking[3] or Foochow[4], or how those in places like Korea[5] or the Japanese-controlled cities in China[6] were being treated. Hardly anybody outside of Japan or various government intelligence agencies would know about Unit 100 or even Unit 731 and what they did[7] until after the particularly messy collapse of the Empire. And the while rumors and stories about the Kempeitai[8] swirled around in the West and would eventually lead to a new Yellow Peril, there was nothing done to mitigate the human rights violations that occurred during the 1940s short of engaging in an earlier global-scale conflict.

At some point or another in modern history, at least one person per generation has asked the following question: “What’s with the Balkans and war all of the time?” [9] As such, it came as a surprise to many that war did not break out over the end results of 1943’s Milan Conference, where the Italian-Hungarian-Bulgarian alliance, later to be known as the Triumvirate[10], would arrange for the eventual partitioning of lands from nations across the “Little Entente” of Yugoslavia, Czechoslovakia, and Romania[11]. Italy would demand Dalmatia and much of the Yugoslav coast, Hungary wanted Vojvodina and southern Czechoslovakia, and naturally Bulgaria wanted Dobrudja, Macedonia as well as to expand a few kilometers westward into eastern Serbian border regions. The League of Nations, by unfortunate precedent with the Mukden Incident in 1932, showed no spine in attempting to prevent conflict. Romania warned the Triumvirate that they and Czechoslovakia would not stand for this if war broke out, and their remilitarization processes began in earnest. Hungary, which by this time had essentially spit on and threw out the Treaty of Trianon, mobilized for a two-front war.

Fortunately for Southern Europe, cooler heads prevailed, at least for a few more years. Mussolini recognized, in a brief and uncommon period of Italian competence, that a multi-front war for itself and its allies would both mean an unmitigated mess and the death of any plans for a new Roman Empire, and that there would be no war, at least not in the mid-1940s. A number of history professors who look back upon this period realize how close the Balkans were to earlier massive bloodshed, and while proven right about how fighting was inevitable at the tail end of the decade, the fact that a follow-up to the Conference took place in Warsaw late in 1944 with all affected nations represented was a step in the right direction.[12]

In the United States, President Knox found himself elected to a second term as President. His agenda of recovery and moderate reform continued, and while he pushed for the United States to involve itself in more foreign affairs, this was naturally an unpopular opinion that wouldn’t even be considered by another sitting U.S. President until, at the very earliest, 1957. He never finished his second term, succumbing to a major heart attack on November 11th, 1943. Wendell Willkie, Frank Knox’s running mate back in 1936 and 1940, was sworn in minutes after Knox’s death was confirmed, and pledged to keep many of the social welfare reforms implemented under Knox intact.[13] New additions to the Fair Deal would not be pushed in this administration, and there wouldn’t be another one until after the tumult of the 1970s. For now, however, many people in the United States are doing pretty good, some even better since they’re not dead somewhere in the Pacific, and a very select few are refugees from Germany, Spain, Romania, and even Japan. Fears of immigrants are as big as the quotas are small, but in the minds of most Americans they aren’t as big of a worry as the economy, or even the Reds.

For now, much of the world is settled under a foreboding quiet. Everybody knows that this cannot last. Movements for colonial independence, while getting stronger, mean nothing if the resources to quell these calls are plentiful and not being redirected to a front line. Latin America is, for the most part, strangely uneventful, aside from protest to U.S. colonial interests and vocal support in Brazil to restore democracy after Vargas’ 1937 coup and the establishment of the Brazilian Estado Novo[14]. And what about the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, which has, aside from aid to communists in Germany and Spain during their respective Civil Wars, not made any real power moves? How, and when, will they come to fated blows?


One could only wait and see...



[1] They are similar to or even worse than their real-life counterparts.
[2] Yeah, Sima’s arguably worse than Codreanu by deed, but that’s because he’s lived longer in our world. Both will get a fate befitting them and their minions in due time, if that’s any comfort.
[3] This still happens, and without diversions towards fighting the U.S, more events of higher severity like this across China happen, too. The worst part? Hardly anyone that’s outside of the region save for some concerned people without power seems to care. The name is different from today's romanization of Nanjing.
[4] Like what happened in late 1930s Nanjing but three times as worse. History books written in later years would often compare Japanese actions to those of Romania under the Iron Guard. (Correct Romanization is Fuzhou.)
[5] Korea’s annexation and subsequent colonization is a process that predates the PoD. Without World War II, aside from the occasional revolts by some uppity rabble-rousing subjects brave freedom fighters, there is less that is done to stop this process.
[6] It would take me too long to list what cities are essentially Japanese concession ports at this point, but you can safely assume that much of the eastern coast of China is (for the most part) secured for Japanese interests with varying levels of autonomy. On the other hand, Du Yuesheng smuggling in Shanghai isn’t particularly helpful to the Japanese, either.
[7] These sons of guns. And these rat fiends, too. They’re often compared to, and sometimes considered worse than, inhuman figures like Josef Mengele. Oh, and IOTL, the United States Government secretly gave these awful blights immunity in exchange for handing over their research after World War II.
[8] It’s not at all difficult to draw comparisons between these folks and others, like Nazi Germany’s Schutzstaffel (SS) and the Soviet Union’s People’s Commissariat for Internal Affairs (NKVD).
[9] Shameless reference to one of my favorite game mods in the history of ever, as of late 2018.
[10] No relation to its namesake from another one of my favorite game mods, albeit one that so far has not been released.
[11] This alliance with Romania after the abrupt shift in governance is still in place, albeit shaky. I mean, who would willingly want to associate with a nation controlled by individuals that Hitler of all people thought were going too far? (Please don’t answer this question.)
[12] The Warsaw Conference essentially stated that nobody would declare war on each other, and that by 1948 a fair redrawing of borders that suited everybody would take place. At the time, it was quite idealistic, despite the lingering memories of the Great War three decades prior. In hindsight, it was even more so...
[13] The New Deal analogue here, the Fair Deal, is much more watered down. It’ll be enough to get the U.S. back on track for the time being, but the labor movement will be, by 1950, worse off than OTL.
[14] As OTL, but it’s going to be around for a while longer than 1945.
What happens with the German-speakers in Romania? I guess they're expelled as well?

If Hungary takes in the expelled Hungarian-speakers from Romania, it might provide an alternative precedent to Trianon revisionism. Namely, any ethnic Hungarian has a right to apply for Hungarian citizenship and go "home" to Hungary but there won't be any changes of frontiers in Budapest's favor. As far as I know, any Hungarians who decide to stay in Southern Slovakia will still have a substantial degree of autonomy thanks to the Czechoslovak language law.

Benes-decree expulsions are much better (edit: as in hopefully less brutal) than a war of naked territorial conquest, but hopefully Europe's linguistic minorities will either get the chance to move to their "home" country or politically assimilate to the state they live in. (edit: by political assimilate I mean they still speak their own language but they've come to terms with being citizens of the country they live and they're not geopolitically convenient pawns like Konrad Heinlein trying to break secede from or destroy their state in favor of a "greater" Germany/Russia/Hungary, etc.)
The Sudeten Germans, for example, are a large enough proportion of the Czechoslovak population (~33%) that they're more able to advocate for themselves than the Hungarian Transylvanians or the Slovenes.
 
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What happens with the German-speakers in Romania? I guess they're expelled as well?

If Hungary takes in the expelled Hungarian-speakers from Romania, it might provide an alternative precedent to Trianon revisionism. Namely, any ethnic Hungarian has a right to apply for Hungarian citizenship and go "home" to Hungary but there won't be any changes of frontiers in Budapest's favor. As far as I know, any Hungarians who decide to stay in Southern Slovakia will still have a substantial degree of autonomy thanks to the Czechoslovak language law.

Benes-decree expulsions are much better than a war of naked territorial conquest, but hopefully Europe's linguistic minorities will either get the chance to move to their "home" country or politically assimilate to the state they're living in.
The Sudeten Germans, for example, are a large enough proportion of the Czechoslovak population (~33%) that they're more able to advocate for themselves than the Hungarian Transylvanians or the Slovenes.

Are you seriously trying to justify ethnic cleansing ????
War is a horrible thing, but sometimes there are such things as wars of liberation, just wars. Otherwise, we should all just except any conquerors deads as fait accompli.

Secondly, calling a part of ethnicity, of one people "linguistic minority" is negating their identity of the worst kind. It is uncredibly offensive. There were no ethnic Czechoslovaks, Yugoslavians or Soviets for that matter. Those people did not change there identity because borders changed !
Those were multiethnic states dominated by largest ethnic group. In those kind of nations any conflict usually turns into interethnic conflict, and larger the minority population, worse is government pressure.

I hope that this was just a misunderstanding on your part.
Ethnic cleansing of that magnitude would guarantee revanschism and hatred. Example: Bosnia
 
Are you seriously trying to justify ethnic cleansing ????
War is a horrible thing, but sometimes there are such things as wars of liberation, just wars. Otherwise, we should all just except any conquerors deads as fait accompli.

Secondly, calling a part of ethnicity, of one people "linguistic minority" is negating their identity of the worst kind. It is uncredibly offensive. There were no ethnic Czechoslovaks, Yugoslavians or Soviets for that matter. Those people did not change there identity because borders changed !
Those were multiethnic states dominated by largest ethnic group. In those kind of nations any conflict usually turns into interethnic conflict, and larger the minority population, worse is government pressure.

I hope that this was just a misunderstanding on your part.
Ethnic cleansing of that magnitude would guarantee revanschism and hatred. Example: Bosnia
I'm not advocating ethnic cleansing, I just don't want to open the pandora's box of territorial revisionism. Lots of countries have "right of return" laws OTL, including Finland, Estonia, Lithuania, Israel, that allows anyone with that nation's ancestry to become a citizen there. That would be a less belligerent way for say, Hungary in this TL, to approach with Hungarian minorities instead of deciding to "liberate" Hungarian minorities in Transylvania, Slovakia, and Yugoslavia. Russian hasn't decided to annex northern Kazakhstan or the Baltic States because any Russian speakers there who wants to can get Russian citizenship and move there.

Population transfers should be limited to extreme cases where its the least bad alternative or only alternative to imminent interethnic pogroms. After the Turkish War of independence, the League of Nations organized a Greece-Turkey population exchange that probably prevented a mass slaughter of Greeks in Anatolia. Considering the fate of the Armenians and the Kurds, Turkey doesn't exactly have a spotless minority rights record. It certainly contributed to bad blood between the two countries, but Greece and Turkey have gone a century without any wars of conquest to "liberate" the oppressed Greek/Turkish minority in Thrace/Anatolia/Greece.

By linguistic minority I mean a population that speaks a native language different from the majority of the population. I meant this as a value neutral observation of fact, there's no insult aimed for. Regardless of whether of not Slovenes or Macedonians saw themselves as a separate "nation", each constituent group in multiethnic states like Yugoslavia deserved local schools and government in its own language, with local languages" determined by a fair census. Calling Albanian-speaking Kosovars or Slovene speakers isn't an insult, its a recognition that they speak a different language from the Serbo-Croatian speaking plurality/majority (depends on whether you see Serbo-Croatian as one language) and therefore they have the right to use their own languages.

I agree with you that the "nationalizing states" where one group felt it "owned" the country as its nation-state and they could forcibly assimilate or impose their rule on everyone else benefit no-one in the end. Pan-national ideas like Yugoslavism were unworkable pipe dreams that were used to justify clumsy assimilation attempts to wipe out minority languages and dialects into a unitary Serbo-Croatian speaking nation-state that never really existed.
 

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
I have some good news and I have some bad news: The bad news is I won't have the late 1940s update up in a timely manner. Good news is my "Where are we now?" post is just about finished, which is set on January 1st, 1950. There are numerous reveals coming up in it, and naturally, you'll be a bit lost on some things. That's what questions are for.

What happens with the German-speakers in Romania? I guess they're expelled as well?
Germany after a devastating civil war is still nicer than repression under the Legionary State. It's not like they had a choice to leave, lest they keep a very low profile.
 
Bonus Update: Where Are They Now? (1950)

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
This side-update marks the halfway point for Part I of "Two Suns Shall Set". All parts will be maintained on this thread, don't worry.

In any case, below showcases how some nations and certain people have been doing up to January 1, 1950, a little over two months before the Soviet invasion of Poland. Below that are a few dozen individuals notable from OTL, and in some cases much less so in this ATL. This might sow some confusion, considering the fact that I have yet to cover the late 1940s with considerable detail. Happy Early Thanksgiving, all! I'll be back to regular updates in two or so weeks.


NATIONS:


  • The United States is enjoying a period of peace and relative prosperity. The economy is booming again, and a new normal has settled across the nation. Under President Robert Taft, things are looking up for most people and are even more so for investors. The U.S. won’t embroil itself in Europe’s problems, and will instead focus on spreading its interests throughout the continent and southward. That “cultural golden age” of the 1940s that faded in Europe will extend into the early 1950s in the United States before naturally petering out towards the conclusion of World War II.
  • The British Empire is still standing strong. For the moment, it’s business as usual, and not a whole lot has changed from the 1930s except for a better economy and slightly louder calls for colonial independence. There aren’t many viable reasons to do this, after all, they’re still quite profitable, and it’s not like Britain’s within bombing distance from the USSR...
  • France is still its same old self, if not more left-leaning (read: social democratic) while remaining quite anti-Soviet. Depending on how the opening acts of World War II play out, this may change. At the moment, they’re pretty content to see in the new decade, less content with the sinking feeling that more calamity for Europe is just around the corner, but still with (eventually unfounded) concern for Iberia aligning itself with the Reds in Russia.
  • Italy is still a fascist dictatorship under Mussolini. The nation isn’t heavily praised or condemned by Western Europe, and the trains are, on average, three and a half minutes late. Other than that, life is mostly okay for the Italians who aren’t political dissidents, poor, or stuck putting down partisans, royalists, or even Croatian ultranationalists in what used to constitute the Kingdom of Yugoslavia.
  • Speaking of what used to be Yugoslavia, it’s a mess. Monarchists in Serbia versus pseudo-Legionaries in Croatia versus socialist partisans in much of Bosnia have led to a death toll of hundreds of thousands, and that’s not counting the Triumvirate invasions of the country that sparked this mess in the first place. The situation looks awfully dim, and all sides (except maybe the Red Partisans) are hoping that the Soviet Union does not stick its nose into this conflict. The “winners” of this conflict will have a lot of rebuilding to engage in...
  • Hungary could be doing a lot worse right now. It’s bad enough fighting a war on almost every side of the country, but it’s worse when you’re widely predicted to capitulate within the next year. To those bloodthirsty Romanians, or even the imperialistic Italians? Never! All that Miklos Horthy knows is that Hungary will survive in some way or another, and the League of Nations that they were expelled from doesn’t matter anymore.
  • Romania is the black spot of Europe. Ten years of atrocities, expulsions, and genocides of local minorities has permanently stained the nation’s history for the worse. Codreanu has recently turned fifty years old, and after various celebration across the country, it was back to work conquering the Bulgarians and advancing westward into Hungary, making sure that Czechoslovakia didn’t eat up too much of their enemy. Only outside intervention, internal conflict, or a combination of the two can stop the murderous rampage that Romania thought was only just beginning…
  • Poland hasn’t changed a lot since the early 1930s, except, perhaps, for some additional modernization here and there. It’s quite a nice place to live, and cities like Warsaw, Lodz, and Poznan still stand proudly, flying the national standard. Russian exercises on their eastern border are rightfully causing fears of an imminent war and subsequent invasion. Germany has assured their independence in the event of a war happening in exchange for some disputed territories (and a land route connecting East Prussia with the rest of Germany) and free access to Danzig/Gdansk.
  • Germany has made quite a recovery from the turmoil of its civil war a decade and a half prior. The economy has entered a postwar boom, and its culture is once again taking off within its own borders. While a bout of social conservatism has swept the nation, the winds of change will eventually bring back some of the mores not promoted publicly since the early 1930s. Restrictions from the Versailles treaty over three decades prior have mostly been lifted in the wake of a new government and the Soviet Threat. The Soviets are not only amassing on the border with Finland, but after their seizing of Lithuania, Germany and Russia now share a land border. Millions of anxious people are certain that this will not end well, and history, within less than ten weeks, will unfortunately prove them true.
  • Spain, soon to be reorganized into a union with Portugal known as Iberia, has made a remarkable recovery from their civil war, yet there is still work to be done. The Republic survived this turmoil, purged the Falangists and Francoists from the land, and will live to see in the beginning of the second half of the twentieth century. Having learned their lesson from Germany, and having fought the fascists with limited Soviet aid, they saw no reason to kowtow to Moscow for so-called “ideological purity”, thus the natural result was the Spanish-Soviet Split of 1946. Aside from token volunteer support from hardliners who make up an insignificant minority in government, Spain, governed by a coalition of social democratic, liberal, and otherwise progressive parties will remain uninvolved in the Second World War, paving the way to build socialism under a democratic structure without interruption. The anarchists may pose a problem or two here and there, but the government is, at best, tolerant of the existence of some communes here and there in Catalonia and the Basque region.
  • Portugal has recently broken into civil war between the current authoritarian Estado Novo and Spanish-inspired republican revolutionaries. The monarchy and many supporters have fled to Brazil, and Spanish troops have crossed the border in a bid to restore order and help the revolutionaries, to Italy’s consternation. (On the other hand, Italy’s in no position to do anything about it at the moment.)
  • Japan has, by this time, consolidated its rule in much of China. The Chinese United Front has fallen apart, with collaborationists in the Kuomintang running affairs in the “legitimate” Chinese Republic. The warlords by this point have either sided with this puppet government or the more powerful Communists in the north. Depending on how the USSR’s invasion of Europe is going, Japan might just open up another front to this war in an effort to secure any resources that might be had in eastern Siberia. Regardless, they’ve played their cards rights, the U.S. is still sending them plenty of delicious oil, and dissent, where it exists, is either inaudible, muted, or nonexistent altogether.
  • Finland could always be worse off. The Soviets are finally being pushed back, but it's not a painless process. Fortunately, the pressure will be greatly lowered come spring.
  • Ireland’s doing as they are doing in our world, just without the threat of war looming over them. They, like Spain, will be sitting this one out, and like Spain, Catholicism is still sort of big. Unlike Spain, religion actually has a place in government, and this may or may not become a problem in the future.
PEOPLE:


  • Getulio Vargas still rules over Brazil with an iron fist, and it does not appear that it will end anytime soon. Vargas is riding a large wave of popularity, and it seems that he will remain the leader of Brazil for years to come.
  • Ramon Castillo is the President of Argentina, in power after his predecessor stepped down from poor health. The Infamous Decade has not treated the country well, and it will be years before the country regains its former wealth and prestige held before the Great Depression.
  • Augusto Pinochet is still in military school where later he hopes to join the Chilean Army in the future. Right now, this is panning out well for him. [1]
  • Henry Agard Wallace is currently a Republican U.S. Senator from Iowa. He's strongly supportive of continuing the New Deal, and is one of the most vocal opponents to President Robert Taft and his ongoing efforts to roll it back. It’s unlikely that he will consider another run for the Presidency at this point, having been beaten in the 1944 and 1948 primaries, but there’s no doubt in anyone’s mind that Wallace will win another six years in the Senate this coming November.
  • John Nance Garner is enjoying his retirement back home in Uvalde, Texas. He has been outside of public life since he got his two terms as Vice-President, and he intends to keep it that way.
  • Wendell Willkie passed away just two weeks after his inauguration in 1945 from a heart attack, similar to the one his predecessor had over two years earlier. His health had been deteriorating for years from his lack of exercise and smoking, and it’s very likely he could have died a few years earlier had he not made an effort to maintain a little fitness during his Presidency.
  • Harry S. Truman is still a Democratic U.S. Senator from Missouri. His tenure is mostly unexciting, and he has no plans in the foreseeable future for getting elected to the White House. His position in Congress is good enough, and retirement isn't on his mind yet.
  • Robert Marion La Follette Jr’s Presidency starting right after the death of Willkie was widely considered “uneventful”, although his insistence of pushing forward further programs in the Fair Deal was met with hostility in Congress, and just about ensured that he would not be nominated in 1948. He declined to run as an independent, and made his return to politics by being elected Governor of Wisconsin.
  • Robert Alphonso Taft is the current President of the United States of America, elected in 1948 on an isolationist and pro-business agenda. His insistence on the repeal of large segments of New Deal legislation are the most controversial aspect of his agenda, but his administration is popular with many Americans who have more money in their pockets than ever.
  • The judicial career of one Joseph Raymond McCarthy was relatively successful while it lasted, the formerly inexperienced judge somehow clearing the backlog of his predecessor quite quickly. The man avoided losing evidence the best he could, and became known throughout the 1940s as a surprisingly effective and fast-working judge locally. Censured for misplacing evidence in spite of his best efforts anyway, he would ultimately be disbarred in 1947 after some financial "misappropriations" caught up with him followed by a drunken rant, the details of which are hazy even for those who transcribed the latter. His reputation as the "town drunk" in Shawano was enforced, and the disgraced McCarthy isn't really all that noteworthy outside of his home state.
  • Texas Democrat Sam Rayburn is the House Majority Leader as of 1950. He lost his bid for the Presidency to Taft two years prior, but he’s more than popular enough that he’ll still have his place in the House of Representatives until the day he dies, whenever that day comes in 1964.
  • Richard Milhous Nixon is currently working in the Federal Bureau of Investigation, and hopes to one day become FBI Director. Of course, John Edgar Hoover is going nowhere for the forseeable future, but there are ways around such obstacles if opportunities present themselves. Aside from his job best described as being a "glorified pen-pusher", he has no plans to run for any elected office in the United States of America, but if his waiting game doesn't work for him in the long run, selling used automobiles is always an option...[2]
  • James Earl Carter Jr. has recently suffered the loss of his father to pancreatic cancer, and he has gone back to the family business of peanut farming. It doesn’t look like it will be too successful considering a recent string of bad harvests, and perhaps with that he might just go back into work with the Navy after all. After all, “Admiral Jimmy Carter” has a nice ring to it, does it not?
  • Ronald Wilson Reagan, being quite an avid supporter of the New Deal, is dismayed with the U.S. government’s recent clamping down on trade unions. Not enough to abandon acting altogether, but perhaps he might go into politics after this, a local Congressional representative is looking to retire soon...[3]
  • William Dudley Pelley is a little more popular than some people would prefer. He’s definitely taken a liking to whatever is happening in Romania, but he’s still far from being a mainstream figure in U.S. Politics. The Silver Legion still exists into 1950, and the Klan seems to be pretty okay with it. With isolationism dominant in America and without a major war occurring halfway across the world (yet), he’s got a small yet sizeable following. Will it amount to anything? Time will tell.[4]
  • James Byron Dean has recently come of age as a troubled teenager. If the United States were gearing up for war, he’d be a rebel out fighting communists on the streets of Warsaw for the cause of freedom. Instead, he’s studying pre-law at Indiana University, and will probably become an attorney someday. Dean has some interest in acting, but he won’t apply himself to it.[5]
  • Fred McFeely Rogers wants to do something with television one day, he’s just not sure what at this moment. He will, one day, realize the educational applications of television for younger children, but for now he’s waiting for a response to his application from CBS. And depending on how this pans out, there are other ambitions he might aspire to reach at some point...
  • J. R. Cash will be coming of age within a few months or so. He has quite the career ahead of him, but he doesn’t know it yet.
  • Hiriam "Hank" Williams is a rising star in the world of country and western music, if not the biggest star right now. Finally managing to put alcoholism behind him, Williams is on the fast track to being the embodiment of the early-to-mid 1950s in the United States of America.
  • Orvon Grover Autry's cowboy movies were bit hits back in the '30s, and while audiences for them as big as it was during the toughest parts of the First Great Depression with new generations growing up across America, the influence of The Singing Cowboy will be felt for decades to come across American popular culture.
  • Rodman Serling hasn’t made it big yet. In another world, his works might be darker as a result of his experiences fighting in a war. Here, he is considerably more optimistic, having graduated from Antioch College in 1947 with a Bachelors of Arts degree. It will be a few years yet before he finds mainstream success on the radio, and it probably won’t be until after the fighting in Europe is over before he comes up with something great (but not as horrifying as one might expect) for the television.[6]
  • James Stewart volunteered for peacetime activities in the U.S. Army Air Force during the early 1940s, taking a brief break from acting but returning with a vengeance in 1946’s It’s a Wonderful Life. He’s most notable now for starring in Harvey, and his career shows no signs of stopping.
  • Charles Monroe Schulz will, in a few year’s time, still write one of the most popular comic strips in U.S. history, and maybe even Europe’s, if those people over there can one day just stop killing each other.
  • Lucille Ball has had mixed fortunes over the last decade. Her acting career has taken off, and she has been doing visibly well without Desi Arnaz, whom she divorced in 1946. It’s unlikely that she will ever have her own television studio, but she looks to be quite successful going forward.[7]
  • William Clark Gable has quite the career in the film industry as a popular actor, and a lot of things are going right for him in this world. What he'll do next is anyone's guess.
  • Norma Jeane Mortenson has never wanted to be in a Hollywood film, nor has anyone offered her the opportunity to do so. She’s not a model, either, but with her attractiveness one would think she ought to be. Her life in California is quiet, if not somewhat depressing, but she’s still holding out hope that things will get better.
  • Jonathan H. Winters never had his watch stolen and he never met a woman by the name of Eileen Schauder. Right now he’s still living a quiet life in Ohio, and is currently working at a general store in Springfield. One day, he will attempt to have his cartoons published in the local paper, but that's the extent of his search for fame and fortune.[8]
  • Robert Capa has been all across the world photographing the German and Spanish Civil Wars, as well as the Chinese Resistance to Japan. He, a Hungarian Jew, risked his life to take pictures in Iron Guard Romania in 1940, and narrowly escaped capture by local military police on his way out. Now he is on assignment photographing the ongoing conflict in Yugoslavia.
  • Salvador Dali was killed and martyred in 1949 as a result of being caught in the crossfire of a protest-turned-riot against the Portuguese Estado Novo after an art exhibition in Lisbon. This was simply one of the many dominoes that resulted in the Portuguese Revolution, a bloody affair that lasted two months and ended with Spanish troops crossing the border to restore order and support the revolutionaries.[9]
  • Jackson Pollock is… Well, Pollock simply is. His artwork looks somewhat different from their counterparts from our timeline, but he’s still married to Lee Krasner, and the masterpieces are quite popular. His alcoholism might cause problems in the future, but in the moment, he’s at his peak.
  • Eric Arthur Blair is still very much alive and well. He doesn’t have much to write as of late, but the looming war in the East just might change that. He has an unfinished manuscript for a dystopian novel lying around, and he might just actually have that written by the decade's end. That said, at the moment he just doesn't have it in him...[10]
  • Stanley Martin Lieber has been hard at work during the 1940s, and his artistic ability will eventually push what is now Timely Comics (soon to be Atlas Comics) to heights that can only be described as "Excelsior".[11]
  • Isaac Asimov has been writing science fiction for a while now, and in a few short years his Foundation trilogy will be on the shelves of bookstores and libraries across America. I, Robot is almost finished, and is bound to be a hit among readers who favor the genre.
  • Lafayette Ronald Hubbard is doing rather well well after his literary one-hit wonder known as Excalibur. He’s in no dire need of money right now, just being a minor influence on some of Asimov’s early works was more than enough. If you ever asked him if he ever thought about joining or even founding a church, he would laugh and ask if you were joking.
  • John Winston Lennon and Richard Starkey have both relatively recently celebrated their ninth birthdays, and are still growing up in an unassuming town in Britain some people might have heard of called Liverpool. Both are too young to fight in the inevitable Second World War even if they wanted to, and it would take a foot of snow to cover the entirety of the Sahara Desert for them to even consider making music together. James Paul McCartney and George Harrison, had they been born, would have been seven and six years old, respectively.[12]
  • Charles Manson is just a recent fatality from a car wreck that occurred two days after Christmas in 1949, not too long after committing an unimportant crime with some other boys his age in West Virginia. He was just fifteen years old.
  • James Warren Jones is a young adult who has been avid reader of the works of Marx, Stalin, Mussolini, and even Codreanu. Thus his obsessions with religion and national bolshevism clerical fascism would develop, and would lead to one of the more surprising political upsets in 20th-century American history...[13]
  • Kaiser Wilhelm III is the current monarch of Germany. He doesn’t hold a lot of power with the 1937 constitution, but he’s still a unifying figure for all loyal Germans to rally around. And with both war and trying times on the horizon, his presence will be seen by the German people as nothing short of a necessity.[14]
  • Erich Ludendorff fought alongside the Monarchists in the German Civil War, though his actions in the Munich Putsch have made some people question his loyalty. (He saw to it that they didn’t do it more than once.) He went into retirement shortly after the negotiated peace and succumbed to liver cancer in early 1938.
  • Hermann Goering was one of roughly three dozen people killed in the attempted "Munich Putsch" all the way back in 1923. He's not even a footnote in most scholarly writings on the incident.
  • Heinrich Himmler was killed in action fighting on the so-called “fourth side” of the German Civil War in the summer of 1935.
  • Reinhard Heydrich fought alongside the Monarchists in the German Civil War, and died in combat on the streets of Mainz on February 20, 1936. The egregious crimes against humanity committed by him during the conflict would, for the most part, be lost to history.
  • Wilhelm Pieck is a German politician living in exile in Spain, part of the minority Communist Party. Rumors swirl of his retirement from politics in the coming year, but outside of his role in the German Civil War he’ll be consigned to historical obscurity, even with a predominantly leftist government forming the Third Spanish Republic.
  • Buenaventura Durruti is a popular Spanish anarchist best known for his integral role in various battles during the Spanish Civil War. Currently in his forties, he’s still organizing the well-known and widely supported (at least in Spain) anarcho-syndicalist movement in Catalonia, to mixed reaction from the central government.
  • Corneliu Zelea Codreanu has been in charge of the Romanian National Legionary State since the blood-stained Fall of 1937. Growing older by the day, his rhetoric and views have seen many souls perish within the blackest spot of Europe. War is coming, and it is up to him and his most loyal followers to survive the coming storm, which, considering the increasing mass of tanks near the shared border with Russia, is far from a certainty. And then there's those whose loyalty is less than certain...
  • Ante Pavelic wants to treat Romania’s current government like a blueprint to his own, with a little bit of Italy thrown in. It is not as popular in Croatia as it is to the east, yet depending on how far things go, this too may change. He has the silent blessings of Romania's Codreanu (in full spite of the differences between the Catholic and Orthodox Churches), but it’s not like he needed it anyway.
  • Dragoljub “Draza” Mihailovic is a prominent general for the royalist forces in the Kingdom of Yugoslavia, which at this point mainly comprises most of the region of Serbia. Not a whole lot is going good for him and his side, except for sentiment across Europe and the continued slow collapse of Bulgarian authority in the region due to the ongoing Romanian occupation of Varna and the continued push to Plovdiv.
  • Josip Broz, known to his compatriots as "Tito", serves as the de facto current leader for a faction centrally located in the Bosnian region of the rapidly-unraveling Yugoslavia. These anti-fascist, anti-monarchist partisans are generally communist in nature, but those that aren’t are fighting for a republic in the nation at the very least they hate either Mihailovic, Pavelic, or the foreign invaders. If Tito's plans for revolution in the Balkans fail, there's always his son's place in America, or he can even seek refuge in Spain.
  • Zarko Broz, the son of a rebel leader in central Yugoslavia, has immigrated to the United States not long before his homeland imploded upon itself due to a multi-front invasion. He is soon to be married, and perhaps he might have a bright future ahead of him in this land of opportunity.[15]
  • Idi Amin was killed in 1947 helping put down a revolt in British Kenya.
  • Galeazzo Ciano is the heir-apparent of Benito Mussolini’s Italian Empire. Mussolini is becoming an older man, and it’s clear that he won’t live to see 1960, but Ciano doesn’t have the strong attachment to fascist ideology that his eventual predecessor will have. But does this mean that Italy will soon undergo liberal reforms? Maybe. Will they be at a snail's pace if there are reforms? They most certainly will.
  • Maurice Thorez and a number of medium-profile leftists from France have since emigrated to Spain. Thorez isn't relevant anymore, and he's lucky not to be in jail following a minor Red Scare in France that's going to pale in comparison to what will come next.
  • Noted figures such as Charles de Gaulle, Erwin Rommel, and Bernard Montgomery, in spite of all of the ways this world has changed, will all find themselves elevated to eternal fame in the history books for their deeds in their respective militaries once the events of the next six and a half years unfold.
  • Jiang Jieshi (more commonly romanized as "Chaing Kai-shek") will never set foot on Taiwan for any reason whatsoever during the rest of his soon-to-be short lifetime. The Chinese United Front hasn’t officially collapsed, but this situation is de facto. Two separate geopolitical entities essentially control what parts of China are not under Japanese occupation, his “republic” in the south, and the communist regime of Chairman Mao Zedong, who to the frustration of all but the Soviets is not dead, and won’t be for at least a little while longer. In spite of being on Stalin’s good side, Mao is too caught up with guerilla warfare to officially have Red China declare war on Russia’s non-Japanese enemies, but there are still those that volunteer by the thousands, and those that “volunteer” under larger numbers.
  • Du Yuesheng is still smuggling goods in and out of Shanghai and other coastal Chinese cities, but how long he has left to live is anyone’s guess. He’s viewed as quite the hero by some, the scum of the earth by others, and then there are those who could care less about what he’s doing, so long as their pockets are lined with money at the end of the day. He's not relevant in the grand scheme of things, but he's the closest anywhere in China has to a "civilian" "government".
  • Zhang Xueliang has escaped from his house arrest in KMT-controlled Southern China and is, with some reluctance, fighting alongside figures like Mao Zedong. His skills and knowledge are, at this point, vital to the survival of Mao's "Second Chinese Soviet Republic". His lack of ideological commitment isn't as vital, but people do change. And should he change, it would become one of the most surprising changes in modern Chinese history.
  • Joseph Stalin is nearing three decades of rule over the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics, and for an early celebration, some military exercises alongside bordering states to the west are not out of order. Soon, Europe will be under his iron grip, and the working classes will be freed from their bourgeois oppressors. His position is uncontested, the purging of figures like Nikita Khrushchev[16], Mikhail Tukhachevsky, and thousands of other unlucky souls in the late 1930s made sure of that, not to mention Leon Trotsky taking multiple blows from an icepick ten years earlier. Regardless of the outcome of the Second World War soon to break out, his health has been in decline, and it's likely that Stalin won't live to see the end of what he will soon start...
  • Finally, Nationalist Spanish General Francisco Franco Bahamonde, the target of friendly fire in the last days of the Spanish Civil War, is in his eleventh year of being afflicted with a condition that one can easily summarize as being “critically dead”.

[1] Pinochet will get nowhere near the apparatus of state power in Chile, or elsewhere. Further details would spoil his fate!
[2] What’s an "After 1900" timeline on alternatehistory.com without mentioning this fellow? I mean, come on!
[3] I’ll just say right now that he does not, and will not, have Presidential ambitions at any point in this universe. That, and Reagan ITTL doesn't move sharply to the right politically during his lifetime.
[4] Just one of the many ripples that resulted from the nonexistence of the (Nazi) Holocaust.
[5] The subtle pun here is that he could’ve been a rebel with a cause, but is not. He's just going to be a lawyer, maybe just another changed figure that wants into politics? Probably not.
[6] The Twilight Zone in its current form, with the lack of Serling’s traumatic experiences in World War II, is unfortunately butterflied. Some of the other concepts behind it, however, will stick around, and perhaps we’ll get a more optimistic and less nightmare-inducing analogue out of it in The Time Element. But that’s for the 1950s Pop Culture update, sorry.
[7] There may be no I Love Lucy or Desilu, but that won’t stop her from becoming relatively famous over the course of the fifties and into the sixties.
[8] Essentially, and sadly, Winters is a nobody in this world.
[9] Surreal, is it not? But in a way, this makes him more famous than IOTL.
[10] The Last Man in Europe, or alternatively Nineteen Ninety-Five, will be covered after World War II. Yes, in some form, it lives!
[11] My small tribute to one of the most influential figures in comic book history, who has recently passed away at age 95.
[12] Even if all four of those who would, in another universe, be known as the Beatles were alive here, there still wouldn’t be a “British invasion”, nor would they be spearheading it.
[13] Don’t worry, he’s not going to be President. Or the world’s best boxer, killing over 900 people with one punch. But sane is a word you cannot describe him as. He'll go so far as to [REDACTED] in 1962, but that's about it. As for his studying of “leftists”, he gets his support for economics that could be considered pseudo-Strasserist, even if it won't matter in the slightest.
[14] His father passed away in 1941. Not that it mattered, considering Wilhelm II wasn’t going to get the throne back anyway.
[15] He will later come to be known by his ATL American name of Zack Brozman. It will be a good while yet before he makes a name for himself in America.
[16] Stalin’s purges all occurred off-screen here. They’re slightly more bloody, and Stalin’s paranoia is something that was going to happen no matter what. That said, one Nikolai Yezhov somehow made it out of them alive.
 
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What do domestic Polish politics look like? Is the junta from the late '30s still in power in 1950?

Polish Jews will definitely be better off than OTL, but I'm not sure if they'll gradually assimilate or end up emigrating due to local antisemitism?

Has Warsaw come to an accommodation with the Ukrainians in the southeast of the country? The Ukrainian minority party (Ukrainian National Democratic Party) was committed to working within the system through peaceful means and Archbishop Sheptytsky of the Greek Catholic Church in Galicia was a voice for moderation. The OUN wouldn't have been able to commit the ethnic cleansing of OTL without WW2, but it might have stuck around as an IRA-style terrorist group.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
What are Czechoslovakia’s relations with with its northern neighbors? I’d imagine that even the more moderate monarchist Germany would still have claims on the Sudetenland, and Czechoslovakia’s alliance with the genocidal Romanian regime provides a good excuse to exert those claims. And if Germany goes for the Sudetenland, Poland would probably go for Zaolzie.
 

BigBlueBox

Banned
What happens with the German-speakers in Romania? I guess they're expelled as well?
The

Germany after a devastating civil war is still nicer than repression under the Legionary State. It's not like they had a choice to leave, lest they keep a very low profile.

Codreanu’s mother had some German ancestry, although I’m not sure if that would have affected his treatment of Germans.
 
Codreanu’s mother had some German ancestry, although I’m not sure if that would have affected his treatment of Germans.
That's somewhat normal for fascists, actually. Fascists generally got large amounts of support in contested border regions (Codreanu's home county pre-1918) or multiethnic regions and felt that the need to "protect" their Romanian-ness or German-ness, etc. or be more Romanian than the Romanians. There are rumors that Hitler may have had distant Czech ancestry, which wouldn't be shocking given the region he's from.

Antisemitism is a given for Romania fascists, and they viewed the Hungarians as a "disloyal" minority of willing helpers for revanchists in Budapest. As far as I know they saw German speakers as a "loyal" minority because Germany was too far away to realistically annex Romanian territory or threaten the country's territorial integrity.

Romanian foreign policy was divided between a Germanophile faction that included the originally German-speaking monarchs and a more Francophile country saw Romania as a fellow "Latin country" alongside France, Italy, etc. French was the preferred second language of research and publishing for interwar Romanian intellectuals, and the Romanian language had been consciously purged of "foreign" slavic loan words to be more "Latin".

In Europe's Shadow: Two Cold Wars and a Thirty-Year Journey Through Romania and Beyond by Robert Kaplan goes deeper into Romanian history during this period.
 

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
What do domestic Polish politics look like? Is the junta from the late '30s still in power in 1950?

The junta still rules Poland. But not for much longer. Poland is, aside from the other questions that I've answered below, pretty much quiet and uneventful, taking it all in before the coming storm.

Polish Jews will definitely be better off than OTL, but I'm not sure if they'll gradually assimilate or end up emigrating due to local antisemitism?

The situation is not perfect, and while an overwhelming majority of them are indeed better off than IOTL (i.e. alive), tensions here and there just don't get avoided. Some lucky ones make it within America's quotas and head overseas, others flee to a somewhat more open (but not by much) Western Europe, and most others keep their heads down and/or assimilate.

Has Warsaw come to an accommodation with the Ukrainians in the southeast of the country? The Ukrainian minority party (Ukrainian National Democratic Party) was committed to working within the system through peaceful means and Archbishop Sheptytsky of the Greek Catholic Church in Galicia was a voice for moderation.

Yeah. They remain part of Poland, and in turn they get more autonomy from Warsaw. The situation is, for the most part over the course of the forties, peaceful.

The OUN does stick around as an IRA-style terrorist group in the region, and while they don't commit acts of genocide against the Poles (or at least attempt to as of yet), they'll be a noted pain in the side for the soon-to-be invading USSR. They're not getting as much support from Romania as one would expect for various reasons, including the fact that they're busy doing nasty stuff in much of northern and eastern Bulgaria. (Being Slavs doesn't help either them or the OUN too much either.)
 
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AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
Next update should be out tomorrow or Monday at the earliest, and then y'all will get your regularly scheduled fill of Two Suns Shall Set. With this we will have the leadup to World War II, then three updates on the war itself.

I hope you all have had a wonderful Thanksgiving, you all got stuff at decent prices, and I hope your college football teams won or will win their respective games. (Except you Michigan! :p)

(Sorry, but I'm more loyal to my home state than I would usually like to admit, despite how I could care less for American football.)
 
Chapter 6: The Road To War

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
In celebration of the one-month anniversary of the first post of this timeline, post #75 on this thread will feature the years leading up to World War II. Probably not my greatest chapter, considering this is still my first timeline and I have no delusions of being anywhere near one of the greats. Instead, I'll give you the next best thing:


CHAPTER 6: THE ROAD TO WAR



The Second World War is generally accepted to have started on March 9, 1950, with the Soviet Declaration of War and subsequent invasion of Poland. It must be acknowledged, however, that the embroiling of Europe into inevitable conflict began in March of 1948. Negotiations at an ill-fated gathering in Athens late the previous year broke down, and in spite of all of the dangers of a multi-front war, there was certainty among Italian and Hungarian officers that Yugoslavia could be wiped out quickly enough to make the rest of the Little Entente little more than mincemeat at the hands of the Triumvirate. This was, for obvious reasons, not good for the Land of the South Slavs itself, principally when one contemplates the ethnic divisions and political gridlock taking over the entirety of the country. King Peter II, while a popular monarch, was not going to be able to single-handedly prevent the country from collapsing upon itself and into sectarian conflict between Serbs, Croats, Macedonians, and the like. Beginning in April of 1948, the soldiers marched across the borders, and any semblance of stability within the nation disappeared within hours. Loyalists to the Crown were predominantly in Serbia, its army loyal to the King commanded by Draza Mihailovic[1]. Croatian separatists rose up under Ante Pavelic[2], a man who is interested in turning the Croatia into another state like Legionary Romania. Communists, while more heavily suppressed after various events across Europe during the 1930s, eventually became their own contenders in the conflict. They were centered in Bosnia, led by one Josip Broz Tito[3]. There were other factions: The Slovenians, the Montenegrins, the Macedonians, and the Kosovar separatists that had few qualms with joining the protectorate of Greater Albania, little more than an Italian puppet. Which they did, that same summer. Most of these smaller factions were subsumed by the end of the year, but by 1949 the situation was becoming more and more dire. Hundreds of thousands at this point lay dead or dying across Southeastern Europe, and the body count was only going to go one direction: up.[4]

Joseph Stalin, a year earlier, finally cast the metaphorical dice across the metaphorical table. In this particular case rolled doubles. It meant not only to annex Tannu Tuva, Mongolia, and the Baltic States after significant manipulations and “incidents” involving disappearing political figures and strong left-wing majorities in governments, it meant he could roll again. The next roll would determine whether or not he would attack Finland, and then a twenty-sided die would be used to determine the success of this action. Finland refuses a few generous demands from the Glorious Motherland, and an invasion, which would later be called the Two Winter’s War of 1948-1950, would ensue.

The nicest thing that could be said about the Soviet invasion of Finland is that Stalin, in this case, did not roll a natural one. The invasion started out well, but winter, the same entity that protected Mother Russia from Napoleon, is now protecting Finland from being utterly crushed my the might of the Red Army. On the other hand, it’s not saving Finland from being invaded slowly but surely by the Soviets. The best analogy to this could have Finland described as being “slowly weighed down one large rock at a time, instead of being hit all at once by an anvil”. There was only so much the little Nordic nation could take, and that decreased slightly after May Day rolled around, and the temperatures warmed up again. Mud may have slowed down the tanks, but more and more Russian men and boys would give their lives before the planned strike on Helsinki in June. While the city would see fighting for months, it would not be until the end of 1949 before whatever organized defenses on the streets of Helsinki kicked the Russians out of the beleaguered Finnish city, and the white and blue would remain flying proudly over it indefinitely. Stalin decided that in spite of this setback, he would push through, and to distract from the losses in Finland, an interesting series of coincidences struct the governments of Estonia, Latvia, and Lithuania. Each gained suspiciously large Communist majorities in their governments in the late 1940s, and they all, within the span of six weeks, voted to join the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics.
[5] This naturally drew the ire of a resurgent Germany, the fear of the Polish Government under Wladyslaw Anders[6], and an unsurprising lack of ignorance from the staunchly anti-communist Romania, decrying “Judeo-Bolshevism” and spewing similar rhetoric, a perfect excuse to speed up a process that would later be euphemistically known as "ethnic cleansing".

February of 1950 came and went, and the world had, for the moment and in spite of ongoing warfare, calmed down. No major gains or losses were coming out of the oversized dumpster fire that was the Balkans. Russia was still bogged down in a perpetual Finnish stalemate, and any complaints about the new Soviet leadership in cities like Riga and Tallinn are but murmurs, thanks to the ruthless efficiency of the NKVD and local police. Japan, for a brief second, seemed content with their conquests in Asia, but there were still some less-than-collaborative... “collaborationists” in their new Chinese puppet government, and once they’re purged, perhaps this drawn-out war with the Chiang’s
[7] Republicans and Mao’s Communists can eventually be settled within the next decade. Eventually. But until then, with one eye over the fractured “Middle Kingdoms”, the other eye watches the movements of the Bear up north, waiting for the right moment to strike… At this time, most believed that this was where the world would finally begin to calm down again. There were those, naturally, who were sure that this was false security, and their beliefs were vindicated on March 7st, 1950, when the Soviet Union created a list of demands and telegraphed them to various nations in Europe. The end of the unsteady peace, where it persisted, was at hand.

The Polish government was, at Moscow's direction to cede part of its land to Russia and was to surrender their government to “the workers and proletarian masses” of Poland.
[8] Germany was to hand over much of Eastern Prussia up to Danzig, and Romania was to cede much of the Moldavian region as well as Bessarabia. A favorable response was demanded within twelve hours of the ultimatum under pain of occupation. For the most obvious of reasons, all three nations refused, and all three, though not together, mind you, reaffirmed that any military action taken upon them would be recognized as an act of war. The most notable public action essentially condemning the Soviets was the incident where Anders himself purposely spat upon a translated copy of the ultimatum after giving a later-famous address to the Sejm about surrendering "not a meter of Polish soil" to the USSR. (The second most notable one, discovered in a hidden archival facility in the mountains of Transylvania in 1981, was documented on a Romanian-language newsreel where Legionary troops marched across a Soviet flag and and Codreanu himself lit the printed ultimatum on fire in front of a large crowd.)

The Soviet Declarations of War on Poland, Romania, and Germany delivered in the early morning hours on March 9, 1950 marked the beginning of the Second World War. and while it would be another few weeks before the Balkan Conflict merged into it, the stage was set for massive bloodshed. By the end of it tens of millions of Europeans and numerous Asians alike would lay dead or dying from Vienna to Vladivostok.




[1] Notable OTL for collaborating with the Axis. Does not do the same with the Triumvirate here, but Italy, ironically, has more interests in common with this faction than they originally thought...
[2] Another one who’s pretty f---ing nasty. The Ustase were not only collaborationists and German/Italian puppets, but they committed many atrocities during their time, and even after the "Independent State of Croatia" ceased to exist even carried out terrorist attacks in the Socialist Federal Republic of Yugoslavia IOTL.
[3] The Red Partisans less going for them in this ATL. They have no friends other than Spain and (to a somewhat lesser extent) the Soviet Union, and they're a landlocked region at war with all of their neighbors. Needless to say, their odds are not all that good.
[4] This war is equal parts similar to the front that occurred in our 1940s, and equal parts the Yugoslav Wars from the 1990s, with all the messiness of the two and none of the mix of folk and electronic instruments that, memetically I might add, characterized the Serbian Nationalism of the latter.
[5] Even with “socialism in one country”, the USSR wasn’t just focusing on internal intelligence operations, you see.
[6] A Polish military general, notable IOTL for being in the Polish government-in-exile in the United Kingdom. Here he ends up in charge of the supposedly democratic Poland not too long after Pilsudski’s death. Also, please forgive me for not adding accents on the letters where appropriate and necessary, my keyboard is not as wonderful as I want it to be, and forget copying and pasting. If I do a redux of this timeline, I’ll probably do it correctly.
[7] I know, I alternated between one Romanization in the previous bonus update and this one. I’ll use this one from now on, simply because more people are familiar with it, but I personally like the other one better.
[8] You know, typical air from typical communist administrations.
 
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Well, this is a set up for a very bloody conflict indeed. Just read through the last bits and the update on nations and people was handy to get an idea of where some of the more famous are. Now to see what's going to happen. Also getting a bit of a Red Alert vibe, not a bad thing that.
 

AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
Also getting a bit of a Red Alert vibe, not a bad thing that.

I personally have never played the game, but I am aware of the premise and it's definitely coinciding with quite a few events here. Just don't expect Tesla coil weapons or anything as badass, but I will say that there have been butterflies to both German Panzers and Soviet tanks in this ATL, seeing as neither country, until now, has attacked the other with either.

Is Austria still an independent state as of 1950?

Very much so, thanks to the lack of an Anschluss.


EDIT: I'll add that "austrofascism" is pretty much a dead concept going into the 1940s, in spite of Italian influence. The economy is better and the people aren't particularly angry at anyone, though elements of corporatism still remain in Austrian economics and it will be a while before that's rolled back.
 
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AeroTheZealousOne

Monthly Donor
Aw, crud, I forgot to address a few things! I'll do that now. Sorry, all.

What are Czechoslovakia’s relations with with its northern neighbors? I’d imagine that even the more moderate monarchist Germany would still have claims on the Sudetenland, and Czechoslovakia’s alliance with the genocidal Romanian regime provides a good excuse to exert those claims.

As of 1950, Germany's still viewed with suspicion even after their Civil War, but they definitely have their claims in the Sudetenland, with some even suggesting that it be partitioned with Austria. The postwar situation could see some border shifts across Europe, and this proposal is one of those that will be on the table after 1956, and even with Germany in ruins, the monarchists will still have plenty of say at the negotiating table.

Well, this is a set up for a very bloody conflict indeed. Just read through the last bits and the update on nations and people was handy to get an idea of where some of the more famous are.

Oh absolutely. There are plenty of people I wanted to address but I don't feel the necessity to go back and add a whole bunch more people in. Instead, I'll re-cover a few from the 1950 bonus update whose actions were mostly uneventful and we'll see some new faces in 1960.

Let me know if there's anyone you folks want me to cover, and I'll include them in that update. It's going to be a while on that, however, since the next two updates concern the World War, and they're going to be huge.
 
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