Does anyone think it is possible to have Japan split into two states around the 1860s-1870s? For example, one centered around the Emperor and one around the Shogun? Or perhaps a Meiji state and a samurai/isolationist state? I was thinking along the US Civil War line, but I don't know what I can and can't apply here.
So, could we have a modernizing nation and one that remained with bakufu? If so, where would each one be located? How would they be formed, and led by who? Would you need a POD much earlier than the 1850s, 1860s, or 1870s? Where would the center of power for each lie?
Thanks a bunch in advance, even if the answer is an overwhelming no.