Uhhhhh I guess I'll explain it later
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Ever since the famous Hawaiian Democratic Revolution[1], Hawaii had been a solidly Democratic state. It had two Democratic senators, two Democratic representatives, four Democratic electoral votes, and a Democratic governor since statehood. However, this began to change as the 1960s went on. It first began with Walter Judd's 1960 campaign[2]. Judd's massive support for the Republic of China had pushed many Chinese-Americans to the Republican party, as many had left mainland China following the Communist victory in the Chinese Civil War and others who had roots in the United States going back to the late 19th century hated Mao's regime for hurting and killing so many of their people, some of which were even related to them (although this does conveniently ignore the mass deportations and arrests of left-wing and pro-democracy figures in the ROC following Chiang Kai-shek's assassination)[3]. As Hawaii was about 5% Chinese, this did slightly effect the state's politics. However, a major part of the Hawaiian-Chinese population had more roots in Hawaii than many Chinese-Americans did in mainland China, so there was less of a "family element" when they heard of the horrors of the Cultural Revolution. Still, Judd's campaign reached out to Asians of all backgrounds, due to his strong opposition to the rising tide of Communism in East Asia and the Middle East[4] and pushed the demographic group to the Republican party. However, this process was slower in Hawaii, generally due to the circumstances around the Democratic Revolution of 1954.
However, 1966 looked like a prime year for the Republicans to take power in the state. The party had slowly been moving up in power in the state and it nominated Hiram Fong for Governor, the former Speaker of the Hawaii house who managed to survive the Democratic Revolution and win re-election. Not only that, but popular governor John Burns would not be running for a third term, thus causing an open primary. Fong was very popular and had connections within the party, so there was no competitive primary to worry about. Meanwhile, the Hawaii Democrats were heavily divided, as the center of the party had largely taken over and many on the left felt ignored. After a competitive primary where centrist representative Thomas Gill won out against left-wing candidates. With this, labour leader and journalist Koji Ariyoshi[5] decided to run under the Socialist Party label to protest the Democrats and their move to the center. With this, the election got more and more interesting.
While Ariyoshi was a controversial figure, considering his ties to Communism, his support for labour unions made him very popular in pro-labour areas on the islands, and he largley pushed back against accusations of Communist sympathies. Meanwhile, the Socialists saw an opportunity to make themselves relevant again, and pushed a lot into the campaign, raising lots of money (but only in populist ways of course) and having Ariyoshi make powerful speeches across the islands. Meanwhile, Gill attempted to stop the bleeding of voters to Ariyoshi by bringing in popular left-wing figures from the state. This may have actually hurt him, as he was overshadowed by these people and it showed many on the left what they
could have instead of Gill. Hell, Gill was even overshadowed by his running mate, Nelson Doi, and this would hurt his campaign going into it. While many say Fong's campaign was only successful due to vote-splitting, his campaign didn't slouch, as Fong was very active. In the end, no one really knew what to expect.
While Fong's campaign was sort of expected to win, the major surprise was how well Ariyoshi did. While most expected him to get about 3-5% he massively outdid expectations by nearly receiving 10% of the vote and many wondered why he did so well. The main thing was that Ariyoshi brought many labour voters who generally didn't vote to the polls, and considering the Socialist Party's support for GLBT rights, that may have caused many to turn out for the party, as Hawaii has had a history of support for GLBT rights[6]. The success of Ariyoshi helped the Socialists a lot, as they managed to win several seats in Hawaii's state legislature and polled high in Gill's former house district. Time would tell if the Socialist Party would grow as a result of this election.
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In Alabama's 6th District, representative George Huddleson Jr. was growing unpopular. The right wing hated him for not leaving the Democrats, and the left wing hated him for being segregationist and not allying with popular governor George Wallace. With this, it became clearer and clearer that he'd lose re-election and he faced a very strong Republican challenger who was attacking him from the left. However, following Republican Jack Edwards' surprising plurality victory in 1962, the Democrats and Constitutionites created a two-round system for Alabama election, and would hold the first round a month away from the general election. However, Edwards became a "political chameleon" in this system. If the Constitution Party made it to the second round, he tried to appeal to centrist voters as the lesser of two evils, and when the Democrats made it to the second round, he moved to the right. This presented a way to success for Republicans in Alabama, a state with an interesting centrist/right-wing split in some areas.
John Hall Buchanan[7] was a moderate Republican pastor in Birmingham who ran for congress in 1962, and after losing supposedly retired from politics. However, with Huddleson growing unpopular in his home district, Buchanan saw an importunity to push Southern Republicans forward with a victory. Buchanan also received a strange honor. As Buchanan had been a major supporter of the destruction of the Alabama KKK, he received support from George Wallace and John M. Patterson as opposed to Huddleson, who often feuded with Wallace's populist machine. With this, Buchanan was able to make it to the second round with support from centrists in the district. In the second round his opponent was Asa Carter, a former Bull Connor speech writer[8] who supposedly had ties to the KKK. With this, many in Alabama decided it was best to unite around Buchanan, and Huddleson decided to do so begrudgingly. This actually helped Carter, as he decried the "
Jew LIBERAL Establishment" was trying to stop a "man of the
white people"[9] like Carter. Still, he was heavily favored to lose to Buchanan and the Wallace machine. Time would tell if Carter could pull off a massive upset against Buchanan and his bipartisan support.
With Buchanan's victory, the state of
Alabama would have two Republican Representatives, something that hadn't happened since 1894. This gave hope to those that wanted to expand the Republican party in southern areas that weren't Florida.
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In Vermont, governor Robert Stafford had been serving since 1958. In 1957, he became independent to protest Harold Stassen's loss in the Republican Primaries despite winning the popular vote and a majority of the states. However, Stafford returned to the Republicans in 1964 when they nominated Henry Cabot Lodge, and he continued his term as governor. However, in 1966 he was retiring to run for senate in 1968 after 8 years as a very popular governor. With this, it was time for Vermont to chose his successor.
Stafford's planned successor was Thomas L. Hayes, his moderate Lt. Governor. However, Hayes shockingly lost the Republican primary to libertarian Roger MacBride[10]. MacBride's anti-Liberian War politics were popular in the state and his conservative/libertarian beliefs made him popular with those disappointed with the centrism of the Vermont Republican Party. Meanwhile, the Democrats nominated far-left former congressman William H. Meyer. The nomination of a far-left and a (Vermont-wise) far-right candidate angered moderates, and with that, Stafford decided to run a write-in campaign for governor, hoping to replicate his success as an independent.
Of course, there were more challenges with a write-in campaign than there were for an independent campaign. Stafford was able to win the Democratic nomination as an independent with his center-left politics. However, the far-out politics of MacBride and Meyer provided a solid base for Stafford. Not only that, but as Stafford had a fairly common last name and had been on the ballot for twelve straight years (he ran for Attorney General twice) so it was very unlikely any errors around the spelling of his name.
MacBride's campaign largely tried to appeal to right-wing voters and those who were angry at the traditional Vermont Republican Party. Meanwhile, Meyer tried to appeal to working class voters and those on the left. Stafford on the other hand, really didn't campaign. He generally just touted his name when compared to his more extreme opponents, and that made his campaign fall in the polls. He went from a sure lead to making the race a hyper-competitive three-way. With this, the victor was anyone's guess, and many felt the election would end controversially.
In the end, MacBride outdid most polls, and many felt it was either because Stafford split centrist votes from Meyer or because Meyer split left-wing votes from Stafford. In the end, the state of Vermont would move to the right for the next two years.
Footnotes:
[1] Same thing happened OTL
[2] Since I mentioned Walter Judd, I'm contractually forced to tag
@GrayCatbird42
[3] Not comparing ITTL's deportations & jailings to the horrors of the Cultural Revolution ITTL/IOTL, just saying they're rarely mentioned ITTL when talking about how terrible the PRC is.
[4] Yes, Communists are growing in power in both areas. Syria's fallen to Communism, Japan's Liberal and Democratic Parties are split so the socialists are in power (with some support from the Communists)
[5] Ariyoshi is not jailed for trying to overthrow the US government ITTL, so he's a bit more credible.
[6] Hawaii has always been ok/good on LGBT rights. Many natives of the island did not fit Western genders, and the
aliʻi people often had same-sex relationships, as Lilikalā Kameʻeleihiwa states of them "If you didn't sleep with a man, how could you trust him when you went into battle? How would you know if he was going to be the warrior that would protect you at all costs, if he wasn't your lover?". So Hawaii used to be full of tops. Good to know[11]. This is slightly extended ITTL, with the LGBT rights movement growing earlier.
[7] Since I mentioned John Buchanan, I'm contractually forced to tag
@Gonzo
[8] Carter was a Wallace speech writer ITTL, and IOTL he's given a similar position
[9] All things crossed out are things that Carter never said but let's be honest... he meant those things
[10] Fine I'm unoriginal. Fuck you. You're the one still reading this, not me.
[11] this footnote was largely taken from Wikipedia