Tudeh Party Takes Power in the 1979 Iranian revolution

Anyway the Tudeh party could take power in 1979 Revolution

Would Saddam invade a communist Iran

Would the Soviets Military intervene against him if he invaded

How would the Us and the gulf states deal with a communist Iran
 
The Tudeh simply had no prospect of seizing power. Compared to the Islamists, it was far too weak and too associated with the Soviet Union in the public mind. Indeed, especially under Kianouri's leadership https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Noureddin_Kianouri the Tudeh pretty much subordinated itself to Khomeini in the ultimately vain hope of getting tolerance from the regime. "The US correctly judged that, much like the National Front, the Tudeh's alliance with Khomeini proceeded from a position of weakness. They also believed, correctly again, that this reflected Moscow's judgement that Khomeini was an individual they could do business with." https://books.google.com/books?id=KfXRAQAAQBAJ&pg=PA68
 
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Anyway the Tudeh party could take power in 1979 Revolution

Not Tudeh as we know it. Tudeh had been heavily disrupted by the SAVAK since they were seen as one of the most serious threats to the regime. Not only that, they were rightly seen as Moscow stooges.

After the Islamic Revolution took the country over, Tudeh had a renaissance of sorts for a few years, since Moscow let them have more autonomy (even allowing Tudeh to criticize the Soviet Union a little) and the Islamists didn't persecute Tudeh anywhere near to the degree the Shah had (of course, if any Tudeh members showed any sign of forgetting who the bosses were, their rear ends were grass). So we can see that Tudeh could appeal to the mass of the urban working classes if conditions were more friendly.

A realistic path to power for Tudeh would be something like this:

1) Moscow loosen the reins on Tudeh earlier, letting the party be a party for Iran, not Moscow, and they get really, really lucky in 1979 when the exiled Tudeh leadership returns to Iran.

2) The Iranian revolution isn't co-opted by any strong group, leading to a weak republic dominated by many factions of Islamist, left wingers and moderates. The US embassy siege still occurs, ruining relations with the US when the weak Iranian government refuses to condemn the factions behind the siege. Relations with the Soviets are poor due to the weak government not being able to exert any real foreign policy and inertia from the Shah's time. Saddam invades on schedule, taking advantage of the country's isolation. The Soviets immediately condemn this strongly, and offers no-strings-attached aid, while at the same time the Tudeh party takes a big part in organizing the Iranian resistance. As a result, Tudeh gets a leg up on the other parties, and is eventually able to gather most of the reins of power to itself. With Soviet support and less damage done by purges of the armed forces, the Iranians do much better in the war, requiring much more overt backing of Iraq (which in turn alienates Iran all the more and strengthens Tudeh).

fasquardon
 
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