Tsar Nicholas has a healthy son.

It might have happened: taking Nicholas II out of the picture much sooner could have been helpful. A far less fatalistic Tsar would have helped. One can only hope that's the boy here.
 
It might have happened: taking Nicholas II out of the picture much sooner could have been helpful. A far less fatalistic Tsar would have helped. One can only hope that's the boy here.
Okay interesting. Certainly be interesting to see how the Bolsheviks try and deal with a emperor who actually cares for the people visibly
 
Without the drift from 1905 to the dawn of the war, and the war, it's possible the Revolution may have stayed in Switzerland waiting on Russia to become 'ripe'.
 
Interesting. So are you suggesting then that for the monarchy to survive, Nicholas either needs to die early or there needs to be no 1905 revolution?
 
I sort of see 1905 as the first step. It brought in a Duma, which theoretically meant change could come without toppling the monarchy. Nicholas II need not die, as much as get out of the way.
 
Alright and do you think constitutional monarchy is inevitable ? And how much if that is down to western thinking that democracy is fabulous?
 
Not inevitable: there's plenty of ways the boy Tsar can mess up. And Russia, even in this alternate timeline is a long way from anything like democracy. Bear in mind, even if Sarajevo doesn't bring about WWI, these folks are in no way out of the woods. Not while Austria lies rotting in the sun and Germany has William II. If there's no war or revolution beginning in 1914, there would be the matter of the Tsar's marriage. Which would probably bring new challenges.
 
I'm going to digress.....If the Tsarina has twins in 1899, the odds are we've butterflied the OTL Anastasia and Alexi. But we're keeping them? I think having an older, healthy son would have been good for the Tsarina; it would have taken some of the pressure off because Alexi was the spare.

(Frankly, I couldn't figure out how a pathologically shy German girl like Alix ended up marrying the heir to the Tsar...... and then I remembered Lady Diana Spencer; there's apparently a category of women who want the trimmings but only on their terms....)
 
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I have a hard time putting too much faith in this boy Tsar. Presumably he's be a bit better educated than Nicholas was, but at a young 18, it's hard to imagine him reorganizing a wartime government in any meaningful way. If he backs out of the war, he loses the "whites", if he stays in the October revolution still seems likely.

I agree, however, as pointed out, chances are that Misha Alexandrovich (his uncle) is in charge of the army. And as I understand, Mikhail was rather popular with the officers, just as his wife was with the Duma, and the Dowager Empress was popular point, so with that triumvirate in charge of Russian politics - even if they're delegating to ministers and councils of war, it could change things. True, he's perhaps no more educated than Nicky was, but, he has the benefit of people with their "ear to the ground" so to speak. If Mikhail and maybe a couple of other the galaxy of grand dukes and princes that Nicky/Alicky alienated, can keep the army (and perhaps the navy too (can't remember the name of the grand duke in charge of the navy who pledged loyalty to the provisional government)) loyal to the tsar, it might change one or two domestic engagements - not necessarily foreign ones.
 
I agree, however, as pointed out, chances are that Misha Alexandrovich (his uncle) is in charge of the army. And as I understand, Mikhail was rather popular with the officers, just as his wife was with the Duma, and the Dowager Empress was popular point, so with that triumvirate in charge of Russian politics - even if they're delegating to ministers and councils of war, it could change things. True, he's perhaps no more educated than Nicky was, but, he has the benefit of people with their "ear to the ground" so to speak. If Mikhail and maybe a couple of other the galaxy of grand dukes and princes that Nicky/Alicky alienated, can keep the army (and perhaps the navy too (can't remember the name of the grand duke in charge of the navy who pledged loyalty to the provisional government)) loyal to the tsar, it might change one or two domestic engagements - not necessarily foreign ones.

Interesting, very interesting.
 
I agree, however, as pointed out, chances are that Misha Alexandrovich (his uncle) is in charge of the army. And as I understand, Mikhail was rather popular with the officers, just as his wife was with the Duma, and the Dowager Empress was popular point, so with that triumvirate in charge of Russian politics - even if they're delegating to ministers and councils of war, it could change things. True, he's perhaps no more educated than Nicky was, but, he has the benefit of people with their "ear to the ground" so to speak. If Mikhail and maybe a couple of other the galaxy of grand dukes and princes that Nicky/Alicky alienated, can keep the army (and perhaps the navy too (can't remember the name of the grand duke in charge of the navy who pledged loyalty to the provisional government)) loyal to the tsar, it might change one or two domestic engagements - not necessarily foreign ones.
Unless they get out of the war soon,I don't think the Tsarist regime can survive.Kerensky's Offensive basically showed that the country was no longer willing to suffer further losses.
 
Oh and why is that?

And how soon would you define soon as being?
The main reason why the Provisional Government was overthrown by the Bolsheviks was because they continued the war whereas the Bolsheviks promised to end it no matter the cost.Kerensky's Offensive showed that the army was no longer willing to fight and that the country was no longer willing to suffer further losses.The Provisional Government refused to cease fighting despite this and it fell.The second most important reason of course was Kerensky arming the Bolsheviks in fear of Kornilov marching on St.Petersburg.
 
The main reason why the Provisional Government was overthrown by the Bolsheviks was because they continued the war whereas the Bolsheviks promised to end it no matter the cost.Kerensky's Offensive showed that the army was no longer willing to fight and that the country was no longer willing to suffer further losses.The Provisional Government refused to cease fighting despite this and it fell.

Alright interesting. I suppose, some sort of settlement and being willing to take the backlash would make it viable?
 
Would be interesting if Russia pulls out around the same time that Karl I of Austria approaches the French. If Russia and Austria-Hungary drop out, it's basically Germany against the UK/France, makes one wonder how soon they'd come to a peace agreement in that case. And if it would be as uneasy a peace as Versailles OTL
 
Would be interesting if Russia pulls out around the same time that Karl I of Austria approaches the French. If Russia and Austria-Hungary drop out, it's basically Germany against the UK/France, makes one wonder how soon they'd come to a peace agreement in that case. And if it would be as uneasy a peace as Versailles OTL

Hmm very true. If they pull out at the same time, this could potentially make it harder for the Bolsheviks and their pr tools no?
 
Would be interesting if Russia pulls out around the same time that Karl I of Austria approaches the French. If Russia and Austria-Hungary drop out, it's basically Germany against the UK/France, makes one wonder how soon they'd come to a peace agreement in that case. And if it would be as uneasy a peace as Versailles OTL

Hardly possible. IOTL Karl's attempt was going nowhere, and Germany was willing to take the most of Russia, who couldn't take the luxury of playing for time.
 
Another digression, but with a question: What could stop Tsar Nicholas II (or his father, for that matter) from reversing Peter's salic law proclamation? Peter changed the succession, why couldn't a different Tsar change it back?
 
Another digression, but with a question: What could stop Tsar Nicholas II (or his father, for that matter) from reversing Peter's salic law proclamation? Peter changed the succession, why couldn't a different Tsar change it back?

Pavel (Paul), not Pyotr.

If Nikolai changes the succession laws as was considered as early as shortly after Grand Duke Jiri's death and the fact that Alicky kept popping out girls, to allow one of his daughters to succeed. Since when the Czar fell ill with typhoid in 1900, there was the problem of that the czarina was pregnant, but if the czar died, law dictated that the imperial diadem pass to Mikhail Alexandrovich (who Alexandra personally disliked, but I'm discounting that, since she disliked many people in the imperial family). However, there was no contingency that allowed for the succession to be put on hold until Alexandra was delivered of the child. According to the Pauline Laws Mikhail's succession would've been immediate, and if Alexandra bore a son or a daughter, it mattered little either way.

Also, when the talk of Alexei succeeding came up, Alexandra pushed to have Olga declared co-regent with Mikhail, who would've been regent by rights; with herself still as guardian for her underage son. It would be interesting if Nicky or her push for this TTL, since Alicky liked neither Marie, Mikhail nor Natalia.

But if Nikolai changes the laws (Alexander II had done it in his reign, it had met with opposition from the family, but it had gone through, nonetheless), Olga might get her wish to not marry outside of Russia and not marry someone she doesn't like. For forms' sake I could see them marrying her to a Romanov grand ducal cousin (Alexandra disliked Dmitri Pavlovich, Olga's fiancee apparently in 1911/1912, but as said, Alicky had her claws out for most of the Romanovs; plus she disliked the branch who would succeed if Mikhail were passed over, the Vladimirovichi)

But the major problem is that by 1917 we've got the Duma to contend with. Did they have any say over amendments to House Law? Even if they didn't, they're going to get a bit bolshie - pun intended - when their Tsar decides, seemingly on a whim, to pick and choose his own successor (in their eyes). There's going to be a lot of excitement to be had politically before we can get into all the who-marries-who soap-opera stuff.

Nicholas and Alexandra were very devoted to their girls and vice versa, Alix in particular I think would have preferred to keep them all with her if possible. It had been done in the past that a cadet junior member of a reigning (mostly German) family had intermarried with the Romanovs and become de facto Russians. Just look at the Dukes of Leuchtenberg (the descendants of Eugene Beauharnais, Napoleon's stepson), the 3rd Duke married the daughter of Nicholas I and settled in Russia. All his descendants weren't throne dynasts but were considered very much "Romanov" family. So that is one scenario.

If one of the girls married outside Russia to a reigning family, NII and the other members of the family would have been given asylum. Period. Well, except maybe England because George V was that much of a you-know-what and would have taken back his own offer (even if the Princess of Wales was one of "dear cousin Nicky's" daughters). Whether it be Olga or Tatiana, it would have happened. And if Nicholas and Alexis and Michael still died at the hands of the Bolshies, I think a lot of emigres would have looked to the daughter of NII rather than the self-proclaimed Emperor GD Cyril (who had betrayed the tsar by being the first member of the Imperial Family to side with the Revolution), Pauline law or not.

Nicholas had many times contemplated overturning the Pauline laws in favor of Olga especially after Alexis almost died in Spala in 1912 (and if Alexis HAD died I am almost certain Nicholas would have made Olga the heir). Nicholas thought Michael unreliable (and besides he had married morgantically to the notorious Countess Brassova who neither Alix nor the Dowager Empress would ever receive) and after that was the hated Vladimorivitchi line who Nicholas and Alexandra despised. That was one of the reasons they originally wanted to tie Olga with GD Dmitri Pavlovich, so there would be a ready made couple to ascend the throne in case anything happened to Alexis.

If the entire Imperial family had escaped (which actually was possible until the Bolsheviks took over and even Kerensky only supposedly put them under "house arrest" for their safety) perhaps by continuing on from Tobolsk to Japan, I don't think they would have had any problems. Yeah, England had rescinded their asylum order, but many emigre found their way and settled in Paris or the US anyway. Don't forget the girls had literally millions of dollars worth of jewels sewn into their corsets because Alix knew they would have to have something to survive on in exile.

And as the story of the fake Anastasia (Anna Anderson/Franziska Schanzkowska) shows, nobody but nobody likes former royals (even ones they clamored to depose) than the Americans. Anna Anderson was not a particularly nice or cultured person, and yet Americans feted, and Russian emigres (who didn't know better) coddled her like nobody's business. She never had to work a day in her life after claiming Anastasia's identity.

The real Grand Duchesses were pretty and kind and courteous and witty and their story of exile/harassment/strength in adversity would have warmed even the coldest Republican heart (the reason Kerensky's govt and then even the hardened Bolsheviks kept having to change guards for the family is because most guards became quite sympathetic to the family - ESPECIALLY the girls -several of the guards in Ekaterinburg had to be replaced because they would not kill the girls, although they would Alexis).
 
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