alternatehistory.com

So the PoD is that the US, rather than "waiting for the dust to settle" until the beginning of the Korean War, interposes the 7th fleet between Taiwan and mainland China in spring 1950, in response to the Sino-Soviet treaty, signed in February of that year.

What would the longer term consequences be, in international and domestic politics, if the Truman administration changes its declaratory policy from "hands-off" Taiwan in April 1950 and gradually establishes fleet patrols through the Taiwan straits?

How would Stalin, Mao and Kim Il-Sung react?

Would it US assertiveness in the straits cause Stalin and Mao to think they should rein in Kim, or would they not generalize about likely US responses from the single case of its actions in the Taiwan straits?

… poll attached
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