As of late, I've been working on a TL dealing with a surviving Don Juan of Aragon. It's still in a preliminary phase, though largely inspired by several earlier discussions on the topic. Basically, the scenario is this: Juan does not die of consumption in 1497, but instead survives, dying around 1533 or so. Things go as in OTL more or less as far as the Italian Wars, colonization of the New World and the Conquest of Navarre are concerned up until the death of Ferran II of Aragon in 1516. Philippe the Handsome still dies around 1506 as in OTL. We'll assume that births are also relatively the same as in OTL, and Charles V manages to win the election of 1519.
However, I have a few problems that I have yet to work out and was wondering if anyone could be of assistance on the subject:
-Who would Charles V be most likely to marry ITTL? And, along the same line, who does Ferdinand marry and what are the Emperor's dynastic goals for his younger grandson? Who will Maximilian I and later Charles V prefer to forge their family marital alliances with? I can see more German marriages in the mix with the Habsburgs more concentrated on Imperial affairs.
-What will be the consequences of no Revolt of the Communeros and continuing the Catholic Kings' policy in regard to the bourgeoisie of Castile? I assume that the Germanies will still revolt on schedule, given the state of Aragon will be more or less the same in 1516 ITTL?
-What will Spanish domestic policy look like without the Habsburgs? Perhaps we'll see a weaker Inquisition or earlier centralization? I also imagine foreign policy goals will be far more concerned with American and North African expansion, as well as keeping the French out of Italy?
-In this scenario, assuming we also butterfly away the Sack of Rome, will the Pope be more likely to grant Henry VIII of England an annulment (assuming he still fails to sire a male heir with Catalina of Aragon)? If so, what will Juan III have to say about all of this in regard to his sister?
-Just as an aside, if Philippe the Handsome dies in 1506, what will become of Juana of Aragon ITTL? Will she rule as regent in the Netherlands for her son, or was she showing enough signs of mental decline at this point to be considered mad and unfit to do so? Remember, a surviving Juan means that Marguerite of Austria will remain in Spain as his wife and queen (which I think may have interesting consequences for the cultural developments of the Spanish court, considering she was a keen patron of the arts).
Any help would be greatly appreciated
However, I have a few problems that I have yet to work out and was wondering if anyone could be of assistance on the subject:
-Who would Charles V be most likely to marry ITTL? And, along the same line, who does Ferdinand marry and what are the Emperor's dynastic goals for his younger grandson? Who will Maximilian I and later Charles V prefer to forge their family marital alliances with? I can see more German marriages in the mix with the Habsburgs more concentrated on Imperial affairs.
-What will be the consequences of no Revolt of the Communeros and continuing the Catholic Kings' policy in regard to the bourgeoisie of Castile? I assume that the Germanies will still revolt on schedule, given the state of Aragon will be more or less the same in 1516 ITTL?
-What will Spanish domestic policy look like without the Habsburgs? Perhaps we'll see a weaker Inquisition or earlier centralization? I also imagine foreign policy goals will be far more concerned with American and North African expansion, as well as keeping the French out of Italy?
-In this scenario, assuming we also butterfly away the Sack of Rome, will the Pope be more likely to grant Henry VIII of England an annulment (assuming he still fails to sire a male heir with Catalina of Aragon)? If so, what will Juan III have to say about all of this in regard to his sister?
-Just as an aside, if Philippe the Handsome dies in 1506, what will become of Juana of Aragon ITTL? Will she rule as regent in the Netherlands for her son, or was she showing enough signs of mental decline at this point to be considered mad and unfit to do so? Remember, a surviving Juan means that Marguerite of Austria will remain in Spain as his wife and queen (which I think may have interesting consequences for the cultural developments of the Spanish court, considering she was a keen patron of the arts).
Any help would be greatly appreciated