To Arms in Dixie- Confederate Victory OTL

August 13th 1862
Jefferson Davis has sent a team of diplomats to France to ask them for aid in the American Civil War

August 19th 1862
Napoleon III agrees to help the Confederate States of America, seeing them a strong ally if they survive

August 30th 1862
Napoleon III has sent troops to Virginia to assist the Confederate States of America Confederate

September 9th 1862
French Forces have arrived and Confederate and French Forces launch a campaign in Western Maryland

September 12th 1862
Robert E. Lee and his troops march eastward on Marylandwith the help of french troops

September 23rd 1862
Confederate and French Forces capture Baltimore after a brutal battle killing about 3,000 men for both the Confederacy and France and 3,500 men for The Union.

October 3rd 1862
Confederate and French Forces led by Robert E. Lee have captured Washington D.C after being victorious in during the Maryland Campiagn and surrounding Washington D.C, capturing it,This is the Final Nail in the Coffin for The Union

October 16th 1862

The Treaty of Richmond is Signed by both President Lincoln of the United States of America and President Jefferson David of the Confederate States of America,

The Conditions of the Treaty are:

The USA recognizes the CSA

Kentucky,The Indian Territory,and Claimed Areas in Arizona are ceded to The CSA

The USA Pays 30,000,000 to the Confederacy and France, each for war damages.

The CSA gives Maryland and Washington D.C back to the USA


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I am not going to comment on the plausibility of the CSA convincing France to aid them. However I will comment that the amount of time from asking to victory is ASB.
 
So just to be clear, less than a month after Mexico suspended interest payments to France in an event that sparked the French intervention in Mexico (a war mind you that they eventually lost), the French randomly intervene in another NA war?

Edit: Moreover your casualty figures for both sides are ridiculously low. Both D.C. and Baltimore were fortresses by this time in the war, totally ignoring that the technology and tactics of the time in normal battles lead to something like 10,000-20,000 dead on each side at places like Shiloh, Antietam and Gettysburgh
 
Moreover, how many troops due you truly expect France to send a continent away. They never had more than 40,000 in Mexico, and that few troops would merely give the Confederates parity with Union troops in the Eastern Theater. That isn't enough to take D.C., and it certainly isn't enough to win the war with the Confederacy slowly falling apart in the west. Moreover, even if by ASB handwaving you suddenly have the Confederacy taking D.C., there is no way they get WV, Kentucky or Arizona. All three would be held by the Union, and with the Union holding New Orleans and the majority of the Mississippi river, the Confederacy doesn't have enough leverage to take them in the peace treaty
 
capturing d.c.

also, capturing Washington would be nearly impossible. Because Washington by this point was pretty heavily fortified. Not to mention their were thousands of garrison troops inside the city.Also any battle between the Army of the Potomac and the combined confederate and french forces would have caused casualties, and unless they totally destroyed the Army of the Potomac, it would still be a thorn in their side.
 
Pure ASB, France had no real reason to ally with the CSA and Napoleon was refusing to even consider it unless the UK would do so as well which was even more unlikely. The number of French troops that France could support is far less than needed to take Washington never mind anything else. They could no more take WV, KY or AZ than they could the Moon at this point even with French help.
 
Uh, yeah, this is gonna go over like a lead zeppelin. Even if by some insane stroke of luck the CSA got the French to recognize them (and that's literally almost impossible without the UK playing ball), no way in hell will they commit troops to North America.
 

TFSmith121

Banned
Not to pile on, but...

The French used steam warships as the major element of their troop transport force when moving de Lorencz' division (the 6,500-man force that lost to Zaragoza at Puebla in May, 1862, don't forget)....and by August, after that defeat, the same French ships were being used to move the reinforcements under Bazaine - some 26,000 by October - that won the 2nd Battle of Puebla...in May, 1863.

A year later.

I wouldn't pin hopes for a rebel victory on the ability of 2nd Empire France to deploy and sustain an expeditionary force in North America.

Best,
 

TFSmith121

Banned
KIA and mortally wounded at Gettysburg July 4 included:

7,000 men KIA;
22,000 wounded (in a town of 2400, don't forget); recognize that a significant percentage of the WIA were mortally wounded, and expected to die within days...

The estimated weight of the dead men and animals that had to be dealth with after Gettysburg was "six million pounds of human and animal carcasses (that) lay strewn across the fields in the summer heart," (p.69, Drew Gilpin Faust, This Republic of Suffering; 2009 Vintage paperback edition).

The stench lasted until October, 1863...

FWIW.

Best,
 
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