Due to the length of time it's taken to get to this point, I've elected to just cut this update in two. Sorry, but I wanted to get something out as soon as; the second half will also come as soon as I can get it. Sorry, again.
And no, the gimmick isn't what you think it is.
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Charles Kennedy
2003-2012
When he took control of the Liberal Democrats in January 2003, Charles Kennedy set course for a Leadership that would transform the party. Young, sober, and clear headed, 'Chat-Show Charlie', as he was known by both admirers and detractors, was not the same stoic and authoritative figure of his predecessor, but a laid back and relaxed leader, a principled man of emotions who believed that the future was his for the taking, and that as long as he kept true to his party and his faith, he would overcome the struggles and lead them to the glory. Nine years later, when he handed the helm to his youthful successor, he had become a tired and bitter man, one who had fought three General Elections, let control of his party slip through his fingers, and rejected possibly the only chance the Liberal Democrats would ever have to be in Government by sticking to his principles.
Charles Kennedy's life was a rapid rise; born in the remote Scottish Highlands to a Catholic family, at 22 he had left the University of Glasgow with an honours degree, a scholarship to America, President of the Union, and working for the BBC. By the age of 23, he was an SDP member of Parliament, gaining the new seat of Ross, Cromarty and Skye by defeating a Government Minister in the 1983 General Election with a majority so slender he had thought he had lost before the polls closed. The Baby of the House, he abandoned what would have been a fruitful academic life for a fruitful political one; if his predecessor was a latter-day Gladstone, then Charles Kennedy was a latter-day Arthur Balfour. Serving as the SDP Spokesperson on Social Security and Scotland, and following the 1988 merger, Liberal Democrats Spokesperson for Health, by 1991 Kennedy has become President of the new Party, a role he would serve until December of 1994. Ashdown, seeing the potential of this young man, made him Spokesman for Foreign Affairs. For Kennedy, the future was bright, and he dreamt that one day he'd be the man to succeed Ashdown- but the events of November 1995 would change that.
The death of Ashdown rocked Kennedy to the core, and when asked if he would run for Leadershp, he felt he didn't have it in him and passed over for the older Menzies Campbell. As a result of having lost a colleague close to him and having backed away from what he thought may have been his only chance at the leadership, he turned heavily to the bottle. Following the 1997 General Election his attendance in Parliament would become erratic, often appearing at meetings 'tired and emotional'. Whilst his relationship with Menzies Campbell was, at first, cordial, as Kennedy became more withdrawn it soured, resulting in his demotion in the 2000 reshuffle which sent him from Foreign to Rural Affairs. A chance conversation with Alistair Campbell, the New Labour Spin Doctor, at a Joint Cabinet Meetings shortly before the Christmas of 2000 would change what was otherwise a decline- Campbell, himself a recovering alcoholic, recognised what was happening to Kennedy and in a moment of sympathy reached out to offer his help. Kennedy would hesitantly accept.
When Menzies Campbell announced he would step down in late 2002, Kennedy saw he had a second chance, and it was one that he wouldn't let slip through his fingers. Over a year sober and coming off of a strong performance during the Foot-and-Mouth crisis, he was something of a dark horse candidate, quickly overtaking the more expected Malcolm Bruce and Simon Hughes. Part of this was thanks to the support he received from the Welsh Liberal Democrats, with Welsh leader Gwynoro Jones declaring he would "...back Charlie all the way"; the more influential Scottish Liberal Democrats were divided on the matter. Kennedy shared Campbell's vision that the Liberal Democrats should seek to replace the Conservatives, and believed they could do so by appealing to moderates in both parties. Bruce agreed, but Hughes was against it, looking to the future and believing that the Party would grow further if it positioned itself as an alternative to Labour. Kennedy won, narrowing Bruce out by some four-thousand votes thanks to a strong second preference from Hughes' voters. A few days later Bruce won the Deputy Leadership after Hughes declined to stand for the position again, turning his attention to prepare for his ultimately unsuccessful 2004 run for Mayor of London.
Kennedy's first electoral test as leader was the 2003 Local Elections, which saw the party take a substantial amount of council seats from Labour, whilst Tim Yeo's Conservatives were propelled into holding a majority of Councils and Councillors. For Kennedy these gains set a positive spin on his surprise victory, though it was uncomfortable that the Conservatives had pulled so far ahead. But two months later, the party would win two crucial by-elections, taking the seats of Brent East and Portsmouth North whilst leapfrogging over the Conservatives. Both were important as they were both Labour-Conservative marginals, and for Kennedy vindicated his belief that by appealing to both parties, the Liberal Democrats could succeed. They would also be important for another reason, as they showed a turnaround against Tony Blair and the gathering storm that was the impending Iraq War.
Following the 2001 attacks in America, the question of where Blair would charge into next had been one that was never fully addressed- in Afghanistan, where the attackers were being protected by the theocratic Taliban, NATO intervention was approved by the UN without much controversy. Simon Hughes, in his capacity as Deputy Leader during Campbell's last few months, had attempted to lead opposition within the Party to the intervention, but this was scuttled when Malcolm Bruce, unknowing of Hughes decision, voiced approval of the endeavour. But as the occupation wore on, a new front was emerging, and that was Iraq. Meeting with President Lieberman, Blair agreed that something needed to be done with the isolated state, which had become increasingly unstable within its own borders and had allegedly continued the development of biological weapons. And what must be done was intervention.
The Liberal Democrats did not oppose the idea of intervening in Iraq. In fact, given different circumstances they would have supported it, but the Party would not support the Government if it did not have the support of the international community in this endeavour. The community did not, and the question that had been on everyones lips since Sierra Leone was answered. With the vote scheduled for late-May, it was make or break for Kennedy. He had been Leader for only a few short months, and as Tim Yeo threw himself behind the war, the inexperienced leader emerged as the leading figure in Commons against the War. It is debated if Kennedy was ready for such an important moment so early on- in the debate, he was articulate, thoughtful, and laid out his arguments against intervention clearly and with much cognizant. But without a strong reputation in Foreign Policy, he was unable to turn back the tide. He failed, and the Goverment won the vote and by the end of the year Anglo-American Coalition forces entered Baghdad. But despite his failure, Kennedy emerged stronger, at least more so than his counterpart in the Conservative Party, who found his position unstable as, for a few short weeks at least, Kennedy had become the opposition. But on a personal level, the decision to break with Labour so dramatically ended his relationship with Alistair Campbell, and with that a personal line of support was gone. Kennedy would turn first to the Church for support, where he met his future wife, Inverness Councilwoman Sarah Leggate, but by 2008 he had turned back to drinking.
2004 would continue to see the Liberal Democrats make major gains in the Local Elections, raising some two hundred seats, behind the Conservatives in total net gains but ahead of Labour, who continued to sink. Hughes resigned from the Frontbench to run for Mayor of London; the Liberal Democrats hoped to build on their previous elections performance, but Hughes barely scrapped his deposit back. Despite this, results in the assembly were more encouraging, with the Liberal Democrats pulling ahead to equal seats with Labour. With Hughes gone, Bruce was moved back to Home Affairs, with Menzies Campbell taking his place as Foreign Spokesperson. In June, Labor took a beating in the European Elections, with the Liberal Democrats gaining four seats to a total of sixteen. Somewhat disconcerting was the rise of the Eurosceptic party 'UKIP', led by former Labour MP Robert Kilroy-Silk, which dramatically bolted into third place. In July, there were two major by-election gains- in Leicester South, Zuffar Haq overturned a thirty point majority, beating Labour and becoming the Liberal Democrats first BAME Member of Parliament, and perhaps more devastatingly in Hartlepoole, the recently resigned Peter Mandelson's former seat, Tim Farron beat Labour by some few hundred votes. Kennedy would relish in these successes, however, at the Parties August Conference, as he announced the parties plans to broaden for a broader national campaign in anticipation of the next General Election, news broke that Tony Blair had collapsed. The Prime Minister had suffered a catastrophic heart attack, and within a week resigned. Gordon Brown ascended to the Premiership, and the question of the next election was postponed for another year.
With this in mind, the Liberal Democrats devoted much of the next year to preparation. The Government would finally pass The Hunting Act and a series of pro-LGBT legislation, such as Civil Partnerships and the recognition of Transgender Rights, all with Liberal Democrats support. The Conservative Party would be more divided over the Acts. In local elections, Labour made further losses, though helped by a bounce in Brown's popularity (he was, as Ed Davey put it during a particularly rowdy PMQ's, "Just not Blair") the Party was able to halt any particularly damaging losses. The Liberal Democrats would use the opportunity to role out the prototype of their 'national campaign', for what had felt like the first time in a long time made more gains than the Conservatives. The result was not so much earth shattering as it was simply deafening- they didn't control the most council seats or councils, but pulling ahead in net gain gave Yeo a bloody nose. In Cheadle, the Party held their seat in a by-election, whilst in Livingstone the Party came third ahead of the Tories. It was also a good year for Kennedy personally, as he finally married Sarah Leggate in the Autumn. Just before New Years, they announced they were expecting. However, 2005 would also be the year of the publication of the
Orange Book, a collection of essays produced by Liberal Democrat MP's, MEP's, and Peers that outlined a more Liberal course for the Party. For Kennedy, a man from the parties left, this was disconcerting, especially as a contributor was his Treasury Spokesperson, Vince Cable. But as 2005 ended, Kennedy's thoughts were elsewhere, and he was looking towards the coming election instead of the storm gathering on the horizon.
For the 2006 General Election, the Liberal Democrats sought a broader 'national' campaign instead of the previous strategy of sinking resources into a select number of target marginals. What this would entail was simply shifting away from pouring resources into marginals, and instead spreading them further across a variety of seats, with scalping given emphasis. The Party would also use this 'spreading out' in an effort to target new voters, particularly those in BAME communities and those on the left and right who were against the Iraq War. It is unsurprising that the parties slogan during the campaign would be 'The Responsible Alternative'. This notion of responsibility, as well as honestly, would form the main bulk of the manifesto- responsibility in Government, accountability on foreign and economic policy, and a pledge for a trustworthy and transparent leadership. Notable policies would be the parties economic plan, pledging a simplification of tax codes, an increase on upper earners, the scrapping of Council Tax and its replacement with a more coherent system that would see lower earners pay less, give the National Audit Office power to scrutinise budgets, and deliver a tax raise which the party promised would give the elderly social care and help end tuition fees. Of course, promises of responsibility and transparency were useless against Brown personally. Instead, it would cut deeply at Tim Yeo, who's private life- particularly concerning his secret love child- would be put under much scrutiny by the press as the election approached. The biggest draw for the Liberal Democrats would be the opposition against Iraq, and since the election of President McCain, the situation in the country had began to spiral out of control, with American troops regularly skirmishing with Iranian Boarder Soliders in the Zagros Mountains. Whilst Brown had made a clear red line over Iran, it was felt that he would bend to the pressure. Kennedy pledged that any Government made of or including the Liberal Democrats would fight further intervention tooth and nail.
The results were a cause for celebration. The Liberal Democrats, with 21.4% of the vote share, won 66 seats, against the Conservatives who won 210 seats with 31.1%, and Labour, who won 339 with 32.8% of the vote and an overall majority of 32. Brown and Labour were back, but the majority was drastically cut. Yeo resigned a short month later under pressure from his party, and was succeeded by the young Tim Collins. The decision to emphasis scalping also proved fruitful, with no less than three shadow Cabinet members (famously Theresa May, then Shadow Environment, David Willetts, Shadow Works and Pension, and Michael Howard, Shadow Foreign Secretary) loosing their seats to the Amber wave. Charles Kennedy was ecstatic, and with his fiefdoms of Cornwall and Scotland North of 'Red Clydesdale', declared he had seen the future, and it was Amber. Whilst in retrospect, this may have been hubristic on his part, at the time it was believed that such growth represented a major shift towards the Liberal Democrats. However, serious questions emerged during the autopsy pertaining to their base voters. Whilst the Election had gone well, the Party was looking at a high loss to gain ratio with the Conservatives. They had won a wash of Labour seats, but at the same time if Labour stabilised in the near future, the Liberal Democrats would be squashed between the and the resurgent Tories. A radical solution was needed, and for many Liberal Democrats, it was the Orange Book, not the Yellow Bible.
In August of the same year Kennedy's daughter, Mary, was born. At the Party Conference, the tired Father and Leader would receive a standing ovation. He praised the party for the campaign and their success, and pledged to take them further and beyond into the next election, whenever it would come. But for now, he promised he would get some rest. It was here, during the dwindling months of 2006, that behind the back of the exhausted Kennedy the groundwork of what would be called 'the Glorious Revolution' was laid.
(To be continued)