I think it’s going to be a lot more complicated than “public opinion turns firmly against the Emperor”. Here are some suggestions:
The army is going to hate the Navy’s guts for starting the war, and the Emperor for continuing it. They’ll want to take charge themselves and “do it right”. Expect a lot of Cossack warlords.
Well considering the Army has just been thrashed “third world Asians” and is disintegrating I’m not sure how much influence they would be able to exercise. However Cossack warlords is a good point
The navy has no more power because it’s been obliterated by the Anglo-Japanese Alliance.
Yep they do not have any power or influence what so ever
The guberiyas will support the status quo but be uncooperative since there will be crippling shortages and they need to look after themselves.
Guberiyas? Do you mean gubernias
Both good pointsThe peasants won’t like conscription but will probably enjoy the fact that the trading towns are collapsing, and with them the government’s ability to enforce constricting laws.
The middle class just wants the suffering to end.
That’s an interesting point I did not consider. I’ll do some research into itThe aristocracy is going to consider replacing Nikolai II, even in exile.
Good point I’ll take it into accountAlso if Russian is falling apart like this Ukraine would just win territorial control by default after the Russians evacuate Kiev.
I don’t think the Kaiser would stoop to funding separatists in Russia. On the other hand, he’s not going to actively help the Imperial Government either.
I’m honestly split on this, what are other people’s thoughts on this?