TL Reaserch: Effect On Wall Street if WWI Finishes Early

Pretty much in the title, looking into research for a new TL I'm planning to write and several events taking place has Roosevelt winning a third term and the US entering the War early, giving the Allies a boost needed to win the conflict roughly a year earlier than OTL.

Following that in TTL, the US would be caught up in an occupation of Mexico to prop up a puppet government formed by an even more chaotic Mexican Revolution, a deeply unpopular move. Due to this, the Republicans would be voted out of power and a divided Democrat Party, torn between those wanting to turn back the clock on the Progressive legislation introduced by the previous government, and those wanting to build on it. This division leaves the Democrats without any great political will for sweeping change and the economy is left to its own devices.

Would this result in the Wall Street Crash, or something similar to it, happening in the same time frame as OTL at all?
 
DAv

Don't know enough about internal economic and political policy in the US to say on the latter. However the former would definitely help. If you end the war say late summer 1917 then the allied economies are a hell of a lot better and you might well save Russia from communism, or at least make a following dictatorship there somewhat weaker.

If there's less war debts, especially to the US, which would be the case, then the world economy is less unbalanced post the war. If the US economy still runs into a serious depression as OTL there's far less chance of it dragging the rest of the world down with it and then a better rest of the world might make a US recovery easier and quicker.

Also if there is something other than a Bolshevik dictatorship in Russia you have a far more stable situation in Europe which would weaken any fascist movement and greatly reduce the chance of a new war. Even some very reactionary 'white' military dictatorship is likely to be less destructive inside Russia and less of a pariah in the wider world.

Steve


Pretty much in the title, looking into research for a new TL I'm planning to write and several events taking place has Roosevelt winning a third term and the US entering the War early, giving the Allies a boost needed to win the conflict roughly a year earlier than OTL.

Following that in TTL, the US would be caught up in an occupation of Mexico to prop up a puppet government formed by an even more chaotic Mexican Revolution, a deeply unpopular move. Due to this, the Republicans would be voted out of power and a divided Democrat Party, torn between those wanting to turn back the clock on the Progressive legislation introduced by the previous government, and those wanting to build on it. This division leaves the Democrats without any great political will for sweeping change and the economy is left to its own devices.

Would this result in the Wall Street Crash, or something similar to it, happening in the same time frame as OTL at all?
 
There's a point actually, no guarantee of the Dawley Act passing in TTL so the recesssion might stick to the shores of the US with only minor knock on effects in comparison to OTL. Also, Russia wouldn't go red in TTL, it'd remain a good deal autocratic.
 
Top