Tiananmen Square Massacre leads to no US trade with PRC

The Recession of '92 doesn't happen. Bush wins in '92. Roseanne is canceled.
...what?

Anyway, I just don't see that happening. Bush wasn't the kind of guy to make brash decisions like that. Too diplomatic. Maybe if you can make Dukakis win in 1988 or, if you want to go crazier and ASBer, Jesse Jackson. As far as the effects, I don't think China was fully integrated in the world market yet so we might end up with even more of a hardliner than Jiang take power and keep rattling the sword. Maybe gives credence to Soviet hardliners that it's possible to keep surviving by fighting the West and makes the coup a success but that's way iffier.
 
...what?

Anyway, I just don't see that happening. Bush wasn't the kind of guy to make brash decisions like that. Too diplomatic. Maybe if you can make Dukakis win in 1988 or, if you want to go crazier and ASBer, Jesse Jackson. As far as the effects, I don't think China was fully integrated in the world market yet so we might end up with even more of a hardliner than Jiang take power and keep rattling the sword. Maybe gives credence to Soviet hardliners that it's possible to keep surviving by fighting the West and makes the coup a success but that's way iffier.

brash decisions? most of the US would support it.
 
...what?

Anyway, I just don't see that happening. Bush wasn't the kind of guy to make brash decisions like that. Too diplomatic. Maybe if you can make Dukakis win in 1988 or, if you want to go crazier and ASBer, Jesse Jackson. As far as the effects, I don't think China was fully integrated in the world market yet so we might end up with even more of a hardliner than Jiang take power and keep rattling the sword. Maybe gives credence to Soviet hardliners that it's possible to keep surviving by fighting the West and makes the coup a success but that's way iffier.

Congress passed sanctions against China for Tiananmen IOTL. Bush vetoed it. For this scenario to pass, he literally has to do nothing.
 
The US and China's relation revert back to a Pre-Nixon levels, effecting both the level of growth in China and the existence of manufacturing in the US.

Most likely, domestic manufacturing remains a main staple of the American economy.
 

RousseauX

Donor
Tiananmen Square Massacre leads to full us boycott of chinese goods
what happens?

Sanctions are lifted a year or two down the road.

The balance of power in US politics w.r.t trade with China is a basically fight between unions who wants to protect employment for their members and big businesses who wants to make more money.

Trade unions have consistently lost out on political struggles since the 1970s so there's no reasons to expect them to win this one.

Not that many people in the US cared too much about human rights in China once the TV cameras have moved away.
 

RousseauX

Donor
The US and China's relation revert back to a Pre-Nixon levels, effecting both the level of growth in China and the existence of manufacturing in the US.

Most likely, domestic manufacturing remains a main staple of the American economy.

I don't think you know anything about US-China relations in the 80s and 90s
 
Sanctions are lifted a year or two down the road.

The balance of power in US politics w.r.t trade with China is a basically fight between unions who wants to protect employment for their members and big businesses who wants to make more money.

Trade unions have consistently lost out on political struggles since the 1970s so there's no reasons to expect them to win this one.

Not that many people in the US cared too much about human rights in China once the TV cameras have moved away.

thought not for certain the wall will most likely fall still in 1990. Would the US still lifted the Sanctions if the USSR is on the ropes. An the PRC is the last communist power left?
 

RousseauX

Donor
thought not for certain the wall will most likely fall still in 1990. Would the US still lifted the Sanctions if the USSR is on the ropes. An the PRC is the last communist power left?

Anti-Communism wasn't such a big deal w.r.t China by the 1980s because China prove to be pretty receptive to capitalism.
 
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