Three Green Stars Flying Over Nazareth: An Alternate History of the Yom Kippur War

Three Green Stars Flying Over Nazareth
An Alternate History of the Fourth Arab-Israeli War
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Syrian jets flying over the occupied Israeli North District

The Fourth Arab-Israeli War, as it is known in most Western nations, is one of the most stunning conflicts in modern history. Known in Arab nations as “The Ramadan Triumph” and in Israel as the “Yom Kippur War”, this war marked a decisive paradigm shift in the ongoing Arab-Israeli conflict. While many historians would point to the newly-arrived American tanks utilized by the Egyptians during the war, or the excellently-executed Syrian North District Offensive as the war’s deciding factor, I will instead look at two events which occurred three years before the war—two events which, I believe, led to the Arab Coalition’s crushing victory over the Israelis. Firstly, Gamal Abdel Nasser’s death on September 3, 1970, and Anwar Sadat’s subsequent assuming of the Presidency. Secondly, the Jordanian decision, made under pressure from both Sadat’s Egypt and Syria, not to disarm the Palestinian Liberation Organization in that same month. (1) Both of these events ended Egypt’s ultranationalist stance (which had crippled it for years)(2), brought these three Arab nations closer together, and kept the PLO as a strong paramilitary organization which would eventually help crush the Israeli army in the war of '73.

. . .
Notes:
(1) Our dual POD. Nasser dies about twenty days earlier and Sadat’s pressure on Jordan not to disarm the PLO, combined with Syrian pressure, allows them to stay as a coherent, strong fighting force.
(2) Whatever you say about Nasser, you can’t disagree that his ultranationalist stance crippled Egypt in international politics.

Okay, so, I've been a lurker around here for a pretty long time. Just got myself an account. This is my first TL so go easy on me!
 
wow I think this is the first time I have seen a time line where the Arabs beat the Israelis so is the state of Israel wiped of the map then or what
 
Naw, it isn't gonna be wiped off the map. They'll let Israel stay independent, but it'll be a lot smaller and there will be a Palestine.
 
Naw, it isn't gonna be wiped off the map. They'll let Israel stay independent, but it'll be a lot smaller and there will be a Palestine.

And Israel is not gonna nuke anyone?
Rather hard to believe.
This is 1974 after all...
 
There is no chance after the PLO's activities in 1970 that King Hussein will not act to disarm them so this forces Jordan to break with Egypt and Syria and implicitly ally with Israel for support but leaves the PLO no better off.

The PLO was never capable of conventional military offensives and Jordan would never have permitted this to change on Jordanian soil.

The tactics of the Syrian army in 1973 were a disaster but since changing that will require a complete revamping of the Syrian military on top of the incredible level of aid already given by the Soviets plus the Soviets somehow realizing that their own military tactics are seriously lacking...

In the event that Jordan had remained allied with the Egyptians and Syrians this would have triggered an Israeli response and just a second brigade at full strength on the Golan in 1973 would have meant disaster for Syria.

Then there would be Israel's atomic weapons...
 

abc123

Banned
There is no chance after the PLO's activities in 1970 that King Hussein will not act to disarm them so this forces Jordan to break with Egypt and Syria and implicitly ally with Israel for support but leaves the PLO no better off.

The PLO was never capable of conventional military offensives and Jordan would never have permitted this to change on Jordanian soil.

The tactics of the Syrian army in 1973 were a disaster but since changing that will require a complete revamping of the Syrian military on top of the incredible level of aid already given by the Soviets plus the Soviets somehow realizing that their own military tactics are seriously lacking...

In the event that Jordan had remained allied with the Egyptians and Syrians this would have triggered an Israeli response and just a second brigade at full strength on the Golan in 1973 would have meant disaster for Syria.

Then there would be Israel's atomic weapons...


I agree. Especially with the bolded.
 
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