Looking at my maps, I've realized I boobed badly.



Kure is fully 2 days' sailing from the exit to the Bungo Suido at 10 knots...so my last post needs a rewrite.
So, retcon to this:
==============================================================================================
10 April, Don McGregor's
Gar arrives off the
Bungo Suido.
13 April, just past midnight, McGregor picks up a medium-sized freighter at 6800yd, making 9 knots. He trails over an hour, before reaching firing position at 01.23, letting go with three bow torpedoes from 1200yd. One misses astern, but two hits are enough, and
Ryujin Maru (6243 grt) goes down.
At 01.17 the next day, McGregor sights a very large, fast oiler (estimated at 12,000 tons) heading for the straight at about 11 knots, at 6600yd. Keeping an eye on his SD radar for aircraft, McGregor tracks her for two hours before being satisfied he has her zigzag worked out and, at 03.41, having closed to 1250yd, he fires four bow torpedoes. Evidently misjudging the target's speed, two miss astern, but two hit, slowing the big oiler. Then an aircraft appears, driving
Gar under and dropping four close bombs, which spring minor leaks. Staying close to the cripple, McGregor fires his last two bow tubes, scoring two more hits, bringing the oiler to a stop. A few minutes later, two more aircraft drop a total of eight bombs, only five close, none doing significant damage. After about an hour, the oiler gets underway again, at barely two knots, so McGregor puts two more bow torpedoes into her. She stops, and it takes nearly until dawn, but McGregor watches the fleet oiler
Naruto (15,450 tons) sink.
Just past evening twilight on 16 April, at 19.11, McGregor observes a large passenger freighter, estimated at 9000 tons, leaving the
Bungo Suido, following the coast. From an initial range of 7750yd, McGregor attempts to close, but finds the big freighter, turning at least 15 knots and zigzagging radically, a difficult target, and it is 21.58 before he
Gar reaches firing position at 1150yd. Given the size and speed of the target, McGregor fires all four stern tubes, only to have a sudden zig cause two to miss; the two hits prove enough, however.
17 April starts with McGregor detecting a large submarine (estimated to be the same size as
Gar) at 5100yd, departing Japan, at 00.19. McGregor plots the I-boat's course as it bears southeast, making about 15 knots, and goes to flank speed surfaced, tracking by TBT and sonar, closing to 1400yd by 01.11 and firing a single stern torpedo. It hits aft the point of aim (the conning tower), and
I-69 (1,575 tons) disappears. At 02.17,
Gar's lookouts report another submarine, at 3000yd; McGregor is surprised both by that and by the fact she appears identical to the other one. He tracks surfaced; the new target's lookouts are no better than the first's, and
Gar reaches 1100yd at 02.59 without being detected. McGregor again fires a single stern tube; this torpedo hits as aimed, dead amidships, and
I-71 (1,575 tons) blows up. Another contact at 04.02, on sonar at 5700yd, proves to be yet another submarine. (McGregor's patrol report wryly notes, "Commanding Officer wonders if
Marx Brothers involved.") Undeterred by the repetivitveness, McGregor tracks on sonar, getting to 2500yd at 04.37, but this submarine's lookouts were evidently more alert, and it dives; McGregor takes a snap shot with three bow tubes, set at 10, 20, and 30 feet, and scores a single hit. It claims
I-72 (1575 tons). Soon after daylight, at 05.29, McGregor spots yet another submarine departing, again being about 1600 tons making about 15 knots; his patrol report wonders if the entire Japanese submarine force is sailing in one day. He also detects aircraft patrolling overhead. McGregor contemplates surfacing to pursue, but calculates it's likely more I-boats will be coming, and instead pokes his radio aerial up and sends off a contact report to Radio Pearl. (This results in Bob Rice's
Drum intercepting & sinking 1630-ton
I-74.) McGregor's guess proves right; before the day is over, he will have detected and reported no less than four more I-boats, including
I-75 (1630 tons), sunk later in the day by
Pollack, and
I-27 (2589 tons), sunk by McNight's
Chicolar off Wake.
The next day, at 03.37, McGregor spots a medium-sized transport coming into the
Bungo Suido, at a range of 8100yd, turning 9 knots. He tracks until past morning twilight, reaching 1500yd at 04.31 and firing his last two stern torpedoes. Both hit, and repair ship
Hakkai Maru (5114grt) goes down. At 16.21, he sights three
Takao-class heavy cruisers exiting
Bungo Suido, at high speed, from 11,000yd. Unable to even imagine gaining a firing position, he puts his radio aerial up and reports their sortie.
Just after morning twilight, McGregor picks up a large I-boat on sonar (estimated at 2700 tons), inbound for Japan, at a range of 7450yd. Gambling he can avoid air patrols, he turns up flank speed to close, reaching 4000yd at 05.21, when an aircraft appears abruptly, with almost no warning from
Gar's SD radar, forcing McGregor to dive. The I-boat escapes. (Postwar, it is learned this was the 2589-ton
I-28, returning to Kure.) At 06.11, McGregor spots a minelayer exiting the straight, patrolling offshore and laying mines; McGregor plots the mine plants, but avoids contact at the risk of encountering mines. At 10.19, he detects another I-boat inbound, sister to the eariler boat, at 8000yd; seeing aircraft nearby on periscope examination, McGregor lets her go by. (Postwar, it is learned this was
I-29, returning to Kure.)
Early on 19 April, McGregor sights a single destroyer sighted departing. At 19.37, he picks up a target on sonar, at a range of 6900yd. It turns out to be "the largest ship Commanding Officer has ever seen", as his patrol report records, an oiler estimated at 15,000 tons, doing about 10 knots. McGregor closes to intercept before the oiler reaches the protection of the minefield he suspects offshore, getting to 3500yd before an aircraft forces him to dive at 19.11; he fires four bow tubes. Three hits barely slow the giant ship; McGregor fires all four stern tubes, as well. The oiler stops, catching fire; at 20.39, a tug puts a line on the big oiler and attempts to take her in tow. McGregor fires one bow torpedo into the tug and two more into the oiler, which finally settles and sinks at 21.51. At 22.01,
Gar's lookouts spot a medium-sized oiler (about 7000 tons), inbound, at 3800yd, making 9 knots. McGregor plots her zigzagging until 22.43, then fires all four stern tubes; all hit, and fleet oiler
San Diego Maru (7269 grt) is sunk.
When McGregor returns to Pearl Harbor, he is credited with 10 ships for 59,000 tons. (Postwar, it is corrected to 66,788.) It is learned the very large oiler is, in fact, the former whale factory ship
Kyokuyo Maru (17,549 grt). In his endorsement, English is mildly critical of his decision not to pursue the departing I-boats; Nimitz quietly lets it be known he agrees with McGregor. Postwar, it is learned the 9000 ton passenger freighter was, in fact, commerce raider
Hokoku Maru (10,438 tons).
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This is, regrettably, less amusing...but it gets the transit times roughly right (I hope!).
Edit: Since I'm less certain Combined Fleet is dead accurate, & since you might want to know...
I'm getting departure dates both from Combined Fleet & from
here. (The book link gives different results each time I restarted my browser, or I wouldn't have gotten all of April.)
For time of sunrise, sunset, & twilight, I used
this page, & for transit times & distance,
this page.
Edit 2:
It could as easily have consisted of
I-22 alone, except the others got past McGregor.

(Thanks to fair warning from McPherson.

)
In his defense, if IJN experience is anything like USN, he may have mistaken them for Japanese as he dived out from under.



That's worse than anything I've done to any Japanese lookout anywhere.

Who was on duty,
Max Carrados?

(No,
he'd have noticed...)
Not necessarily. It's easy to do, even with experience. Turn counts don't produce dead-reliable results, when combined with all the other stuff that's involved. And 3000yd is a pretty long shot. (I also have to say, IDK if I'd have used 3 fish on a target where one would do it...)
That frankly surprises me: both that they'd let themselves be taken, & that so many would be able to get clear of a sinking sub. (What's the count? 4 lookouts, OOD, maybe the CO or XO on the bridge, maybe a couple of lucky guys getting out the conn hatch before it goes under, flooding like Niagara... I'd doubt any out the escape trunk.)