There will certainly be a recession eventually if there is a war the whole boom bust cycle and all that. However if TR is at the helm for 5 terms given his pro corporate reform and anti corruption positions I truly doubt the structural weaknesses of the economy will be nearly as bad as OTL which should prevent it from becoming a full on depression.If there's a World War I there'll eventually be a crash. If Teddy can somehow avoid World War I, for instance by swimming across the Atlantic and putting the Kaiser into a headlock until he screams mercy, then there won't be a crash ITTL.